The Farmers Insurance Open marks the third event of the new PGA Tour season and brings with it plenty of intrigue, not least the return of five-time major champion Brooks Koepka, who is making his first PGA Tour start since 2022 after leaving LIV Golf at the end of 2025.
With Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy both absent from the field, this year’s Farmers feels wide open. That makes finding the winner far from straightforward – but it also means there is genuine betting value to be found if you look in the right places.
Torrey Pines always presents a stern test.
This PGA Tour event is played across two courses over the first two rounds, with the tougher South Course joined by the more scoreable North.
Those who make the cut then tackle the South exclusively over the weekend.
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History tells us this is not a birdie-fest – Harris English won at just 8-under par last year – and patience is often just as important as firepower.
We also have another useful recent form line, with Tiger Woods’ Genesis Invitational staged at Torrey Pines South last season, where Ludvig Åberg claimed victory at 12-under.
That only reinforces how demanding this layout can be, unlike the 27-under par Scheffler fired to win the AmEx last week.
Two-time major champion Xander Schauffele heads the Farmers betting at 18/1, and he will be a threat to all if he rediscovering his 2024 form, while the likes of Åberg, Cameron Young, Patrick Cantlay, Jason Day, Si Woo Kim and Chris Gotterup are also prominent in the market.
Koepka is certainly an eye-catching 66/1 on his return, and while that price will tempt plenty, I’m looking elsewhere this week.
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Scroll below for my three outright selections at Torrey Pines.
Let’s get into it…
Farmers Insurance Open 2026: Betting Tips 
Cameron Young
Cameron Young – 25/1
My first pick is Cameron Young, who comes into 2026 with a huge amount of momentum despite this being his first start of the season.
He ended 2025 in superb form, finally breaking through for his maiden PGA Tour win at the Wyndham Championship before reeling off six straight top-11 finishes to close out the year.
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Young also impressed on his Ryder Cup debut, finishing as the USA’s joint top points scorer with three points from four matches. I was there on the ground at Bethpage and I got the sense it felt like a real coming-of-age moment for him, despite the final result.
I’m convinced a first PGA Tour title and stellar performance at the Ryder Cup has taken his confidence to the next level.
His Torrey Pines record is limited – a respectable 20th in 2022 and a missed cut at last year’s Genesis – but I’m happy to forgive that latter result given how strong he finished the season overall.
As I say, this feels like a very different Cameron Young now that he’s a PGA Tour winner.
At 25/1, in a field missing the game’s two dominant forces, I think he’s a cracking outright play and a serious contender to kick off his season with a statement win.
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Patrick Cantlay
Patrick Cantlay – 30/1
Patrick Cantlay is a player who has divided opinion over the past year, and there’s no doubt 2025 was well below his usual standards.
That said, he reminded everyone of his quality at the Tour Championship in August, where he pushed Tommy Fleetwood hard at East Lake.
Cantlay may unthinkably be winless on the PGA Tour since 2022, but when he’s on song, he remains one of the most complete players in the game.
Now ranked outside the world’s top 25, I see that as an opportunity rather than a concern.
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Encouragingly, he showed signs of life at last week’s American Express, finishing T13 at 20-under par. That’s the sort of low-key result that can spark a resurgence, and Torrey Pines should suit a focused, motivated Cantlay.
While his overall record here is nothing spectacular, his T5 finish at last year’s Genesis Invitational – played on the South Course all week – is a strong pointer.
At 30/1, I think Cantlay is overpriced and primed to contend.
Ryan Gerard
Ryan Gerard – 40/1
My outsider this week is Ryan Gerard, a player who quietly arrives in red-hot form.
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Few golfers on the planet have been more consistent over the past month, with three consecutive runner-up finishes across both the DP World Tour and the PGA Tour.
Gerard finished second at the Mauritius Open, followed that up with another runner-up at the Sony Open, and then tied for second again at The American Express behind Scheffler. That is elite-level consistency, and it tells me a win is not far away.
He also has a solid Torrey Pines data point, finishing 15th here last year, and already knows how to close after winning the Barracuda Championship for his first PGA Tour title.
At 40/1, with each-way terms paying 1/5 the odds, Gerard looks outstanding value for a player riding such a strong wave of form.
