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It may be a super small slate, but with games rolling all day long, there are still plenty of ways to keep the vibes high from your lunch break all the way through dinner.
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My favorite MLB props target the White Sox vs. Twins matchup, along with another play from the Blue Jays vs. Orioles game that stands out on tonight’s board.
Best MLB player props today
Player
Pick
Odds
Jesus Sanchez
Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
+125
Over 5.5 strikeouts
+100
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (+125)
Let’s head to the 6ix to start my MLB picks.
Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Jesus Sanchez has been on a tear lately, posting a .433 wOBA and 44.44% barrel rate over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers.
This evening, he draws Baltimore Orioles veteran right-hander Chris Bassitt, who has a poorly rated average-hitter matchup wOBA and strikeout percentage, per Batters-Box.
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Left-handed hitters have given the veteran some trouble recently, as they are producing a 42.9% hard contact rate, 26.2% line drive rate, and 38.1% fly ball rate over the last 60 batters faced.
These lefties are making a ton of hard contact and consistently elevating the baseball. They also own a .352 xBA, .533 xSLG, and .334 xwOBA during that span.
With Sanchez carrying nearly 75% arsenal coverage against Bassitt’s offerings, combined with how well he has been seeing the ball and how often the veteran right-hander has been allowing lefties to mash, this feels like a great spot for him to have a ton of success.
Where to watch: Sportsnet 1, MASN
Davis Martin Over 5.5 strikeouts (+100)
One of the most exciting pitchers to watch through the early part of the season has easily been Davis Martin, the pride and joy of the Chicago White Sox starting rotation.
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The 29-year-old has been wheeling and dealing all season long, averaging 6.6 strikeouts per game, while averaging 7.25 at home. Over his last five starts, he owns a 32.5% strikeout rate, along with a 32.7% whiff rate and a 17% swinging strike rate.
He draws a Minnesota Twins offense that has been a bit swing-happy on the road, owning a 24.9% strikeout rate, the fifth-highest mark in baseball.
Their lineup features five hitters with at least a 23.3% strikeout rate over their last 30 road plate appearances. Zoom in a little more, and three of them own at least a 30% strikeout rate during that stretch.
The power of friendship is extremely strong in that White Sox clubhouse, and I expect Martin to help lead this team to another series win while cashing this prop. I would take this down to -110. Anything lower than that, try to find plus money if possible.
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Where to watch: CHSN, MNMT
Colby Marchio’s 2026 Transparency Record
Prop picks: 166-285-26, +6.40 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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