More than half of Australians planning to vote for One Nation say they have already locked in their decision, roughly two years out from the 2028 federal election.

Such an outcome at an election would guarantee Pauline Hanson’s party to at least double its result from the 2025 federal election, when it received 6.4 per cent support.

One Nation secured 26 per cent of the primary vote in the latest Sky News Pulse / YouGov poll with 56 per cent of those voters saying they were “firm” in their support.

Thirty-two per cent said they intended to vote for the party but could still change their mind, while 12 per cent said they were still undecided but leaning towards One Nation.

The findings indicate One Nation has built a substantial base of voters who are not simply registering a protest in opinion polls.

One Nation MP Barnaby Joyce told Sky News that there had been a “change in the political dynamic” since the last election.

“It’s changed because people are trying to claim back their authority over the executive, and they’re sick of all the lefty garbage,” he told Sky News.

“People have had a gutful and I think that’s across Australia. And if it wasn’t One Nation, it’d be some other party.

“People have got to realise that the world’s changed and it’s not only just change out here at Danglemah (NSW), it’s changing the Eastern suburbs as well.

“It’s amazed me – western suburbs of Sydney, eastern suburbs of Sydney – I should go to the other capital cities a bit more, but they’re all the same.

“They say, man, all these resources, the coal, the oil, the gas, iron ore – why the hell are we becoming poorer?”

While Labor topped the latest poll, Australians also said they believed the country had become “weaker and poorer” in the past twelve months under Anthony Albanese.  

Fifty-one per cent of all voters said Australia had become weaker and poorer compared with one year ago.

Only 15 per cent of people said the country was stronger and more prosperous while 34 per cent said there had been no change.

Despite the pessimism, Labor would comfortably win an election if it were held today, with a 53-47 lead over the Coalition on two-party preferred and 56-44 over One Nation.

Labor secured the top spot on the primary vote with 28 per cent, ahead of One Nation on 26 per cent and the Coalition at 20 per cent.