NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Devils
The Toronto Maple Leafs go up against the New Jersey Devils at Prudential Center, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, March 4.
Devils to Get the Better of Leafs
The -118 about the Devils look very attractive when it comes to the Moneyline. We think the Maple Leafs can be beaten, so this is our prediction.
7 Leafs Victories in Last 10 H2H Battles
Toronto Maple Leafs have been defeated in four straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Philadelphia Flyers by a 3-2 (SO) scoreline at Scotiabank Arena. William Nylander and Dakota Joshua scored one goal apiece.
New Jersey Devils won their last game 5-1, making it successive victories. This was a home win at Prudential Center against Florida Panthers. The goals were shared around between five players including Dawson Mercer. Goalie Jacob Markstroem had a great game and ended up with 20 saves (.952).
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Leafs won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 4-0 triumph when facing the Devils at Scotiabank Arena. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen seven Leafs wins.
Starting Goalies
Joseph Woll (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
13-9-4
3.1
.906
2
23/24
12-11-1
2.93
.907
0
Jake Allen (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
12-15-1
2.7
.906
1
23/24
6-6-1
3.11
.900
0
Toronto Maple Leafs – Last 10 Games
3 wins, 6 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.5 goals from 29.5 shots on goal, with a 25.0% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have been giving up 3.8 goals from 32.4 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.1%.
Auston Matthews is the top points scorer with 9 points, 1 goal and 8 assists, with William Nylander racking up 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 3.77 goal against average with a .889 save percentage.
New Jersey Devils – Last 10 Games
The Devils have 3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 2.0 goals from 29.2 shots on goal, with a 11.1% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.8 goals from 26.1 shots, averaging 3.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.9%.
The top points scorer is Jack Hughes with 9 points, 1 goal and 8 assists, while Dougie Hamilton is next best after registering 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Jacob Markstroem have a 2.03 GAA with a .923 SV%.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils Prediction & Picks
This expert Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score pick and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.
Game Prediction
The pick for this NHL encounter is to back New Jersey Devils at -118. We think that the road team are vulnerable, so this is the best angle of attack with our wager.
Our NHL handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.
Key Maple Leafs vs Devils stats:
Devils have won 2 consecutive games.Maple Leafs have lost their last 4 games.Maple Leafs have lost 7 of their last 10 games.Maple Leafs have lost 12 of their last 20 games.Devils Moneyline Probability
The best sportsbooks make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
It’s worth considering all the options. If you’re looking for bigger odds about New Jersey to win and a certain number of goals to be scored, then choose a selection for the Match Winner & Goals.
Smart bettors check the promos first. Browse our updated guide for the best welcome bonuses available today.
Our Game Prediction
Devils Moneyline @ -118
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 4, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:56, 04 March 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Tight Affair Likely According to the Books
New Jersey Devils are on offer at -118 on the Moneyline if you want to back this team, with Toronto Maple Leafs available at -102. In the eyes of the leading sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 54% likely to claim a victory.
1.5 is the puck line and 5.5 is the total goals line. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 5.5, it’s -122.
There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to betting on this popular league and we recommend visiting the best NHL sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the clash.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Toronto Maple Leafs Stats
New Jersey Devils Stats
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.10 pts and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 4.80 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 4.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.00 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.20 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 29.5
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.1
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 7.6
Blocks: 12.7
Faceoff Wins : 29.1
Hits: 21.3
Giveaways: 14.9
Takeaways: 5.4
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 30.1
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 2.9
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 6.1
Blocks: 9
Faceoff Wins : 19.6
Hits: 17.6
Giveaways: 17
Takeaways: 5.4
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.4
Shots: 29.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.3
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 8
Blocks: 14.9
Faceoff Wins : 28.3
Hits: 18.6
Giveaways: 16.7
Takeaways: 4.9
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.4
Shots: 28.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 2.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 5.3
Blocks: 11.6
Faceoff Wins : 24.7
Hits: 19.5
Giveaways: 15.9
Takeaways: 4.9
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Kevin Thompson
NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Our ice hockey previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our hockey panel and Editor-in-Chief.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Mar 4, 00:56 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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