Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview: Wild vs Stars
The Minnesota Wild (46-24-12, 23-14-4 on the road) face the Dallas Stars (50-20-12, 26-11-4 at home) at American Airlines Center in Game 5 of this first-round Stanley Cup Playoffs series. The series is tied 2-2.
Wild Great Value against Stars
The best wager could be taking the Wild to simply beat the Stars. Our prediction can be taken at odds of +108 on the Moneyline which yields a potentially nice return.
Wild Tied Series with Overtime Win
The Minnesota Wild leveled the series at 2-2, beating the Dallas Stars 3-2 in overtime in Game 4 at Xcel Energy Center on Saturday.
The Wild registered 43 shots on goal, with Brock Faber, Matthew Boldy and Marcus Foligno all scoring. Jesper Wallstedt impressed in net with 43 saves (.956). The Stars recorded 45 shots, with Miro Heiskanen and Jason Robertson scoring, while Jake Oettinger stopped 40 shots (.930).
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last 10 head-to-head matchups are split evenly at five wins apiece.
Starting Goalies
Jesper Wallstedt (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
18-9-6
2.6
.915
4
23/24
2-1-0
3.01
.897
1
Jake Oettinger (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
35-12-6
2.6
.899
4
23/24
35-14-2
2.72
.905
3
Minnesota Wild – Last 10 Games
5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.5 goals from 28.6 shots on goal, with a 16.3% powerplay efficiency. The Wild have been giving up 3.2 goals from 29.3 shots, averaging 4.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 81.6%.
Kirill Kaprizov is the top points scorer with 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, with Matthew Boldy racking up 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Jesper Wallstedt have a 2.05 goal against average with a .929 save percentage.
Dallas Stars – Last 10 Games
The Stars have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.1 goals from 28.2 shots on goal, with a 25.0% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.1 goals from 27.9 shots, averaging 5.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.3%.
The top points scorer is Jason Robertson with 13 points, 9 goals and 4 assists, while Matt Duchene is next best after having 13 points, 2 goals and 11 assists. Goalie Jake Oettinger have a 2.56 GAA with a .900 SV%, including one shutout.
Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Picks
Explore our top Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Game Prediction
We’re heading to the Moneyline and our pick is for Minnesota Wild to triumph in this NHL clash. The visitors have a strong chance of landing a victory and the +108 makes lots of appeal.
The NHL experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any hockey predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.
Key Wild vs Stars stats:
Wild have won 3 of their last 5 games.Wild have won 11 of their last 20 games on the road.Wild Moneyline Probability
Based on the latest odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, our pick carries a 48.1% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This hockey wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
There’s the opportunity to back Minnesota at bigger odds on the Puck Line. The sportsbooks will create a series of lines and you can choose the one that makes the most appeal.
Check out our latest betting offers guide — packed with top free bet deals and exclusive welcome bonuses.
Our Game Prediction
Wild Moneyline @ +108
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Published 00:56, 28 April 2026
Player Prop Picks
Matt Boldy (Wild) has recorded Over 3.5 shots on goal in 6 straight games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Shots on Goal and you can get -105 that he goes over the line.
Latest Matt Boldy Player Prop Odds
Goals
Assists
Shots on Goal
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Stars Have the Shortest Odds to Win
Dallas Stars are regarded as having a 56% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -130. For those wanting to back Minnesota Wild, you will find +108 about the underdogs.
1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 5.5 right now. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on Totals. If you’re keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -122.
From team props to game lines, National Hockey League wagering comes with no shortage of options. Head to the best betting apps to discover the market that fits your read on the game.
Jason Robertson Favorite to Be First Goalscorer
There’s the chance to back Jason Robertson at +750 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.
Player Goals
Jason Robertson (Stars)
Wyatt Johnston (Stars)
Matt Boldy (Wild)
Kirill Kaprizov (Wild)
Player Assists
Quinn Hughes (Wild)
Mikko Rantanen (Stars)
Miro Heiskanen (Stars)
Matt Duchene (Stars)
Player Shots
Jason Robertson (Stars)
Matt Boldy (Wild)
Kirill Kaprizov (Wild)
Joel Eriksson Ek (Wild)
Micro Betting
You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NHL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Minnesota Wild Stats
Dallas Stars Stats
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.8
Shots: 28.6
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.9
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 10.4
Blocks: 13.1
Faceoff Wins : 27.7
Hits: 29.7
Giveaways: 13.6
Takeaways: 4.8
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 1
Shots: 29.4
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 11
Blocks: 11.3
Faceoff Wins : 27.4
Hits: 26.2
Giveaways: 13.3
Takeaways: 4.5
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 1.2
Shots: 28.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 5.1
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 10.5
Blocks: 13.5
Faceoff Wins : 29.6
Hits: 22.2
Giveaways: 14
Takeaways: 4.7
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.8
Shots: 23.4
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 5.2
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 12.4
Blocks: 12.2
Faceoff Wins : 24.9
Hits: 22.5
Giveaways: 14.3
Takeaways: 4.7
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Kevin Thompson
NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Our ice hockey previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our hockey panel and Editor-in-Chief.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 28, 08:38 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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