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So these are my three selections for the Farmers Insurance Open:
Cameron Young – 25/1Patrick Cantlay – 30/1Ryan Gerard – 40/1
It’s a wide-open renewal, but all three arrive with either proven class or strong momentum.
As always, please remember to gamble responsibly, and be sure to check out the full list of odds (which are subject to change before Thursday’s first round) below.
Good luck.
Farmers Insurance Open Odds
Xander Schauffele
18
Ludvig Aberg
18
Cameron Young
25
Si Woo Kim
25
Jason Day
25
Patrick Cantlay
30
J.J Spaun
30
Christopher Gotterup
30
Hideki Matsuyama
30
Maverick McNealy
33
Harris English
35
Ryan Gerard
35
Taylor Pendrith
40
Will Zalatoris
35
Adam Scott
45
Jake Knapp
45
Keegan Bradley
45
Wyndham Clark
45
Alex Noren
45
Rasmus Hojgaard
45
Max Homa
45
Sam Stevens
50
Michael Thorbjornsen
50
Marco Penge
60
Matt McCarty
60
Brooks Koepka
66
Pierceson Coody
66
Nicolai Hojgaard
66
Max Greyserman
66
Thorbjorn Olesen
66
Patrick Rodgers
60
Garrick Higgo
60
Justin Rose
60
Denny McCarthy
60
Akhshay Bhatia
66
Aaron Rai
60
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
70
Sahith Theegala
60
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
66
Davis Thompson
66
Hao Tong Li
75
Keith Mitchell
80
Rico Hoey
80
Andrew Novak
90
Matt Wallace
100
Jordan Smith
100
Kevin Yu
70
Alex Smalley
100
Eric Cole
110
Max McGreevy
110
Mac Meissner
100
Kristoffer Reitan
90
Billy Horschel
110
Doug Ghim
100
Vincent Whaley
125
Lee Hodges
125
Michael Brennan
125
Ricky Castillo
110
Seamus Power
125
John Keefer
110
Tony Finau
125
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
150
Tom Hoge
150
John Parry
110
Sami Valimaki
175
Beau Hossler
175
Matti Schmid
175
Matt Kuchar
175
Taylor Moore
150
Seonghyeon Kim
150
Jesper Svensson
150
Kristoffer Ventura
175
Mackenzie Hughes
175
William Mouw
175
Gary Woodland
200
Stephan Jaeger
150
Emiliano Grillo
150
Kevin Roy
175
Andrew Putnam
200
Luke Clanton
225
Joohyung Kim
200
Dan Brown
175
Aldrich Potgieter
150
Austin Smotherman
200
Chandler Phillips
225
Adrien Saddier
200
Takumi Kanaya
175
David Ford
250
Jhonattan Vegas
175
Sam Ryder
175
Chad Ramey
200
Austin Eckroat
200
Mark Hubbard
250
Davis Riley
250
Keita Nakajima
200
Steven Fisk
250
Matthieu Pavon
275
Erik van Rooyen
275
Ryo Hisatsune
300
Joel Dahmen
200
Dylan Wu
300
Patrick Fishburn
225
Neal Shipley
250
Karl Vilips
275
Zecheng Dou
300
Chandler Blanchet
350
Brandt Snedeker
275
Isaiah Salinda
400
Luke List
400
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
400
Brice Garnett
400
Davis Chatfield
450
Justin Lower
500
Seung Taek Lee
500
Adam Svensson
500
David Lipsky
500
Zach Bauchou
500
John Vanderlaan
600
Emilio Gonzalez
500
Christo Lamprecht
600
Alejandro Tosti
600
Cam Davis
600
Hank Lebioda
400
Joe Highsmith
500
Kensei Hirata
600
Charley Hoffman
600
Adam Schenk
750
Pontus Nyholm
750
Kevin Streelman
750
Aaron Wise
1000
Jeffrey Kang
1000
Camilo Villegas
1000
Justin Hastings
1000
Danny Walker
1000
Gordon Sargent
1500
Peter Malnati
2500
Marcelo Rozo
3000
Marcus Byrd
3000
Rafael Campos
3000
A.J. Ewart
3000
Mark Geddes
4000
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