These Chinese PMIs come from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP).
For August 2025:
Manufacturing PMI 49.4, a slight miss
expected 49.5, prior 49.3this is the fifth consecutive month in contraction for the official manufacturing PMIdomestic demand remains disappointing, weighed down by factors such asthe heavily indebted property sector and falling or, at best, flat prices for homesUS tariffs hitting exportslocal government debt recent extreme weather/flooding
Non-Manufacturing (includes services and construction) PMI 50.3, in line with central estimates and a jump from July
expected 50.3, prior 50.1
Composite 50.5
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Over the next few days we’ll get the ‘unofficial’ Caixin/S&P manufacturing (on Monday September 1) and non-manufacturing (on Wednesday September 3) PMIs for August.
more to come
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Earlier big news:
The legal fight is not over (see the post) but perhaps China will just wait it out on tariffs.