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Which NFL teams have the best chances of winning their games on the NFL Week 17 schedule?
ESPN Analytics has revealed its Matchup Predictor numbers for the 16 games in the league this week, and they offer some interesting win probabilities.
Take a look at the site’s picks for this week’s NFL games, beginning with the Christmas Day game between the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders on Dec. 25 and concluding with the Monday Night Football game between the Los Angeles Rams and Atlanta Falcons on Dec. 29.
Some of the site’s predictions differ from NFL Week 17 odds and other NFL Week 17 picks for NFL Week 17 games.
How correct will the analytics be this week? Click on each game for more NFL Week 17 predictions for that NFL matchup. All times MST. The site allows for the possibility of ties, so the numbers add up to just less than 100%.
NFL Week 17 picks: Cowboys at Commanders | Lions at Vikings | Broncos at Chiefs | Texans at Chargers | Ravens at Packers | Seahawks at Panthers | Cardinals at Bengals | Steelers at Browns | Jaguars at Colts | Buccaneers at Dolphins | Patriots at Jets | Saints at Titans | Giants at Raiders | Eagles at Bills | Bears at 49ers | Rams at Falcons | The Republic’s score predictions
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Christmas Day NFL game predictions, Dec. 25
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders, 11 a.m., Netflix
Cowboys have a 56.1% chance to beat the Commanders on Christmas Day.
The site gives the Commanders a 43.6% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings, 2:30 p.m., Netflix
Lions have a 68.7% chance to beat the Vikings on Christmas Day.
The site gives the Vikings a 31.1% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs, 6:15 p.m., Prime Video (stream on Amazon)
Broncos have a 57.9% chance to beat the Chiefs on Christmas Day.
The site gives the Chiefs a 41.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Saturday NFL game predictions, Dec. 27
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers, 2:30 p.m., NFL Network (stream with FUBO)
Chargers have a 52.4% chance to beat the Texans.
The site gives the Texans a 47.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers, 6 p.m., Peacock (stream on Peacock)
Ravens have a 50.2% chance to beat the Packers.
The site gives the Packers a 49.4% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Sunday early NFL game predictions, Dec. 28
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers, 11 a.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
Seahawks have a 68.3% chance to beat the Panthers.
The site gives the Panthers a 31.4% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals, 11 a.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
Bengals have a 66.1% chance to beat the Cardinals.
The site gives the Cardinals a 33.6% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns, 11 a.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
Steelers have a 72% chance to beat the Browns.
The site gives the Browns a 27.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts, 11 a.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
Jaguars have a 59.2% chance to beat the Colts.
The site gives the Colts a 40.5% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins, 11 a.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
Buccaneers have a 69% chance to beat the Dolphins.
The site gives the Dolphins a 30.7% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
New England Patriots at New York Jets, 11 a.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
Patriots have a 71.7% chance to beat the Jets.
The site gives the Jets a 28.1% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans, 11 a.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
Saints have a 55.9% chance to beat the Titans.
The site gives the Titans a 43.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Sunday late NFL game predictions, Dec. 28
New York Giants at Las Vegas Raiders, 2:05 p.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
Giants have a 54.8% chance to beat the Raiders.
The site gives the Raiders a 44.9% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills, 2:25 p.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
Eagles have a 50% chance to beat the Bills.
The site gives the Bills a 49.6% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Sunday Night Football prediction, Dec. 28
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers, 6:20 p.m., NBC (stream on Peacock)
49ers have a 59.9% chance to beat the Bears on Sunday Night Football.
The site gives the Bears a 39.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Monday Night Football prediction, Dec. 29
Los Angeles Rams at Atlanta Falcons, 6:15 p.m., ESPN (stream with FUBO)
Rams have a 71.1% chance to beat the Falcons on Monday Night Football.
The site gives the Falcons a 28.7% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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