Oil prices settled $1 higher after rising more than 5% earlier in the session on Monday as Iran and Israel said they had halted attacks on each other following an appeal from US President Donald Trump.
Arathy Somasekhar of Reuters has this summary of all of the movements overnight.
Israeli strikes on Iran followed strikes on Beirut on SundayIran on Sunday retaliated with missile attacks on IsraelIran plans to collect Hormuz transit fees, ambassador quoted as sayingAnalysts say impact of OPEC+ output hike agreement is limited
Tehran, however, said it would resume strikes if Israel continued to hit Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Brent crude futures closed $US1.16, or 1.3%, higher at $94.25 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 76 cents, or 0.8%, at $91.30.
Brent has risen around 31% since the eve of the conflict just over 100 days ago, while WTI has risen around 37%. Brent in April touched a peak above $126 a barrel.
Prices gained more than 5% earlier on Monday after renewed Israeli strikes on Iran and attacks on Lebanon had reduced hopes of an imminent end to the wider war.
Israel hit a petrochemical plant in southwestern Iran that it said was used to produce ballistic missiles, and Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said the country retaliated with a strike aimed at a similar Israeli facility in the city of Haifa.
The exchange followed Israeli strikes on strongholds of Iran-backed Hezbollah in Beirut over the weekend. Tehran has repeatedly said any deal with Washington to end the conflict must include a halt to Israel’s campaign in Lebanon.
“Crude futures are trading higher this morning in a nervous trade as Iran and Israel traded missile attacks over the weekend,” said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.
Trump demands halt
Trump on Monday demanded that Israel and Iran “immediately stop ‘shooting.'”
Because of the strikes, investors were concerned that flows through the Strait of Hormuz might remain restricted for longer, UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.
Roughly a fifth of the world’s daily supply of oil and liquefied natural gas passed through the Strait of Hormuz off Iran before U.S.-Israeli airstrikes at the end of February unleashed the latest escalation of the Middle Eastern conflict.
On Monday, Iran’s ambassador to Moscow was quoted as saying that the strait would be open but under conditions to be set by Iran and Oman, including a transit fee.
The commander of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards’ Quds Force, Esmail Qaani, said a new security belt will be established from the Strait of Hormuz to the Bab El-Mandeb Strait, off Yemen, and from the Gulf to the Red Sea, according to comments carried by state media.
“For markets, the best near-term outcome remains a ‘skinny’ deal that decouples Strait disruption and active strikes from the underlying sources of disagreement, buying time without resolving them,” said Erik Meyersson with SEB Research.
Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis said on Monday they would ban ships linked to Israel from the Red Sea after Israel renewed its military attacks on Iran, adding to concerns about global shipping and energy flows.