Released: 2025-11-28
Real GDP by industry
September 2025
0.2% 
(monthly change)
Real gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.2% in September, more than offsetting August’s decline (-0.1%), as goods-producing industries drove the increase for the second time in three months.
Chart 1
Real gross domestic product rises in September
Goods-producing industries increased 0.6% in September, largely driven by higher activity in the manufacturing sector. Meanwhile, services-producing industries edged up 0.1%. Overall, 10 industrial sectors increased in September.
Manufacturing sector drives September’s growth
The manufacturing sector led the overall growth with a 1.6% expansion in September as durable-goods and non-durable-goods manufacturing industries grew.
Chart 2
Manufacturing sector expands in September
Durable-goods manufacturing industries rose 2.1% in September, more than offsetting the decline in August 2025. Machinery manufacturing (+5.5%) and wood product manufacturing (+5.5%) contributed the most to the increase. A rebound in transportation equipment manufacturing (+2.1%) further contributed to the growth, reflecting higher activity in motor vehicles and parts manufacturing (+3.7%) as some of Ontario’s auto assembly plants resumed production following shutdowns for retooling over the course of the summer.
Non-durable goods manufacturing industries grew 1.0% in September, as most subsectors expanded. Petroleum and coal product manufacturing (+1.9%) was the largest contributor to the increase as petroleum refineries (+1.1%) and petroleum and coal products manufacturing (except petroleum refineries) (+9.5%) ramped up production following maintenance and turnaround activities earlier in the year.
Transportation and warehousing sector rebounds on air transportation recovery
The transportation and warehousing sector rose 1.2%, partially offsetting August’s 1.3% decline, as most subsectors expanded in September.
Following the conclusion of the flight attendants’ work stoppage, air transportation took off with a 6.0% rise in September. This was the largest monthly growth rate since May 2022, lifting the overall sector as airlines affected by the work stoppage in August gradually resumed their operations.
Support activities for transportation further contributed to the growth with a 2.2% increase in September, more than offsetting the decline in the previous month. This increase reflected in part increased support activities for air transportation as well as support activities for freight movements in September.
Postal service and couriers and messengers rose 0.2% in September. Postal service was down 5.3% in the month as workers represented by the Canadian Union of Postal Workers launched a nationwide strike on September 25, pausing Canada Post’s mail and parcel delivery across the country. Meanwhile, a 3.0% expansion in the couriers and messengers’ subsector more than offset the decline in postal service, as consumers and businesses turned to alternative carriers to handle their shipping needs.
Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction up on strength in oil and gas extraction
The mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction sector expanded 0.3%, more than offsetting August’s decline, as two of the three subsectors grew in September.
Chart 3
Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction sector rises in September
The oil and gas extraction subsector (+0.9%) recorded its fourth consecutive monthly expansion in September, on continued strength. Oil sands extraction grew 1.3%, led by higher synthetic crude production in Alberta as upgrading facilities continued increasing production following a period of maintenance in April and May. Oil and gas extraction (except oil sands) rose 0.5%, reflecting increased extractions of natural gas and crude petroleum in September.
Support activities for mining, and oil and gas extraction (+1.6%) further added to the growth in September, driven up by the increase in support activities for oil and gas extraction, reflecting higher drilling and rigging services.
Meanwhile, the mining and quarrying (except oil and gas) subsector tempered some of the sector’s growth with a 2.2% contraction in September. This was a second consecutive monthly decline for the subsector, with most industries decreasing in September. Non-metallic mineral mining and quarrying (-3.9%) posted its first decrease in four months, with potash mining (-4.9%) contributing the most to the decline.
Wholesale trade sector up
The wholesale trade sector expanded 0.6% in September, up for the fourth time in five months.
Building material and supplies wholesalers rose 3.4% in September, the largest monthly growth rate in nearly two years, coinciding with the higher activity in sawmills and wood preservation in September.
