The peloton is an amazing thing. It has a chaotic predictability to it, the fact that you’re in control of your own bike, yet also absolutely not at the same time. It controls 80% of your movements, and leaves you to play with the other 20%. A sports director’s race briefing is centred around being in the right part of the peloton at the right time, and that is almost always the difference between winning and losing.

A rider can be physiologically capable of winning Milan-San Remo, but if they can’t enter the bottleneck – the entrance to the Cipressa – placed amongst the top-30 riders without expending too much energy, then I’m going to say that it is an impossible task to actually win that race.

You may like

recent comments of Tiesj Benoot around how Van der Poel and Pogačar’s movements influence everyone else in the bunch. There’s another layer here that is racing actually gets easier for them, and they’ve fully earned it, they’re halo riders.

Put yourself in the shoes of a neo pro, you’ve got your team behind so conceding the gap isn’t an option. They are relying on you to move them up the peloton, and you’re faced with a choice of two riders to squeeze; one to the left and one to the right, and you have to pick one, or someone’s going to crash. To your left is Evenepoel, to your right is another neo pro. I promise you that they’re going to pick the neo pro because you don’t ever want to be the guy responsible for wiping out one of the hitters.

The reason you must be an extreme in this category is, as I said earlier, due to peloton mobility. The ease with which you can manoeuvre yourself around the peloton to get to the right place at the right time and stay there. If you’re not any of these, then you may well have a higher chance of being pushed around in what is a dog-eat-dog world, friendly or not.

I’d put these reputational groupings above a marginal gain; this is racing, and how a rider is viewed by their peers can be tough to see within the data we get, but if you look for it, you can find it.