Valencia vs Real Madrid – Preview & Prediction (Sep. 28, 2025)

Valencia vs Real Madrid – Preview & Prediction: Valencia and Real Madrid will play against each other in the Spanish Supercup Finals.

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Valencia vs Real Madrid Preview

Valencia pulled off a big surprise in the Spanish Supercup semifinals by defeating Unicaja 93-87 right in the heart of Malaga. In other circumstances, that might not have been such a strange result, but considering that the Taronges entered this tournament without their two best players, things look much clearer. Jean Montero and Brancou Badio are sidelined, as well as Xabi Lopez-Arostegui, who is very piece for Valencia on both ends of the floor. This victory becomes even more impressive when you take into account that Unicaja had a 17-4 advantage in offensive rebounds and still lost.

The absence of Montero and Badio was seized upon primarily by Omari Moore and young Sergio De Larrea, who both shined on Saturday afternoon. Moore dropped 20 points, while De Larrea added 15. Ike Iroegbu, who joined the club recently to help bridge this difficult stretch without the main guards, also left a solid impression. This win definitely boosts Valencia’s confidence that they can also go toe-to-toe on Sunday against the reigning Spanish champion.

Real Madrid survived a real thriller against Tenerife, winning 72-71, with Gabriel Deck emerging as the man of the moment by sinking two clutch free throws. The Argentine power forward was questionable for the Supercup due to injury, but not only did he make the roster, he was also among the main reasons for advancing to the final. This gave head coach Sergio Scariolo a debut victory, but it’s clear the former Spain NT coach has a lot of work ahead before this team starts resembling one of Europe’s very best.

Deck was also the team’s top scorer with 12 points, the same as veteran Sergio Llull. Andres Feliz added exactly 10 points as the only other double-digit contributor. Facundo Campazzo and Mario Hezonja struggled, Walter Tavares looked like his weaker version, while Theo Maledon and David Kramer—two new players with high expectations—showed very little. For many, the Supercup is usually the final tune-up before the season, but for a club like Real Madrid, every trophy is equally important.

Valencia vs Real Madrid H2H

Real Madrid swept Valencia 3-0 in last season’s Liga Endesa finals, and the overall H2H was 4-1 in their favor in the previous campaign.

Injuries and Suspensions

Brancou Badio, Jean Montero, and Xabi Lopez-Arostegui are out for Valencia in this tournament. Trey Lyles is unavailable for Real Madrid.

Where to Watch Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Valencia vs Real Madrid Best Betting Tip and Prediction

Despite a very poor showing, Real Madrid still found a way to grind out a win against Tenerife. The style of basketball that Valencia plays should suit them much better and open up offensive opportunities that Campazzo and Hezonja must capitalize on. There’s a good reason why Real was so dominant in the Liga Endesa finals, and we expect a similar outcome here.

Tip-off Time: Sunday, 28.09.2025, 19:00 CET
Prediction: Real Madrid -3.5
Odds: 1.70
Stake: 1 Unit
Sportsbook: 22Bet

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