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The Consensus Mock Draft is a compilation of the best mock drafts from around the web. We bring them together to provide a solid estimate of how the Draft could play out. All 10 reviewed mocks are fresh heading into Wednesday’s event.
Count on the Top 4 looking familiar. By any measure, a clear top tier has emerged, with AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, Cameron Boozer and Caleb Wilson enticing the mocks with superstar potential.
That extends to the full stretch of the Lottery selections: 10 players appear in the lottery on all 10 mocks we surveyed. It’s a surprise, given only 14 spots. Keaton Wagler, Darius Acuff Jr., Kingston Flemings, Mikel Brown Jr., Brayden Burries and Yaxel Lendeborg round out the bunch. Aday Mara just misses with nine.
After the top four, it appears to be a guard-heavy grouping, which could keep another frontcourt player from being selected in the top 10.
Wagler, Acuff, Flemings and Brown are expected to come off in combination, dominating the 5-9 range.
The Michigan bigs are taking up space in the lower lottery, with Lendeborg and Mara earning consistent attention (31 of 40 predictions).
In a break with recent tradition, the likely Lottery isn’t international-heavy; the highest mock placement is Karim López at No. 13, a Mexican import to the New Zealand Breakers.
MOST COMMON PICKS
Below are where the player is most commonly projected, with the number of mock drafts in parentheses. For example, AJ Dybantsa is projected to go first in 10 of 10 updated mock drafts listed below:
No. 1 (Wizards): AJ Dybantsa (10)
No. 2 (Jazz): Darryn Peterson (9)
No. 3 (Grizzlies): Cameron Boozer (8)
No. 4 (Bulls): Caleb Wilson (8)
No. 5 (Clippers): Keaton Wagler (5)
No. 6 (Nets): Darius Acuff Jr., Kingston Flemings, Keaton Wagler (3)
No. 7 (Kings): Darius Acuff Jr., Kingston Flemings (4)
No. 8 (Hawks): Mikel Brown Jr., Aday Mara (4)
No. 9 (Mavericks): Mikel Brown Jr., Brayden Burries (3)
No. 10 (Bucks): Nate Ament (6)
No. 11 (Warriors): Brayden Burries, Yaxel Lendeborg (3)
No. 12 (Thunder): Yaxel Lendeborg (5)
No. 13 (Heat): Labaraon Philon Jr. (5)
No. 14 (Hornets): Karim López (3)
Consensus Mock Draft Top 14
To calculate the consensus, we award 14 points for every mock draft in which the player went first overall, 13 for second, continuing to one point for the final lottery pick. The player with the highest point total represents the top overall selection, which is as follows:
1. AJ Dybantsa | Washington Wizards
BYU | Position: F | Height: 6-9
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 1 (10)
With expectations reaching absurd levels, Dybantsa delivered at every stage of his season at BYU. He’s got the frame, the game and the charisma to carry it all.
2. Darryn Peterson | Utah Jazz
Kansas | Position: G | Height: 6-5
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 2 (9)
A prototype two-guard, Peterson delivered thrills while struggling with cramping issues. A solution has been identified, but to what degree?
3. Cameron Boozer | Memphis Grizzlies
Duke | Position: F-C | Height: 6-8
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 3 (8)
A Blue Devil legacy, Boozer rewrote the family record book with a stunning season in Durham. His post presence and preternatural passing could refine well with age.
4. Caleb Wilson | Chicago Bulls
North Carolina | Position: F | Height: 6-9
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 4 (8)
A pair of unrelated hand injuries sidelined a stellar season in Chapel Hill. Can Wilson pull together the total package, or will he leave onlookers frustrated?
5. Keaton Wagler | LA Clippers
Illinois | Position: G | Height: 6-5
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 5 (4)
A combo guard with size, Wagler’s feel for the leather should keep this connector moving up boards even with a more ground-bound game.
6. Darius Acuff Jr. | Brooklyn Nets
Arkansas | Position: G | Height: 6-2
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 5 (5)
Most GMs would be wise to sign up the latest candidate to emerge from the John Calipari point guard pipeline: Acuff has everything but the height.
7. Kingston Flemings | Sacramento Kings
Houston | Position: G | Height: 6-3
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 7 (4)
Dinged for his height, Flemings delivered strong shooting performances and top-notch agility scores at the AWS Draft Combine.
8. Mikel Brown Jr. | Atlanta Hawks
Louisville | Position: G | Height: 6-5
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 7 (4)
Battling a back injury that ended his season early, Brown Jr. showed enough promise to entice anyone seeking a scorer’s touch.
9. Brayden Burries | Dallas Mavericks
Arizona | Position: G | Height: 6-4
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 9, 11 (3)
Switchable and impossible to pin down, Burries projects to be a two-way terror, and potentially a game-changer on defense.
10. Aday Mara | Milwaukee Bucks
Michigan | Position: C | Height: 7-3
Status: Junior
Most Common: 8 (4)
The Wolverine big man has continued rising through three collegiate seasons, topping out at a fluid 7-foot-3 and providing presence in the pivot.
11. Nate Ament | Golden State Warriors
Tennessee | Position: F | Height: 6-10
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 10 (6)
Rangy forward Ament has showcased slick handles out of the frontcourt and a solid jump shot, though not much else offensively to date.
