Inflation may tick up againpublished at 06:20 British Summer Time
06:20 BST
Dharshini David
Deputy economics editor
It’s a far cry from the pace of price rises seen a couple of years ago, but inflation has resurged in recent months – and today we may learn it ticked up in July.
Global commodity prices have contributed to higher food and energy prices.
And analysis from the Bank of England and other economists suggests the government’s own policies – such as increases in minimum wages and National Insurance changes, which push up staffing costs – have added to price rises for food stuffs and kept inflation for some services, such as hospitality, from easing off.
Such factors, the Bank thinks, could see inflation hit 4% in the autumn – before subsiding again.
Again, it’s not the double-digit price rises of a couple of years ago but may be enough to prevent the Bank from cutting interest rates again this year.
A silver lining among all the inflation talk: earnings, including for those who’ve benefitted from those higher minimum wages, have been rising faster than prices, meaning the squeeze has eased for many, albeit slightly.