Faria’s prediction: KAT will stuff the stat sheet against the Heat.
Nov 14, 2025 • 16:04 ET
• 4 min read
EXPERT PICK – PROP
Karl-Anthony Towns o15.5 Rebounds and Assists (-115)
Photo By – Imagn Images. New York Knicks center Karl-Anthony Towns (32) looks to drive past Memphis Grizzlies guard Ja Morant.
The New York Knicks will look to get back into the win column tonight when the Miami Heat pull up to Madison Square Garden for NBA Cup Group Play.
Miami has been getting crushed on the boards, which is why my Heat vs. Knicks predictions are banking on a big night on the glass for Karl-Anthony Towns.
Find out more in my NBA picks for Friday, November 14.
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Heat vs Knicks prediction
Heat vs Knicks best bet: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 15.5 assists and rebounds (-115)
The New York Knicks were routed 124-107 by the Orlando Magic to snap their five-game run on Wednesday, but Karl-Anthony Towns had another all-around productive outing.
The Knicks center scored just 15 points but added 12 boards and four assists to record his seventh straight double-double and 10th in 11 games this season. KAT has also posted Over 15.5 assists and rebounds in two straight contests and four of his last six.
He should easily top that number again vs. a Miami Heat team that’s been lackluster defensively and on the glass.
Not only do the Heat rank 23rd in points against per game (120.7), but they’re also 29th in opponent rebounds per game (49.8) as well as opponent offensive rebounds per game (14.8).
KAT is averaging 12.6 boards per contest – good for third in the NBA – as well as four dimes per game. He should dominate on the glass and show off his playmaking skills tonight at MSG.
Heat vs Knicks same-game parlay
Jalen Brunson, New York’s leading scorer, is sidelined with an ankle injury, which should put even more pressure on Towns to produce. KAT has scored Over 26.5 points just twice this season but he should flourish as the Knicks’ top offensive option vs. a Heat team that isn’t playing much D.
At the other end of the court, Norman Powell has been a bright spot for Miami with 24.8 ppg this season and Over 23.5 points in three of his last four outings.
Heat vs Knicks SGP
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 15.5 assists and rebounds
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 26.5 points
Norman Powell Over 23.5 points
Our “from downtown” SGP: Ware’s the value
Kel’el Ware has stepped up admirably as Miami’s starting center since Bam Adebayo went down with a toe injury last week. The seven-foot sophomore has 11.6 ppg and 10.4rpg in November while recording a double-double in two straight and three of his last five.
Heat vs Knicks SGP
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 15.5 assists and rebounds
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 26.5 points
Norman Powell Over 23.5 points
Kel’el Ware to record a double-double
Heat vs Knicks odds
Spread: Heat +5.5 | Knicks -5.5
Moneyline: Heat +190 | Knicks -225
Over/Under: Over 238.5 | Under 238.5
Heat vs Knicks betting trend to know
The Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Heat vs. Knicks.
How to watch Heat vs Knicks
Location
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Date
Friday, November 14, 2025
Tip-off
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
Prime Video
Heat vs Knicks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria’s career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.
Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: “Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses.”
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