It’s hard to trust either quarterback that will be on the field for this contest. Washington’s Marcus Mariota is a serviceable backup, but he is hardly more than a game manager. The veteran has almost as many interceptions (4) as touchdowns (6) in relatively limited work so far this season, and the Commanders have scored only 29 total points in his last 2 starts. Meanwhile, Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa leads the entire league with 13 interceptions and has thrown an absurd 9 in the last 5 games. That is a big reason why my Commanders vs Dolphins pick is under 47.5.
In large part due to Tagovailoa’s inconsistency, the Dolphins’ offense has been all over the place. In their last 4 contests, they have scored 30 or more twice and exactly 6 twice. Washington has not posted more than 22 points in a game since Week 6 and now has to face a Miami defense that just stymied reigning NFL MVP Josh Allen. I would proceed with caution whenever you are backing the under in a game that involves the Commanders’ defense, but this total is too high to go in the other direction.
Commanders vs Dolphins prediction: Under 47.5 (-108) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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