The final polls before Election Day, published Friday evening by Israel’s three main television channels, showed Yashar party leader Gadi Eisenkot’s bloc holding a lead of two to six Knesset seats over Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s governing coalition.
None of the polls projected either bloc winning the 61 seats needed for a majority in the 120-seat Knesset.
The Arab-majority parties, whose disqualifications last month were overturned by the Supreme Court, received 14 to 16 seats in the polls.
Channel 12’s poll projected the Eisenkot bloc winning 56 seats compared with 50 for the Netanyahu bloc, while Channel 13’s poll puts the blocs at 54 and 50 seats respectively. Kan public television showed the Eisenkot bloc with 52 seats, compared with 50 for the Netanyahu bloc.
All three polls showed Eisenkot’s Yashar party leading – with 22 seats in Channel 13’s and Kan’s polls and 23 in Channel 12’s poll – while Netanyahu’s Likud is second-largest, with 21 seats in Channel 12’s poll, 20 seats in Kan’s poll and 19 in Channel 13’s poll.
Channel 12 Poll
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Yashar 23Likud21Together 15The Democrats10Joint List 9Shas8Yisrael Beiteinu8Otzma Yehudit8UTJ7Religious Zionism 6UAL5Amcha Israel0The Reservists0Haredi Public0Channel 12
Kan public television and Channel 13 showed Together, co-led by former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, with 14 seats, while Channel 12 gave the party 15.
All three channels showed the right-wing Yisrael Beiteinu, which also opposes Netanyahu’s bloc, maintaining its power with eight seats.
Channels 12 and 13 projected the Democrats, led by former general Yair Golan, winning 10 seats, while Kan showed the party receiving eight.
Channel 13 Poll
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Yashar 22Likud19Together 14The Democrats10Joint List 9Yisrael Beiteinu8UTJ8Otzma Yehudit8Religious Zionism 8Shas7UAL7Amcha Israel0The Reservists0Haredi Public0Channel 13
In Netanyahu’s coalition, all three polls projected far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit party receiving eight seats, one seat up from the previous poll on Wednesday.
Far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism party was projected to win eight seats in Channel 13’s poll, seven seats in Kan’s poll and six seats in Channel 12’s poll.
The Sephardic ultra-Orthodox Shas party was projected to win seven seats according to Kan and Channel 13, while Channel 12 showed it winning eight. United Torah Judaism, the Ashkenazi ultra-Orthodox party, won seven seats in Channel 12’s poll and eight in Kan’s and Channel 13’s polls.
Kan public television Poll
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Yashar 22Likud20Together 14Joint List 9The Democrats8Yisrael Beiteinu8UTJ8Otzma Yehudit8Shas7Religious Zionism 7UAL5The Reservists4Amcha Israel0Haredi Public0Kan 11
Ofer Winter’s new far-right party Amcha Yisrael fell below the electoral threshold in all three polls, as did the Haredi Public party, a new slate that advocates integrating ultra-Orthodox men into the workforce and exposing school children to a core curriculum.
The Reservists party only passed the threshold in Kan’s poll, receiving the minimum four seats.
Channel 13 projected the Joint List – a united slate of Arab parties Hadash, Ta’al and Balad – receiving nine seats together.
The United Arab List, led by MK Mansour Abbas, who joined the so-called Government of Change co-led by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, was projected to win seven seats in the Channel 13’s poll.
Channel 12 projected the Joint List with nine seats and the Abbas’ United Arab List with five, as did Kan’s poll.
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