12. Yaxel Lendeborg | Oklahoma City Thunder
Michigan | Position: F | Height: 6-9
Status: Senior
Most Common: 12 (4)
Transferring from UAB, Lendeborg took over in Ann Arbor from the jump, leading the Wolverines to an NCAA Tournament championship in a single season.
13. Karim López | Miami Heat
New Zealand Breakers (Australia) | Position: F | Height: 6-8
Status: International
Most Common: 14 (3)
A face-up forward who can pressure defenses with the post or the pass, the Mexico international presents a prototype at the 4.
14. Labaron Philon Jr. | Charlotte Hornets
Alabama | Position: G | Height: 6-3
Status: Sophomore
Most Common: 13 (5)
A late-breaking spurt has elevated Philon into Lottery consideration.
MOCK DRAFTS
AJ Dybantsa
Darryn Peterson
Cameron Boozer
Caleb Wilson
Keaton Wagler
Darius Acuff Jr.
Kingston Flemings
Aday Mara
Mikel Brown Jr.
Nate Ament
Brayden Burries
Yaxel Lendeborg
Labaron Philon Jr.
Karim López
Last updated: May 19
AJ Dybantsa
Darryn Peterson
Cameron Boozer
Caleb Wilson
Brayden Burries
Darius Acuff Jr.
Mikel Brown Jr.
Kingston Flemings
Keaton Wagler
Nate Ament
Labaron Philon Jr.
Aday Mara
Dailyn Swain
Yaxel Lendeborg
Last updated: May 11 (Mann)
AJ Dybantsa
Darryn Peterson
Cameron Boozer
Caleb Wilson
Keaton Wagler
Darius Acuff Jr.
Kingston Flemings
Mikel Brown Jr.
Brayden Burries
Nate Ament
Aday Mara
Yaxel Lendeborg
Labaron Philon Jr.
Hannes Steinbach
Last updated: May 10
AJ Dybantsa
Darryn Peterson
Cameron Boozer
Caleb Wilson
Keaton Wagler
Kingston Flemings
Darius Acuff Jr.
Aday Mara
Mikel Brown Jr.
Nate Ament
Karim López
Yaxel Lendeborg
Dailyn Swain
Brayden Burries
Last updated: May 12
AJ Dybantsa
Darryn Peterson
Cameron Boozer
Caleb Wilson
Darius Acuff Jr.
Mikel Brown Jr.
Keaton Wagler
Aday Mara
Kingston Flemings
Karim López
Brayden Burries
Hannes Steinbach
Yaxel Lendeborg
Cameron Carr
Last updated: May 19
AJ Dybantsa
Darryn Peterson
Cameron Boozer
Caleb Wilson
Keaton Wagler
Kingston Flemings
Darius Acuff Jr.
Aday Mara
Mikel Brown Jr.
Nate Ament
Brayden Burries
Yaxel Lendeborg
Labaron Philon Jr.
Karim López
Last updated: May 11
AJ Dybantsa
Darryn Peterson
Caleb Wilson
Cameron Boozer
Darius Acuff Jr.
Keaton Wagler
Kingston Flemings
Mikel Brown Jr.
Brayden Burries
Nate Ament
Yaxel Lendeborg
Aday Mara
Labaron Philon Jr.
Morez Johnson Jr.
Last updated: May 11
AJ Dybantsa
Darryn Peterson
Cameron Boozer
Caleb Wilson
Darius Acuff Jr.
Keaton Wagler
Kingston Flemings
Mikel Brown Jr.
Nate Ament
Brayden Burries
Yaxel Lendeborg
Labaron Philon Jr.
Hannes Steinbach
Karim López
Last updated: May 11
AJ Dybantsa
Darryn Peterson
Cameron Boozer
Caleb Wilson
Keaton Wagler
Kingston Flemings
Darius Acuff Jr.
Mikel Brown Jr.
Brayden Burries
Aday Mara
Yaxel Lendeborg
Jayden Quaintance
Karim López
Nate Ament
Last updated: May 10
AJ Dybantsa
Cameron Boozer
Caleb Wilson
Darryn Peterson
Kingston Flemings
Keaton Wagler
Darius Acuff Jr.
Brayden Burries
Yaxel Lendeborg
Mikel Brown Jr.
Karim López
Aday Mara
Labaron Philon Jr.
Cameron Carr
Last updated: May 19
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ESPN Insider: Jeremy Woo | Mock Drafts | Draft Coverage
The Ringer: J. Kyle Mann / Danny Chau | Mock Drafts | Draft Coverage
The Athletic: Sam Vecenie | Draft Coverage
Bleacher Report: Jonathan Wasserman | Draft Coverage
Hoops HQ: Krysten Peek | Mock Drafts | Draft Coverage
Yahoo Sports: Kevin O’Connor | Mock Drafts | Draft Coverage
NetScouts Basketball: Carl Berman | Mock Drafts | Draft Coverage
CBS Sports: Gary Parrish | Mock Drafts | Draft Coverage
SB Nation: Ricky O’Donnell | Draft Coverage
USA Today/For the Win: Bryan Kalbrosky | Draft Coverage
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