The Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins were hoping their Week 16 matchup would have playoff implications, but both teams have been eliminated from contention after Week 15 losses.
Regardless, they’ll face each other in a Sunday showdown, and we’re going to bet it. Let’s take a look at the odds and my prediction.
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Bengals Injury ReportDolphins Injury Report
Are Joe Burrow’s days in Cincinnati numbered? If you read between the lines, he’s starting to get tired of constantly taking hits behind the Bengals’ offensive line and putting up points, but losing because of a bad defense. Regardless, he plans on playing the rest of the season even with the Bengals being eliminated from contention. How these last three games go could have an impact on his offseason.
In this week’s edition of the Road to 272 Bets, I broke down why I’m betting on the Bengals in this game:
Hidden in the stretch of the Dolphins’ recent wins against bad offenses is how bad the Miami defense is. They rank in the bottom 10 in almost every single defensive metric, including allowing teams to average 6.8 yards per pass attempt while ranking 23rd in opponent dropback EPA and 29th in opponent dropback success rate.
The Bengals may be out of the mix, but Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase will still be on the field, and that’s enough to torch the Dolphins’ defense. Does Tua Tagovailoa have enough to keep pace with the Cincinnati offense? I don’t think so.
Pick: Bengals -1.5 (-107) via Caesars
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You can check out all of Iain’s bets here!