Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) has quietly turned into a swing traders stock, with shares up roughly 17% over the past month but still down about 11% in the past 3 months.
See our latest analysis for Lucky Strike Entertainment.
That rebound comes after a choppy stretch, with the share price now at $8.96. A strong 1 month share price return contrasts with weak year to date share price performance and a still negative 1 year total shareholder return, suggesting sentiment is improving but not fully repaired.
If Lucky Strike’s recent volatility has you rethinking your next move, this could be a good moment to compare it with other fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.
With Lucky Strike trading well below analyst targets yet still posting losses, the key question is whether the current price underestimates a gradually improving business, or if the market is already discounting all the future growth potential.
With Lucky Strike closing at $8.96 against a narrative fair value of $13.55, the gap reflects bold expectations for a profit and margin turnaround.
Analysts expect earnings to reach $56.8 million (and earnings per share of $0.36) by about September 2028, up from $-19.1 million today. However, there is a considerable amount of disagreement amongst the analysts with the most bullish expecting $67.8 million in earnings, and the most bearish expecting $37.6 million.
Want to see how a loss making, debt heavy entertainment group is modeled to grow into healthy margins and premium earnings multiples? The narrative lays out an aggressive glide path for revenue, profitability, and share count that underpins this higher fair value. Curious which assumptions really carry the valuation story, and how sensitive the outcome is if they slip just a little?
Result: Fair Value of $13.55 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, sustained shifts toward at home digital entertainment and Lucky Strike’s heavy debt load could quickly pressure attendance, margins, and the optimistic valuation path.
Find out about the key risks to this Lucky Strike Entertainment narrative.
While the narrative fair value suggests Lucky Strike is 33.9% undervalued, its 1x price to sales ratio looks less forgiving. It trades slightly richer than peers at 0.9x and above a fair ratio of 0.9x, which hints at limited margin for disappointment if growth stumbles.
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
NYSE:LUCK PS Ratio as at Dec 2025
If you want to challenge these assumptions or dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a fresh, personalized view of Lucky Strike in minutes by using Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Lucky Strike Entertainment research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include LUCK.
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