In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 25th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 71-60 this year after they won three out of four against the Yankees by scores of 6-3, 1-0, 12-1, and 2-7. In their game four loss, Boston cut the deficit to 5-2 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Red Sox recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Lowe, who went 2-2 with two RBIs in the loss. Boston started May, who allowed five hits and five earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Buehler allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Red Sox lost both games against the Orioles, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. Boston has lost four of their last seven games and they are second in the AL East standings by a slim margin. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 653 runs with a .253 batting average and a .325 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu (IL) has led Boston with 22 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 20 home runs and 82 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brennan Bernardino, who is 4-2 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 46.0 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 60-70 this season after they lost three out of four against Baltimore by scores of 2-7, 7-10, 8-9, and 3-2. In their game four win, Baltimore took a 3-1 lead in the seventh inning, but barely held on for the victory. The Orioles recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Henderson, Mountcastle, and Vazquez, who all had one RBI in the win. Baltimore started Rogers, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Akin picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles won two games against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Astros. Baltimore has lost three of their last four games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.70 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 567 runs with a .241 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 15 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Tomoyuki Sugano, who is 10-5 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 131.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Red Sox 

The Orioles have won each of their last four games against the Red Sox.
The Red Sox have lost four of their last five night games after playing the previous day.
The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a losing record.
The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Ten of the Red Sox’s last 12 road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Orioles’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Red Sox and Orioles.

Matchup/League Facts

The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (1163).
The Orioles rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.70).
The Red Sox are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
The Red Sox rank 4th in the league for home runs allowed this season (131).

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction 

Boston is coming off of a very successful series against the Yankees and they will look to bounce back after losing two to Baltimore last week. The Red Sox are 30-35 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 31-33 at home. Baltimore struggled in their series with Houston and they are starting Sugano, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. Boston is starting Bernardino, who is only expected to be an opener. I like how Sugano has pitched and I will back the O’s to win here.