The Seattle Seahawks won Super Bowl 60 despite having consensus 60-1 odds (+6000) to do so before the 2025 NFL season. They beat fellow longshots, the New England Patriots, who got there as 80-1 odds (+8000), making it the most improbable Super Bowl ever
According to Caesars Sportsbook, the Seahawks’ NFC West rival Los Angeles Rams (+900) are the very early favorites to win Super Bowl 61, ahead of both the Seahawks (+1000) and the Buffalo Bills (+1000).
With the Rams now set to pay out at 9-1, the Super Bowl race is rather wide open again, given the upcoming NFL offseason of free agency and the draft can change the talent on a lot of teams. Ten of the league’s 32 teams already are much different with new coaching staffs.
The Kansas City Chiefs (+1400), Baltimore Ravens (+1400) and Detroit Lions (+1500) are expected to rebound affer down non-playoff seasons. There are plenty of familiar contenders overall in the top half of the league. But digging deeper to odds that mirror where the Patriots and Seahawks were, here’s looking at the three best latest longshots to make a surprise championship run:
SEAHAWKS WIN SUPER BOWL 60:
Best NFL longshots for Super Bowl 61
New York Giants (+6000)
The 2026 Giants are much like the 2025 Patriots. They have a promising dual threat second-year quarterback, Jaxson Dart, plus a major positive change at head coach in hiring John Harbaugh, who led the Ravens to consistent success, including victory in Super Bowl 47. New York had a brutal schedule in ’25 but now it’s much more manageable.
The Cowboys and Commanders are vulnerable to be passed in the NFC East and the Giants showed some great flashes with Dart against the Eagles. The Giants have some defensive pieces, led by ’25 first-rounder Abdul Carter, who can be molded well into formidalte unith, thanks to a new scheme with a few more upgrades. They also should improve blocking and skill support for Dart to maximize their complementary football.
The Giants don’t seem as “out of the blue” as the Patriots or Seahawks were this time last year. They can channel what the Commanders did in 2024 with a rookie Jayden Daniels, getting all the way to the NFC championship game.
MORE:Â Why Drake Maye will bounce back from Super Bowl 60 struggles
New Orleans Saints (+11000)
The second-year quarterback theme continues with Tyler Shough, who challenged Dart and others late for Offensive Rookie of the Year honors despite starting only 9 games as a rookie. The Saints went 5-4 down the stretch with Shough being a quick study in Kellen Moore’s dynamic offense, despite limited weapons. New Orleans should feel more confident in Shough breaking out with some key systemic support as well.
The Saints are a bit salary cap-strapped but they can still make some improvements with some more push for a youth movement for Moore and Shough. They also have good draft potential (starting at No. 8 overall) to get more impact players there, given they got left tackle Kelvin Banks Jr. and Shough with their first two picks in 2025 and stole safety Jonas. Sanker in the third round.
New Orleans can also take advantage of a weak NFC South, where Carolina still has work to do as reigning champions, Tampa Bay is breaking in a new offense and Atlanta once again has a new coach. The Saints also have the second-easiest schedule overall, thanks to the combined ’25 winning percentage (.434) of their 2026 opponents.
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Tennessee Titans (+12500)
Don’t forget the Titans also have a second-year QB, the one taken No. 1 overall in Cam Ward. Tennessee was smart to realize early that offensive-minded Brian Callahan was not the right coach to attach to Ward. The combination of former New York head coaches Robert Saleh and Brian Daboll might not seem flashy, but they are exactly what the Titans needed to overhaul the defense and give Ward some major upside with the offensive play-caller who helped flip Josh Allen into an elite passer and runner.
The Titans play in the topsy-turvy AFC South, where the Texans and Colts have major offseason offensive questions and the Jaguars figure to be the team to beat again. Tennessee has the eighth-easiest schedule and is sitting around a ridiculous $100 million under the salary cap for GM Mike Borgonzi to spend on free-agent upgrades for Ward and the defense. The Titans also should get an immediate impact star with the No. 4 overall draft pick.Â
Ward, Dart and Shough didn’t get as much buzz as the vaunted 2024 draft class that can already boast five playoff QBs in Daniels, Maye, Caleb Williams and Bo Nix. But their teams can put them in position for a surprise playoff run, thanks to also benefiting from rookie contracts.