President Donald Trump’s approval rating is underwater in at least 11 states that he carried by double digits in the 2024 election, a sign of growing dissatisfaction with the president’s performance ahead of November’s midterms even in places where support for him is strongest.
Nationally, the president is at 36 percent approval and 59 percent disapproval as of July 30, leaving him significantly underwater with a net approval rating of -24, according to Civiqs’ rolling online tracking poll of registered voters. The poll has garnered more than 120,000 responses since January 20, 2025, when Trump returned to office for a second term.
While Trump’s approval rating is highest in the most reliably Republican states, the state-by-state breakdown shows it is underwater in 11 states that he carried by at least 10 points in the 2024 presidential election against Democratic former Vice President Kamala Harris.
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The decline in approval ratings in those states could be consequential. Small shifts in voter sentiment could have an outsized impact on November’s midterm elections, when control of Congress is at stake, and Republicans are fighting to preserve their narrow majorities in the House and Senate for the remainder of Trump’s second term.
Trump’s Approval Slips in States He Easily Carried
Trump’s approval rating was positive in every state he won in 2024 by at least 10 percentage points when he was inaugurated for a second term in January 2025, but it has since slipped underwater in at least 11 of those states.
He has had a net negative approval rating in some of those states since he announced tariffs on U.S. trading partners in April last year. In other states, including Kentucky and Missouri, Trump’s approval rating went underwater after he announced a war with Iran in February.
The Civiqs poll shows him with a net negative approval rating in 11 of those states that he carried by double digits in the 2024 election. They are:
Alaska: -14 (40 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove)Florida: -12 (42 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove)Iowa: – 14 (44 percent approve, 49 percent disapprove)Kentucky: – 3 (39 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove)Louisiana: -4 (45 percent approve, 49 percent disapprove)Missouri: -7 (44 percent approve, 51 percent disapprove)Mississippi: -1 (47 percent approve, 48 percent disapprove)Nebraska: -3 (45 percent approve, 48 percent disapprove)Ohio: -13 (40 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove)South Carolina: -9 (42 percent approve, 51 percent disapprove)Texas: -13 (40 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove)
But even in the states where Trump’s approval rating is currently highest, the latest data still shows a clear decline from the start of his second term. He began his second term with +45 net approval in Wyoming and +31 in North Dakota, but that has now slipped to +19 in both states.
Use the map below to explore where Trump’s net approval rating stands in each state:
Important Races to Watch
Democrats need to pick up four seats in November to take control of the Senate, making competitive races in Iowa, Ohio and Texas particularly critical.
In Iowa, Democratic state Representative Josh Turek is in a tight race against Republican U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson for a seat that the GOP considers pivotal for preserving the party’s Senate majority. In Ohio, Democrats are counting on former Senator Sherrod Brown to unseat Republican incumbent Jon Husted.
And in Texas, Democratic state Representative James Talarico is facing Republican Ken Paxton, the state’s attorney general, in one of the country’s most closely watched Senate races.
All three are states that Trump comfortably carried in 2024, but where his approval rating is now underwater.
Key Battleground States
Trump remains underwater in all seven of the swing states that he carried in the 2024 presidential election.
His approval rating continuing to decline in those states could hurt Republicans in November’s midterm elections, and allow Democrats to pick up key seats in the House and Senate.
Arizona: -12 (42 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove)Georgia: -22 (36 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove)Michigan: -21 (37 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove)Nevada: -21 (37 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove)North Carolina: -15 (40 percent approve, 55 percent disapprove)Pennsylvania: -18 (38 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove)Wisconsin: -16 (40 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove)What the White House Says
The White House has repeatedly dismissed the president’s low approval ratings, pointing to Trump’s 2024 election victory as the clearest measure of public support.
In response to inquiries about polling, White House spokesman Davis Ingle previously told Newsweek that the Americans who voted for Trump gave him a mandate to “deliver on his popular and commonsense agenda.”
Trump “has already made historic progress not only in America but around the world. It is not surprising that President Trump remains the most dominant figure in American politics,” Ingle said.
Contact Newsweek editors on this story: Ben Kelly and Sam Wilson.