With 91 home runs over the last three seasons, Cal Raleigh’s power was never in question, but what we’ve seen so far this season from the Mariners catcher is certainly unexpected. Raleigh leads the MLB with 53 home runs entering Thursday’s play and is having arguably the greatest offensive season for a catcher in history. On Thursday night, he’ll match up with a familiar foe in Angels righty Jose Soriano in a game that starts at 9:40 p.m. ET, and he’s one of our top MLB home run picks today.

Despite his prodigious season, you can still find Raleigh listed for as high as +320 in the MLB home run odds. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB betting picks. New users can also use the latest bet365 bonus code to receive $300 in bonus bets instantly after your first $5 wager, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It’s up 51.25 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after nailing Daulton Varsho (+340) and Manny Machado (+350) to homer on Wednesday, Kyle Manzardo (+420) on Thursday and Colson Montgomery (+575) on Friday of last week. It has called two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their betting projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Thursday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.

Best MLB home run picks for Thursday, September 11:

MLB Best Home Run Bets 9/11

For more real-time, free picks every day: Inside the Lines Blog.

Cal Raleigh, Mariners (+325, BetMGM)

After allowing just 4 HRs in his first 20 starts, Jose Soriano has given up 8 HRs in his last 9. He was shelled in his last outing against the A’s, allowing 8 ERs in just 2.1 IP. Raleigh is just 3-12 with 3 singles against Soriano, but our model sees strong value at +325 given Soriano’s recent struggles. We set Raleigh’s line at +236 to homer, and you can get this price as well as up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first wager loses when using the latest BetMGM bonus code:

Junior Caminero, Rays (+330, FanDuel)

Caminero hit his 42nd home run of the season last night, marking his 19th in 48 games since the All-Star break. While some players slump after the HR Derby, Caminero has thrived with a .945 OPS since the event. Shane Smith has held opponents to a .163 average since the break, but he’s also allowed 7 HRs in his last 7 starts after giving up just 9 in his first 18. Despite Smith’s strength against right-handed hitters, we like the value at +330. We set Caminero’s line at +220 to homer. Use the latest FanDuel promo code to receive $300 in bonus bets if your first wager of $5 or more wins:

Riley Greene, Tigers (+425, BetMGM)

Greene snapped an 11-game homerless streak with a long ball yesterday. He’s hit 30 of his 33 HRs against RHPs and owns a .911 OPS in those matchups. Yankees starter Cam Schlittler hasn’t allowed a HR in his last 5 starts, but he failed to make it out of the 2nd inning in his last outing. The Yankees bullpen has also been roughed up by the Tigers in this series. We set Greene’s line at +330 to homer. Bet this prop at BetMGM as a new user and get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses:

Where to bet MLB props on Thursday

Here is a look at betting sites that will offer MLB HR props on Thursday: 

More MLB picks for Thursday 

You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Thursday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.

Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Angelo Magliocca, who is on a 71-47 roll (+1667.5) on MLB picks.Â