The European Commission welcomes today’s publication of the Winter Outlook by the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E), which confirms that the EU is well-prepared to meet its electricity demand in winter 2025–2026. The assessment reinforces confidence in Europe’s security of electricity supply and highlights the continued resilience of the EU energy system.
Key findings include
renewables net generation capacity, especially wind and solar, are steadily increasing, strengthening the EU’s clean energy supplythere remains good availability of electricity from thermal power plantsplanned outages are lower compared to the previous winter, which is more favourable for adequacyhigh assurance regarding fuel supply availability, along with more nuclear availability and hydro stocks
Since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the EU has stood firmly with Ukraine and Moldova. Their successful synchronisation with the Continental European electricity grid in March 2022 remains a cornerstone of this support. Such solidarity and preparedness measures play a crucial role in today’s context of heightened uncertainty and the ongoing risk of attacks on critical energy infrastructure.
For the coming winter, security of electricity supply in Ukraine and Moldova will depend on weather conditions, the state of critical energy infrastructure, and the availability of interconnections with the EU.
The Winter Outlook, as required under the EU Risk Preparedness Regulation (EU/2019/941), is based on a wide range of simulations applying both market-based and non-market resources. The report confirms strong overall system adequacy across Europe.
While exceptionally severe weather or operational challenges could create localised strain, particularly in less interconnected regions, ENTSO-E notes that such risks can generally be mitigated through non-market measures where necessary.
Related links