NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Islanders
The Toronto Maple Leafs square off against the New York Islanders at UBS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 18:45 on Thursday, April 9.
Take Islanders to Land Victory
We are going to bet against the Maple Leafs with our prediction. The best way of doing this is by siding with the home team and we really like the -128 about the Islanders winning on the 3-Way Moneyline.
Islanders Have 7 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Clashes
Toronto Maple Leafs have been defeated in three straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Washington Capitals by a 4-0 scoreline at Scotiabank Arena. Leafs won the shots on goal, 21 to 20.
New York Islanders lost on the road in their last game, making it four straight defeats. Carolina Hurricanes won 4-3 at Lenovo Center. Anders Lee, Maxim Shabanov and Marc Gatcomb each scored one goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Islanders have won the last two meetings against the Leafs. They triumphed 4-3 (OT) at UBS Arena and then 3-1 at Scotiabank Arena. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Islanders victories.
Starting Goalies
Artur Akhtyamov (Confirmed)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
0-0-0
0
1.000
0
Ilya Sorokin (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
28-22-2
2.7
.909
7
23/24
25-19-12
3.01
.908
2
Toronto Maple Leafs – Last 10 Games
3 wins, 5 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 22.3 shots on goal, with a 18.4% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 4.1 goals from 33.2 shots, averaging 5.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.8%.
John Tavares is the top points scorer with 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists, with William Nylander recording 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 4.31 goal against average with a .881 save percentage.
New York Islanders – Last 10 Games
The Islanders have 3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 2.6 goals from 26.4 shots on goal, with a 13.5% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.7 goals from 28.7 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 83.9%.
The top points scorer is Matthew Schaefer with 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists, while Bo Horvat is next best after having 8 points, 2 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Ilya Sorokin have a 3.42 GAA with a .883 SV%, including one shutout.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Prediction & Picks
Approach Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely correct score outcome and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.
Game Prediction
There is -128 available when it comes to New York Islanders on the 60-minute line. We believe that our pick has a strong chance of winning this NHL clash and the odds makes lots of appeal.
We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant NHL stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate hockey predictions.
Key Maple Leafs vs Islanders stats:
Islanders have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.Islanders have won 12 of their last 20 games at home.Maple Leafs have lost 4 of their last 5 games.Maple Leafs have lost 15 of their last 20 games.Maple Leafs have lost their last 3 games.Islanders have won the last 2 games between these teams.Islanders 3-Way Moneyline Probability
The best betting sites are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This hockey wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
If you can correctly predict that Islanders will win along with the number of goals, then you are able to combine the two picks by going down the Match Winner & Total Goals route.
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Our Game Prediction
Islanders 3-Way Moneyline @ -128
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 9, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:56, 09 April 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Islanders Big Favorites With the Books
At betting odds of -263 with the sportsbooks, New York Islanders are regarded as 72% likely to win this game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +215 about Toronto Maple Leafs.
The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. Having a bet on Totals is one of the most popular hockey wagers. If you’re keen on Over 6.5, this selection is available at -105.
The best NHL sportsbooks offer a wide variety of game lines and team props for every matchup, with plenty of options available both before and during the game. Be sure to explore all the lines and odds before placing your bets.
Player Props & Micro Betting
You shouldn’t overlook the player and goalie props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Goals, Assists, Points and Shots.
Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NHL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and several 10 Minute lines are among the options.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Toronto Maple Leafs Stats
New York Islanders Stats
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 4.10 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.80 pts and allowed 4.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 22.3
Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
Penalties: 5.2
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 14.9
Blocks: 11.2
Faceoff Wins : 27.3
Hits: 21.7
Giveaways: 15
Takeaways: 4.4
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 22.5
Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
Penalties: 5.4
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 15.2
Blocks: 11.2
Faceoff Wins : 27.1
Hits: 23.7
Giveaways: 16.3
Takeaways: 4.5
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 26.4
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.1
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 9
Blocks: 14.5
Faceoff Wins : 30.7
Hits: 23.1
Giveaways: 13.8
Takeaways: 4.4
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.2
Shots: 27.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 2.1
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 4.5
Blocks: 14.5
Faceoff Wins : 31
Hits: 21.7
Giveaways: 14.1
Takeaways: 4.7
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Paul Boucher
Senior NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Paul Boucher is a Senior NHL Analyst and Head of the Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel with over 15 years of experience as a sports journalist and betting analyst. Based in Montreal, he provides first-hand insight through regular attendance at the Bell Centre, utilising advanced metrics to identify market value across key game lines, player props and same game parlays.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 9, 07:38 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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