AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 22, 2025

To give you an advantage with your AFL tips for Round 22, we have AFL Round 22 tips 2025 for every match this weekend.

Gain an edge in your AFL tipping competitions thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 22 of the 2025 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL match-up thousands of times.

As we are now in the concluding weeks of the 2025 AFL season, these expert tips are becoming even more important. Make the most of the below Round 22 AFL tips to give yourself a chance of securing the best possible finish in this year’s footy tipping.

AFL Round 22 Expert Tips 2025

There are nine games in Round 22 of the 2025 AFL season, starting with Hawthorn vs Collingwood on Thursday and finishing with West Coast vs Adelaide on Sunday.

These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 22 2025 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters across the country.

AFL Tips Round 22 2025: Who Will Win

Listed below are our predictions for each AFL clash in Round 22, based on 10,000 simulations per match.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood

Round 22 AFL action kicks off with Hawthorn taking on Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday night. Our model projects Collingwood as having a 56% chance of winning, while Hawthorn has a 44% projected win chance.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, August 7 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Geelong vs Essendon

In this week’s game between Geelong and Essendon, the Cats are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 99% chance for Geelong. On the other hand, Essendon has a 1% chance of pulling off an upset win.

Geelong vs Essendon is at GMHBA Stadium on Friday, August 8 at 7:40pm.

More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips

Richmond vs St Kilda

We are tipping St Kilda to win its game against Richmond this week, with our model projecting a 77% win probability for the Saints. Richmond has a 23% chance of winning.

Richmond vs St Kilda is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 9 at 1:20pm.

Brisbane vs Sydney

With a win probability of 84%, our tip for this match is Brisbane, while its opponent, Sydney, has a projected win chance of 16%.

Brisbane vs Sydney is at The Gabba on Saturday, August 9 at 4:15pm.

More: AFL Player Ratings

Carlton vs Gold Coast

The Suns have a 74% chance of winning this week, compared to Carlton’s 26% chance of victory. This makes Gold Coast the team to tip at Marvel Stadium.

Carlton vs Gold Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, August 9 at 7:35pm.

Port Adelaide vs Fremantle

Fremantle is favoured to win here, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 78% chance, while Port Adelaide enters the weekend with a 22% chance of winning at Adelaide Oval.

Port Adelaide vs Fremantle is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, August 9 at 8:10pm.

More: AFL Strength of Schedule

GWS vs North Melbourne

According to our predictive analytics model, GWS is the team to beat in this game, with the Giants’ win probability at 95%. North Melbourne, on the other hand, has a 5% chance of winning.

GWS vs North Melbourne is at Giants Stadium on Sunday, August 10 at 1:40pm.

Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs

We are tipping the Bulldogs in this game, with the Western Bulldogs given a 79% chance of winning, while Melbourne has a 21% win probability.

Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, August 10 at 3:20pm.

West Coast vs Adelaide

The last game of Round 22 sees West Coast take on Adelaide at Optus Stadium.

We are tipping Adelaide with a win probability of 98%, while West Coast is projected to have a win chance of just 2%.

West Coast vs Adelaide is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, August 10 at 5:10pm.

AFL Tipping Round 22 2025: Who to Tip

Collingwood
Geelong
St Kilda
Brisbane
Gold Coast
Fremantle
GWS
Bulldogs
Adelaide

Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game

AFL Round 22 Games to Tip On

Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies
Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers
Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints
Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns
Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers
GWS Giants vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs
West Coast Eagles vs Adelaide Crows

The AFL footy tips Round 22 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.

If you choose to use our tips for betting purposes, it’s important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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