KPMG Playoff Probability: Who is the 112th Grey Cup favourite?

TORONTO — There’s a new 112th Grey Cup favourite.

The Road to the Grey Cup is fully underway with just seven weeks of regular season games to play and the Saskatchewan Roughriders have emerged as the new favourite.

KPMG Playoff Probability, formerly know as the CFL Simulation, is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 112th Grey Cup and much more.

As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 14 weeks of play.

Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 15.

Odds to Make Playoffs

TEAM
PROJECTION

Saskatchewan
>99.99%

Hamilton
99.58%

Calgary
99.49%

Winnipeg
84.62%

Ottawa
57.81%

Toronto
56.75%

Edmonton
41.14%

BC
41.04%

Montreal
19.57%

Odds to Host a Playoff Game

TEAM
PROJECTION

Saskatchewan
99.71%

Hamilton
99.02%

Calgary
88.23%

Ottawa
45.02%

Toronto
42.60%

Montreal
13.36%

Winnipeg
8.51%

BC
2.06%

Edmonton
1.49%

Odds to Win the East

TEAM
PROJECTION

Hamilton
75.84%

Ottawa
10.85%

Montreal
8.23%

Toronto
5.08%

Odds to Win the West

TEAM
PROJECTION

Saskatchewan
84.90%

Calgary
15.00%

Winnipeg
0.05%

BC
0.03%

Edmonton
0.02%

Odds to Appear in the 112th Grey Cup

TEAM
PROJECTION

Hamilton
69.59%

Saskatchewan
64.51%

Calgary
28.17%

Toronto
12.66%

Ottawa
10.16%

Winnipeg
7.71%

Edmonton
3.74%

BC
2.75%

Montreal
0.71%

Odds to Win the 112th Grey Cup

TEAM
PROJECTION

Saskatchewan
43.22%

Hamilton
23.17%

Calgary
19.43%

Winnipeg
4.30%

Toronto
4.25%

Ottawa
2.86%

Edmonton
1.71%

BC
0.97%

Montreal
0.09%

Most Likely 112th Grey Cup Matchups

TEAM
PROJECTION

Saskatchewan/Hamilton
45.05%

Calgary/Hamilton
19.28%

Saskatchewan/Toronto
8.15%

Winnipeg/Hamilton
3.81%

Calgary/Toronto
3.51%

Probability of a West Division Crossover

66.29%

KPMG Playoff Probability: Who is the 112th Grey Cup favourite?

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