NHL Betting Preview: Islanders vs Senators
The New York Islanders meet the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, March 19.
Sens Should Have the Edge Against Islanders
The Senators should be able to come out on top against the Islanders. Our betting prediction is to back them on the Moneyline where an attractive -143 can be landed.
Islanders Too Good for Sens in Last H2H
New York Islanders have won three road games on the spin, triumphing 3-1 in their previous appearance. This was against Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena. Emil Heineman, Brayden Schenn and Calum Ritchie scored one goal apiece. Goalie Ilya Sorokin had an awesome game, keeping out 26 shots (.963).
Ottawa Senators have landed two home wins on the spin. It was a road defeat to Washington Capitals in their last game, losing 4-1 at Capital One Arena. Sens had 35 shots but despite this only managed to score one goal. Tim Stutzle was the goalscorer.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The scoreline was 5-4 in favor of the Islanders when they last played the Sens, with the encounter taking place at Canadian Tire Centre. The Islanders have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.
Starting Goalies
Ilya Sorokin (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
25-15-2
2.5
.914
6
23/24
25-19-12
3.01
.908
2
James Reimer (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
4-3-1
2.5
.882
1
23/24
11-8-2
3.11
.904
2
New York Islanders – Last 10 Games
7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.1 goals from 32.4 shots on goal, with a 20.0% powerplay efficiency. The Islanders have been giving up 3.0 goals from 28.9 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 81.5%.
Mathew Barzal is the top points scorer with 12 points, 1 goal and 11 assists, with Matthew Schaefer recording 10 points, 4 goals and 6 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Ilya Sorokin have a 2.73 goal against average with a .904 save percentage.
Ottawa Senators – Last 10 Games
The Sens have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.5 goals from 30.7 shots on goal, with a 16.3% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.5 goals from 23.2 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.6%.
The top points scorer is Drake Batherson with 10 points, 8 goals and 2 assists, while Tim Stutzle is next best after having 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Linus Ullmark have a 2.56 GAA with a .893 SV%, including one shutout.
New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators Prediction & Picks
Unlock a complete betting breakdown for New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.
Game Prediction
Ottawa Senators should have the edge over their opponents and our pick is to side with them on the Moneyline. There is a tempting -143 for the home team to win this NHL encounter.
We put solid research behind every hockey prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NHL stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions
Key Islanders vs Senators stats:
Senators have won 6 of their last 10 games.Senators have won 12 of their last 20 games.Senators have won 2 consecutive games at home.Sens Moneyline Probability
The best sportsbooks make it a 58.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
We advise heading to the Match Winner & Total Goals lines if you want to combine the Ottawa win with an Over or Under selection. This provides plenty of juice for bettors looking for extra value.
Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.
Our Game Prediction
Senators Moneyline @ -143
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Published 00:56, 19 March 2026
Player Prop Picks
Shane Pinto (Senators) has had Over 1.5 shots on goal in 7 straight games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -200 are now available.
Latest Shane Pinto Player Prop Odds
Goals
Assists
Shots on Goal
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Giving Sens Plenty of Respect
Sportsbooks’ favorites Ottawa Senators are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -139 about them triumphing means a 58% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back New York Islanders, you will find +115 about the underdogs.
1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 5.5 right now. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 5.5 at -141.
Consider every angle when placing your bets. The best NHL sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the clash.
Brady Tkachuk Favorite to Score the First Goal
Brady Tkachuk is the First Goalscorer favorite at +1100. Alternatively, there’s the chance to simply back him to light the lamp at anytime at +170.
Player Goals
Brady Tkachuk (Senators)
Bo Horvat (Islanders)
Tim Stützle (Senators)
Drake Batherson (Senators)
Player Assists
Mathew Barzal (Islanders)
Tim Stützle (Senators)
Thomas Chabot (Senators)
Matthew Schaefer (Islanders)
Player Shots
Brady Tkachuk (Senators)
Bo Horvat (Islanders)
Tim Stützle (Senators)
Drake Batherson (Senators)
Micro Betting
Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with NHL fans essentially being able to bet in-game when it comes to team and player props. Sometimes these are lines where you can wager on Shots or Goals.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
New York Islanders Stats
Ottawa Senators Stats
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.70 pts and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 32.4
Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
Penalties: 2.7
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 5.7
Blocks: 16.6
Faceoff Wins : 30.1
Hits: 21.9
Giveaways: 13.4
Takeaways: 5.2
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 31.3
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 2.8
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 6.2
Blocks: 16.7
Faceoff Wins : 29.7
Hits: 20.8
Giveaways: 13.6
Takeaways: 4.6
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 30.7
Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
Penalties: 3.9
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 10.6
Blocks: 16.9
Faceoff Wins : 28.2
Hits: 23.8
Giveaways: 13.3
Takeaways: 5.1
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.8
Shots: 31.3
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 3.4
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 7.9
Blocks: 16.7
Faceoff Wins : 28.5
Hits: 29
Giveaways: 13.8
Takeaways: 6.2
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Robert Carter
NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Our ice hockey previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our hockey panel and Editor-in-Chief.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Mar 19, 07:38 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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