A new poll has sensationally put One Nation in the hot seat to win the next New South Wales election.
News24 host Sharri Markson exclusively revealed the confidential polling on Monday night showed Anthony Albanese’s net favourability in Labor seats had plummeted.
Markson said the polling, conducted by a Liberal Party-aligned firm, showed the Prime Minister was at negative 72 per cent favourability amongst men and negative 63 among women.
Opposition Leader Angus Taylor was fairing better on minus 20 among men and minus seven among women.
But Pauline Hanson was in favourable territory between nine and 20 per cent across different parts of Sydney.
“One Nation is doing so well that both Liberal and Labor operatives admit there’s a genuine prospect of a One Nation government at the New South Wales election in six months’ time,” Markson said.
“Premier Chris Minns is in serious trouble with sources describing One Nation as a wrecking ball for both major parties.”
Markson said the poll found One Nation could pick up 48 seats at the election and win government, while Labor and the Liberals would win 29 and eight seats respectively.
“Nationals – no seats – they’d lose them all to One Nation. The Greens, three seats, and independents, five seats,” Markson said.
Under the modelling, One Nation NSW leader Mike Newman would become the state’s next premier.
Markson said it would be a “wipeout” in favour of One Nation, with the Liberals “demolished” and Premier Chris Minns losing up to 17 seats.
“It would be a wipeout for One Nation, Liberals would be demolished and Minns would lose 17 seats.
“Other sources I’ve spoken to expect Minns to lose between 6 to 7 seats, but keep in mind he’s currently in minority government,” Markson said.
“Minns’ two opponents right now are Mike Newman and Anthony Albanese – One Nation is drawing support, and Albanese’s toxic brand is costing Minns votes.”
While Mr Minns described a coalition between the Liberals, Nationals and One Nation a “Frankenstein’s monster”, such an alliance cannot be ruled out.
Markson said NSW Opposition Leader Kellie Sloane and One Nation’s Mike Newman did not have the same animosity that Mr Taylor and Ms Hanson had.
“Kelly Sloane and Mike Newman are on good terms, they’re in personal contact,” Markson said.
“She doesn’t consider him her enemy. They both know the likely scenario is they can’t hope to become premier without each other.
“However, I’m told this isn’t a view shared by all of Kellie Sloane’s colleagues. Some would rather support Chris Minns than One Nation.”
Markson said the rising popularity of One Nation was the reason why Premier Minns had visited the Hunter region almost a dozen times this year, and why he was “coming out against Albanese” on multiple policy areas.
“Now Newman is running in the state seat of Cessnock and is expected to win it, but it’s a safe Labor seat on a margin of 23 per cent,” Markson said.
“Now, polling indicates that Newman’s primary vote in the Hunter, in Cessnock, is in the low 40s.
“Minns has visited the Hunter region some 11 times this year. But it’s not just the Hunter. Minns is facing a resurgent One Nation across southern Sydney and outer suburban areas like Penrith, Camden and Heathcote.”
With Pauline Hanson having about 20 per cent net favourability in Steve Kamper’s Rockdale electorate, Markson said the polling suggested the One Nation leader was “even popular among migrant families”.
While Mr Minns was differing with the Prime Minister on policy issues, voters were still “turning away” from him.
“Albanese is toxic. There’s palpable anger at the Labor brand thanks to the Prime Minister,” Markson said.
“It’s why Minns is also coming out against Albanese on many different policy areas. The tobacco excise, the budget, even the antisemitism crisis.”
The 2027 NSW state election is set to take place on Saturday, March 13.