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MVP MMA 1: Ronda Rousey vs.Gina Carano continues on the main card with the main event fight between Nate Diaz and Mike Perry in the welterweight division on Saturday. Check out our MVP MMA 1 odds series for our Diaz-Perry prediction and pick.
Nate Diaz (21-13 MMA, 1-1 Boxing)) last stepped into the MMA cage at UFC 279 in September 2022, where he submitted Tony Ferguson with a brutal fourth-round guillotine choke to close out his UFC contract in style. He then ventured into boxing, dropping a unanimous decision to Jake Paul in August 2023 before bouncing back with a majority decision win over Jorge Masvidal in July 2024 — as he comes into his fight this weekend against Mike Perry.
Mike Perry (14-8 MMA, 6-0 BKFC, 0-1 Boxing) has been on a tear in bare-knuckle boxing, going a perfect 6-0 in BKFC. Most recently in October 2025, he brutally defended his King of Violence title against fellow UFC vet Jeremy Stephens, dropping him five times before a fifth-round TKO stoppage. Before that, he knocked out Thiago Alves in Round 1 at BKFC KnuckleMania 4 in April 2024, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Nate Diaz.
MVP MMA 1 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
MVP MMA 1 Odds: Nate Diaz-Mike Perry Odds
Nate Diaz: +180
Mike Perry: -218
Over 4.5 rounds: -115
Under 4.5 rounds: -115
Why Nate Diaz Will Win
Diaz is one of the most durable fighters in combat sports history, built on a foundation of Stockton grit and elite-level jiu-jitsu. His ability to absorb damage and keep moving forward will neutralize Perry’s wild, power-first approach.
Perry thrives in chaos, but Diaz has seen chaos his entire career — from Conor McGregor to Jorge Masvidal. The moment this fight hits the mat, Diaz’s submission game becomes a massive threat that Perry simply isn’t equipped to handle.
Diaz’s boxing has also been sharpened by his recent combat sports outings, and he carries serious cardio advantages heading into the later rounds. Perry tends to burn hot early, and if Diaz weathers the storm in the first two rounds, he’ll take over.
The Stockton native also has a massive edge in MMA experience, with deep fights against elite-level competition that Perry has never faced. That ring IQ and veteran savvy will be the difference when the pressure is at its highest.
Nate Diaz is motivated, dangerous, and fighting with something to prove — a combination that makes him extremely difficult to beat this weekend.
Why Mike Perry Will Win
Perry is riding a six-fight BKFC winning streak, finishing every single opponent he’s faced in bare-knuckle competition. That kind of momentum and finishing instinct doesn’t just disappear when the gloves go back on.
His power is absolutely terrifying at welterweight, and Diaz has never been known as the most defensively sound fighter in the game. One clean shot from Perry in the early rounds could put the lights out before Diaz ever gets comfortable.
Perry also fights with a reckless, unpredictable aggression that gives technically sound fighters nightmares. Diaz likes to find a rhythm in fights, and Perry’s swarming, pressure-heavy style will make that nearly impossible.
The “King of Violence” has also shown massive improvements in his composure and finishing ability, as evidenced by his dominant TKO of Jeremy Stephens in October 2025. He’s not the wild, undisciplined brawler he once was — he’s evolved into a calculated knockout artist.
Perry’s combination of power, momentum, and hunger makes him the most dangerous man in the building this weekend against Nate Diaz.
Final Nate Diaz-Mike Perry Prediction & Pick
When Nate Diaz and Mike Perry step into the cage at MVP MMA 1 this Saturday, fans should expect an all-out war from the opening bell — but only one man walks away with his hand raised.
Perry’s power and pressure will make the early rounds extremely uncomfortable for Diaz, and expect “Platinum” to come out guns blazing looking for the early finish. However, Diaz’s iron chin and elite cardio will allow him to survive the storm and find his footing.
As the fight progresses into the championship rounds, Diaz’s jiu-jitsu and ring IQ begin to tip the scales in his favor. Perry’s gas tank has historically been a concern, and a seasoned veteran like Diaz knows exactly how to exploit that weakness.
Look for Diaz to drag this fight into deep waters, where he thrives and Perry begins to fade. A late submission or a grinding decision victory feels like the most likely outcome here.
Final Nate Diaz-Mike Perry Prediction & Pick: Nate Diaz (+180), Under 4.5 Rounds (-115)
MVP MMA 1: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano continues on the main card with the main event fight between Nate Diaz and Mike Perry in the welterweight division on Saturday. Check out our MVP MMA 1 odds series for our Diaz-Perry prediction and pick.