Why Gennaro picked the Texans: Is this an elimination game in September? As the only Week 3 matchup between winless teams, this AFC South showdown screams desperation. Since 1990, just 2.9 percent of squads that lost their first three games went on to make the playoffs. We’re talkin’ five out of 171, people. Of course, last year’s Texans were one of those five. And while Houston’s hyped defense looked shockingly porous against Josh Allen’s Bills in Week 1, the unit largely stifled Joe Burrow and the Bengals last Sunday. I anticipate continued success against a one-dimensional Colts offense. Jonathan Taylor’s a stud, no doubt, but he has to be a one-man army with Daniel Jones still seemingly working his way back from last December’s Achilles tear. Add in the fact that Indianapolis’ $114 million field stretcher just hit injured reserve, and Houston can commit additional resources to stopping the Colts’ bell-cow back. Meanwhile, Indy’s defense hasn’t been able to stop anyone, giving up the second-most yards EVER in the first two weeks of a season:
1) 2016 Raiders: 1,035 yards allowed
2) 2026 Colts: 1,029
T-3) 1967 Falcons: 1,025
T-3) 2017 Saints: 1,025
Oddly enough, the two bookends on that list — the 2016 Raiders and 2017 Saints — both made the playoffs with double-digit wins. Maybe the Colts have everyone right where they want them! … Or maybe they’re doomed to suffer a sixth straight loss to C.J. Stroud and Co.