Food, beverage and tobacco wholesaling (+1.6%) further contributed to the increase in September, coinciding with increased activity in beverage and tobacco product manufacturing (+5.9%) and food manufacturing (+0.4%) in the month.
Retail trade down, tempering September’s expansion
The retail trade sector was the largest detractor to the growth in September with a 0.7% contraction in the month due to declines in most subsectors.
Chart 4
Retail trade sector is down in September
In September, the motor vehicle and parts dealers’ subsector (-2.1%) was down for the first time in three months, reflecting lower retailing activities at new car dealers. The contraction in retailing activities at general merchandise retailers (-1.1%), building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers (-1.1%) and gasoline stations and fuel vendors (-1.0%) further contributed to the decline in the sector. Meanwhile, growth at food and beverage retailers (+0.4%) mitigated the sector’s decline.
Construction sector falls after four straight months of increases
The construction sector was down 0.2% in September following four consecutive monthly increases. Residential building construction, down for the second month in a row, decreased 1.4% in September, driven by lower activity in the new construction of multi-unit buildings.
Engineering and other construction activities (+1.2%) and non-residential building construction (+0.1%) tempered the decrease in September.
Chart 5
Main industrial sectors’ contribution to the percent change in gross domestic product in September
Advance estimate for real gross domestic product by industry for October 2025
Advance information indicates that real GDP decreased 0.3% in October. Decreases in oil and gas extraction, educational services, and manufacturing were partially offset by increases in mining, quarrying and support services. Owing to its preliminary nature, this estimate will be updated on December 23, 2025, with the release of the official GDP by industry data for October.
Real gross domestic product by industry up in the third quarter
Real GDP was up 0.5% in the third quarter, following a 0.3% decrease in the second quarter, as both goods-producing industries (+1.1%) and services-producing industries (+0.2%) contributed to the increase in the quarter.
Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction (+1.8%) led the growth in the third quarter. Oil and gas extraction expanded 3.2%, led by a ramp up in activity following a decline in the previous quarter. This was the largest quarterly growth rate since the third quarter of 2021. Oil sands extraction expanded 5.2% in the third quarter of 2025, as extraction of crude bitumen and production of synthetic crude expanded following the completion of maintenance and upgrading activities at oil sands facilities in April and May. Oil and gas extraction (except oil sands) rose 1.4% in the third quarter, reflecting increased extractions of natural gas and crude petroleum in Alberta and Newfoundland and Labrador.
The real estate and rental and leasing sector (+1.0%) expanded in the third quarter and was up for a second consecutive quarter. Higher activity at the offices of real estate agents and brokers and activities related to real estate (+7.0%) led the sector’s quarterly growth in the third quarter, following two consecutive quarterly declines, reflecting rising home resale activity across the country, particularly in the Greater Toronto-Hamilton area in Ontario and the Metro Vancouver area in British Columbia. Legal services, which derives much of its activity from real estate transactions, rose 1.1% in the third quarter.
The construction sector rose 1.3% in the third quarter, led by a 4.4% increase in engineering and other construction. This was the sixth consecutive quarterly increase for the sector. Residential buildings construction edged up 0.1%, while repair construction (-0.7%) and non-residential buildings construction (-0.3%) tempered some of the growth.
Chart 6
Main industrial sectors’ contribution to the percent change in gross domestic product in the third quarter
Manufacturing expanded 1.1% in the third quarter, driven largely by a 1.3% increase in non-durable goods manufacturing. Petroleum and coal product manufacturing led the growth with an 8.3% expansion in the quarter, as petroleum refineries across the country resumed and ramped up their production following the completion of maintenance activities in the second quarter. Durable-goods manufacturing was up 0.9% in the third quarter, led by a 5.9% increase in machinery manufacturing and a 1.0% increase in transportation equipment manufacturing, as motor vehicles and parts manufacturing (+3.1%) resumed production following atypical timing and prolonged duration of maintenance and retooling activities at automotive assembly lines.
