Poll: Netanyahu’s Likud Largest Party in Knesset, but Coalition Still Lacks Majority in Case of Elections

Likud would be the largest party in the Knesset with 27 seats if elections were to be held currently, a Channel 12 News poll released Thursday shows, gaining two more than in the previous survey.

The far-right Otzma Yehudit party also picked up two seats, rising to eight from six last week. The Religious Zionism party led by far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, however, again fell below the 3.25 percent electoral threshold after earning four seats in the previous poll.

As in the last survey, the opposition parties held steady at 69 seats, while the coalition remained at 51.

Channel 12 News poll, Thursday, December 11, 2025LikudBennett 2026The DemocratsShasYesh AtidYisrael Beitenu Otzma YehuditUnited Torah JudaismYasharHadash-Ta’alUnited Arab ListBaladKahol LavanReligious ZionismThe ReservistsChannel 12 News, conducted by the Midgam Institute and Manu Geva in collaboration with iPanel

The Bennett 2026 party, led by former prime minister Naftali Bennett, is the second-largest in the poll with 22 seats, up one from last week. The third-largest party, the Democrats, led by Yair Golan, dropped one seat to 11.

Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beitenu, ultra-Orthodox Shas and Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid all held steady at nine seats, similiar to the previous poll.

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Also unchanged from the previous poll: the Yashar! party led by Gadi Eisenkot remains at eight seats, United Torah Judaism holds at seven, and both Hadash-Ta’al and the United Arab List remain at five seats each.

Kahol Lavan, led by Benny Gantz, Balad and the Reservists party all remain below the electoral threshold.

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The Channel 12 News poll was conducted by the Midgam Institute and Manu Geva in collaboration with iPanel, based on responses from 503 participants who constitute a representative sample of the entire adult population of Israel aged 18 and over. The margin of error is +4.4 percent.