Export Finance Australia (EFA) has been helping Australian businesses take on the world for almost 70 years. But the world those businesses are exporting to has changed dramatically over the decades – and faster today than ever before.

In a recent webinar EFA co-hosted with the Australian Trade and Investment Commission (Austrade), New year, new markets: Diversifying globally for Australian exporters (view on demand here), experts unpacked the opportunities and risks influencing global trade in 2026.

Even since the webinar, global trade conditions have continued to shift – reinforcing just how fast the landscape is evolving for exporters.

For exporting businesses both big and small, it was a masterclass in how to adapt, diversify, spread risk and get help to jump on new opportunities.

The core message? Uncertainty isn’t going away, but neither is opportunity. Here are five things Australian exporters need to know right now.

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1. Diversification is as much about resilience as it is growth

Global geopolitical tensions, trade policy uncertainty and supply chain disruptions are now baseline conditions rather than temporary shocks.

For exporters, that means diversification is no longer a nice-to-have growth strategy. It’s more of a survival mechanism these days. And it doesn’t always mean finding new markets.

As Jay Meek, general manager for Austrade’s Trade Diversification Taskforce, explained, it can mean adapting products for an existing customer, rethinking logistics routes or even adjusting pricing in markets you already serve or something else entirely.

Importantly, he said exporters need to have that “muscle memory” that allows them to adapt to market shifts.

“It’s actually [about] being agile and thinking a little bit differently about how you need to look at diversification,” Meek said.

“One of the things that we’ve seen in recent times is our exporters may have been traditionally selling to the same customer for many years. They may have lost some of their muscle memory about how they actually go find new customers. [So we help them] work through that process in a new market, going back to the fundamentals of how to do that.”

2. Asia remains the fastest-growing region – and India is heating up

While global growth forecasts remain cautious, Asia – particularly China and India – is expected to stay the world’s fastest-growing region and a major source of Australian export demand.

India is drawing a lot of attention lately. Meek pointed to the agrifood sector and transnational education as areas of rapid growth, backed by ongoing government-to-government engagement and free trade negotiations that are steadily reducing tariff barriers.

“When you stand back and look at the fundamentals, you’ve got a large population base, an increasing capacity to spend and a very international approach to the way they’re operating,” Meek said.

Southeast Asia is also a core government priority, with opportunities extending beyond traditional sectors and into advanced manufacturing and supply chains linked to defence and clean energy. The Federal Government recently announced significant investments to boost Australia’s economic engagement with Southeast Asia, providing local companies investing in the region with more support.

Southeast Asia is a key exporting opportunity for Australian businesses. Pictured: Singapore. Image: AdobeStock.

3. Defence and critical minerals are standout sectors

Export Finance Australia chief economist Cassandra Winzenried homed in on two sectors benefitting greatly from the current geopolitical climate – unsurprisingly, both defence and critical minerals.

Global defence expenditure has seen strong consecutive annual increases, driven in large part by conflicts in Europe and the Middle East and a broader shift from efficiency-focused policy to strategic autonomy.

Countries like Germany and Japan are boosting spending on rearmament and infrastructure, which is creating new export openings for Australian manufacturers.

Meanwhile, global efforts to diversify supply chains away from concentrated producers are causing more demand for Australian critical minerals and clean energy inputs. Richard Coath, EFA’s chief investment officer for business finance, said the pipeline is building.

“We’re certainly seeing an uplift in our number of enquiries across all of our key stakeholder groups, including government, industry referral, partners, customers and prospects, creating great engagement and opportunities for EFA to provide support,” he said.

Richard Coath, Export Finance Australia’s chief investment officer for business finance. Image: Export Finance Australia

4. Trade finance can open up opportunities

Coath went on to explain how trade finance works – and where EFA fills gaps the major banks, more often than not, simply can’t.

EFA has solutions like direct loans, guarantees and bonds that, subject to circumstance, may be supported with lower cash cover requirements than a traditional relationship bank.

This can free up working capital for businesses to invest back into their operations or facilitate growth opportunities. It also allows for direct funding of overseas investment – like setting up offshore manufacturing or production facilities needed to fulfil export contracts.

Finance from EFA is available from $20,000 to over $200 million for exporting businesses, considered on a case-by-case basis and subject to aligning with EFA’s export mandate, which includes generating sales overseas, enabling growth through securing new international contracts, expanding in an existing international market, or preparing to enter a new international market. EFA also has a number of other specific mandates that may also be considered.

“To ensure you are set up for success, we encourage pre-planning and engaging us early so we can start doing some work in anticipation and provide preliminary feedback in respect of appetite and our ability to support you,” he said. “It’s an opportunity to execute… so reach out and talk to us about your specific circumstances.”

Coath shared that a number of customers are reaching out in response to exporting opportunities and challenges in the US at the moment. “There’s a requirement in many cases to establish production or manufacturing capability on the ground in the US to support market entry or in support of new contracts,” he added. “So, in that scenario, we’re looking to support the contract requirement with bonding, advance payment bonding or potential direct investment loans to enable establishment of local manufacturing capability.”

5. Information is your competitive edge

The bottom line that the panel consistently returned to is that the exporters who move fastest are the ones who stay best informed.

Austrade’s $50 million Accessing New Markets Initiative is scaling the agency’s international resources and developing sector-specific plans to help businesses diversify and thrive.

“We have over 60 offices around the world. We have about 500 people internationally,” said Meek. “We really need to present a Team Australia approach and we’ll be using this program to position Australia, our companies and our supply chains into supporting those businesses.”

There’s also a Go Global Toolkit that includes an export plan builder, market insights, an export academy with videos and guides, competitor analysis tools and plenty of helpful advice for businesses at every stage of growth.

Export Finance Australia also publishes country risk profiles to help businesses understand where – and how – to expand.

As Jessica Hamilton, EFA’s general manager of brand, media and communications, put it: “Despite the uncertainty, there is absolutely opportunity – and you don’t need to take on the world alone.”

Find out how Export Finance Australia can help your business with exporting opportunities today.