The finance and insurance sector grew for the eighth consecutive quarter, up 0.8% in the third quarter. Other finance and insurance expanded 1.8%, buoyed by higher activity in the mutual funds market, coinciding with the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) index reaching all-time highs during the quarter.
Public administration was the largest detractor to growth in the third quarter, posting a 0.6% decline, driven by a fall in the federal government public administration (except defence). Activities in the third quarter declined following the increase associated with the Canadian federal election in the second quarter.
Sustainable development goals
On January 1, 2016, the world officially began implementing the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development—the United Nations’ transformative plan of action that addresses urgent global challenges over the following 15 years. The plan is based on 17 specific sustainable development goals.
The release on gross domestic product by industry is an example of how Statistics Canada supports monitoring the progress of global sustainable development goals. This release will be used to help measure the following goal:
Note to readers
Introduction of the North American Industry Classification System 2022 in the monthly real gross domestic product by industry estimates
This release includes revised estimates of monthly gross domestic product (GDP) by industry estimates due to the incorporation of a new industry classification. The new industry classification incorporates the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) Canada 2022 Version 1.0, the reclassification of financial sector industries to improve alignment with sectoral accounts, the aggregation of relatively smaller industries, and the introduction of greater detail in industries where it was deemed analytically or statistically useful.
A detailed view of these changes and relevant concordance files are available on demand.
In addition to the change in industry classification, the monthly GDP by industry estimates were revised due to the incorporation of statistical revisions that mainly affect the periods prior to 2014.
General information
Monthly data on GDP by industry at basic prices are chained volume estimates with 2017 as the reference year. This means that the data for each industry and each aggregate are obtained from a chained volume index multiplied by the industry’s value added in 2017. The monthly data are benchmarked to annually chained Fisher volume indexes of GDP obtained from the constant-price supply and use tables (SUTs) up to the latest SUTs year (2022).
For the period starting in January 2023, data are derived by chaining a fixed-weight Laspeyres volume index to the prior period. The fixed weights are 2022 industry current price estimates.
Statistics Canada also produces expenditure-based GDP estimates at market prices, which are chained quarterly based on a Fisher volume index. Due to conceptual and statistical differences, GDP by industry and GDP by expenditure percent change estimates can diverge slightly.
All data in this release are seasonally adjusted. For information on seasonal adjustment, see Seasonally adjusted data – Frequently asked questions.
An advance estimate of industrial production for October 2025 is available upon request.
For more information on GDP, see the video “What is Gross Domestic Product (GDP)?.”
For more information on the impact of tariffs on key economic statistics, please consult: “How tariffs are conceptually reflected in key economic statistics.”
Revisions
Each month, newly available administrative and survey data from various industries in the economy are integrated, resulting in statistical revisions. Updated and revised administrative data (including taxation statistics), new information provided by respondents to industry surveys, and standard changes to seasonal adjustment calculations are incorporated with each release.
With this release of monthly GDP by industry, revisions have been made back to January 1997.
To satisfy the opposing goals for both timeliness and accuracy, Statistics Canada regularly updates (revises) its estimates of GDP. For more information about GDP revision cycles, please consult the “Revisions to Canada’s GDP” article in the Latest Developments in the Canadian Economic Accounts (Catalogue number13-605-X).
Real-time table
Real-time table 36-10-0491-01 will be updated on December 15, 2025.
Next release
Data on real GDP by industry for October 2025 will be released on December 23, including an advance estimate for the November 2025 reference month.
Products
The User Guide: Canadian System of Macroeconomic Accounts (Catalogue number13-606-G) is available.
The Methodological Guide: Canadian System of Macroeconomic Accounts (Catalogue number13-607-X) is also available.
The Economic accounts statistics portal, accessible from the Subjects module of the Statistics Canada website, features an up-to-date portrait of national and provincial economies and their structure.
Contact information
For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact us (toll-free 1-800-263-1136; 514-283-8300; infostats@statcan.gc.ca) or Media Relations (statcan.mediahotline-ligneinfomedias.statcan@statcan.gc.ca).