Keagan Smith breaks down his favorite MLB player prop bets today on DraftKings Sportsbook for Saturday’s 15-game slate.
We’re only a few short weeks into the 2026 MLB season, but it’s undoubtedly already off to a hot start even before the summer months set in. On Saturday, we get a full 15-game slate with every single team in action. The first matchups begin in the early afternoon at a shade past 1 p.m. ET, but there are plenty of options throughout the schedule before the nightcap at 8:40 p.m.
With so many matchups on deck, there are plenty of opportunities to put down a few wagers. Before the start of Saturday’s contests, here are a couple of MLB bets worth placing on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Kodai Senga 7+ strikeouts (+103)
Are we starting with something of a lofty line as we target 7+ strikeouts for Mets hurler Kodai Senga? A little bit, but this prop bet comes in at just over even odds and there’s a lot to feel good about with this one. Here’s the deal. There are just four MLB teams with a K% above 27.0% right now and the Athletics are one of them. This lineup has been aggressive already, sitting third in K% at 27.5% with the fourth-worst BB/K ratio at 0.31. The A’s are also third in overall swing rate (49.5%), first in first-pitch swing rate (40.1%), third in chase rate (32.7%), and fifth in whiff rate (30.1%). Those are a lot of percentages, but there’s a reason I’m throwing numbers at you.
The Athletics take on the Mets today, who deploy the right-handed Senga as their starter. Last season, he pitched just 113.1 innings and missed time due to injury, but finished with some very respectable numbers thanks to a 3.02 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, also punching out 109 hitters. Now in 2026, his fastball velocity is way up from 93.7 mph to 96.1 mph, plus, he’s generated an 85th-percentile whiff rate (34.5%) and 88th-percentile K% (34.0%). After striking out nine batters in his opening start and seven in his more recent one — good for 16 punchouts in just 11.2 IP — I like him to take advantage of this matchup against a swing-happy A’s order.
Max Fried under 5.5 hits allowed (-126)
Perhaps this one will be a little controversial, but I’m targeting the under on 5.5 hits allowed for Max Fried today. Yes, even in a matchup against a Tampa Bay Rays side that has the sixth-best AVG in baseball at .255, I’m still going with the under for the ace here. Why’s that? Well, Fried has been dealing thus far. He didn’t allow an earned run until his third start of the season and gave up a combined five hits across his first two appearances despite going 13.1 innings across the pair. Yes, those came against San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners teams that are some of the worst offenses in baseball right now, but seriously… Fried looks awesome. He then followed it up with 6.2 IP against the Miami Marlins, who did manage to get five hits off him (with three earned runs). However, even that performance still came in under today’s line of 5.5.
Sure, the Rays are hitting well, but Fried has certainly produced and I’m confident he’ll come up in a big way again today against an AL East rival. The strikeout stuff hasn’t yet come online with just an 18.7% K%, but he’s still managed to get the job done in his three starts thus far and can handle business to limit damage even if he’s not generating a ton of misses yet. I see a guy with just 10 hits allowed over 20.0 IP and I’m not supposed to eye the under?