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Garmin (GRMN) just introduced the Varia RearVue 820, a new cycling radar tail light with advanced vehicle tracking, a brighter brake light and longer battery life, giving investors fresh information on its cycling safety lineup.
See our latest analysis for Garmin.
Despite the Varia RearVue 820 launch, Garmin’s recent share price performance has been subdued, with a 7 day share price return of a 1.75% decline and a year to date share price return of a 0.60% decline, while the 3 year total shareholder return of 116.48% points to stronger long term compounding.
If Garmin’s latest cycling tech has your attention, it could be a good moment to see what else is on the move across high growth tech and AI stocks.
So with Garmin shares down over the past year despite annual revenue and net income growth, and the stock trading at roughly a 22% intrinsic discount, is this a potential entry point, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
Garmin’s most followed valuation narrative assigns a fair value of $235.25 per share, compared with the last close of $201.22, framing the recent pullback in a different light.
The launch of the Garmin Connect+ premium service, which offers AI-based health and fitness insights, is likely to boost subscription-based revenue growth and improve overall margins through higher-margin services. The new vÃvoactive 6 smartwatch release, with advanced features like an AMOLED display and enhanced sports apps, suggests potential revenue growth in the Fitness segment, supported by strong demand for advanced wearables.
Curious what earnings path and margin profile are baked into that fair value, and how rich the future P/E needs to be to support it? The most followed narrative lays out a detailed earnings journey, revenue glide path and profitability mix that have to line up for this valuation gap to make sense.
Result: Fair Value of $235.25 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, that earnings path depends on steady revenue growth and margins. Any stumble in product cycles or higher operating costs could quickly challenge the premium P/E case.
Find out about the key risks to this Garmin narrative.
While the most popular narrative sees Garmin as 14.5% undervalued, the P/E story is less forgiving. The stock trades on a 24.6x P/E, above the 20.3x fair ratio our model suggests, and far richer than the 11.9x Consumer Durables average. Peer names sit closer at 25x.
In plain terms, you are paying a premium multiple that already assumes a lot goes right, even though our fair ratio points to room for that P/E to drift lower over time. This raises a question: is this a case of quality that deserves a higher tag, or is valuation risk creeping in quietly?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
NYSE:GRMN P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026
If you see the numbers differently or prefer to weigh the assumptions yourself, you can build your own view in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Garmin.
If Garmin has you thinking about your next move, do not stop here. Widen your watchlist with a few focused idea lists that surface very different kinds of opportunities.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include GRMN.
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