Our resident expert Tom Jacobs has put together a Butterfield Bermuda Championship betting guide for you to mull over…
After a week off, the PGA Tour’s FedEx Cup Fall Series returns and players are really starting to feel the heat now in the race for a 2027 card. As always, we’ll get to my Butterfield Bermuda Championship betting picks soon. But first, let’s take care of business…
2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship details
Dates: October 22-25, 2026
Venue: Port Royal Golf Club, Southampton, Bermuda
Course: Par 71 – 6,828 yards
Format: 72-hole stroke play with halfway cut
Purse: $4 million
FedEx Cup points: 500
Defending champion: Adam Schenk (-12)
2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship TV schedule
US viewers can catch the action on the Golf Channel.
Thursday: Golf Channel from 1pm
Friday: Golf Channel from 1pm
Saturday: Golf Channel from 1pm
Sunday: Golf Channel from 1pm
All times EDT
If you’re in the UK, you can watch live coverage on Sky Sports.
Thursday: Sky Sports Golf from 6pm
Friday: Sky Sports Golf from 6pm
Saturday: Sky Sports Golf from 6pm
Sunday: Sky Sports Golf from 5pm
All times BST
2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship prize money
The full Butterfield Bermuda Championship purse breakdown can be found here.
2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship betting tips
Right, let’s get into my picks. Remember, all prices are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change. And please gamble responsibly.
The Banker: Chris Kirk
20/1 e/w (Betfred, BoyleSports 10 Places 1/5 Odds)
Chris Kirk is the most obvious winner for me this week in Bermuda, and while we know the weather can wreak havoc and ruin someone’s week in the early rounds, I am committed to Kirk playing well here.
Sure, if you want to wait for the tee times before biting the bullet on one of the favorites, I wouldn’t blame you, but if Ben James gets a bad tee time and Kirk a good one, these odds could well shift quite dramatically, so for now, I will take him early and get what I think is the value, with so many places on offer.
First of all, Kirk is in good form. He’s made six cuts in a row, with two top-10 finishes at the Rocket Classic and the Biltmore Championship in that time. He was also inside the top 10 after rounds 2 and 3 in Utah, before falling away on Sunday.
This is also a good event for veterans. The shorter course and testing conditions have seen the likes of Brian Gay, Seamus Power, Brendan Todd, and Camilo Villegas all put their superior experience to use here to win, while Alex Noren finished runner-up a couple of years ago as well.
On top of that, while this is undoubtedly an event that’s been kind to longshots, the class of the field has often shown up and challenged as well. Wyndham Clark, Patrick Reed, Thomas Detry, and Noren have all been runners-up here, and with Kirk being a 6-time winner on Tour, his class and experience could go a long way here over the weekend.
This is also a course and event tailor-made to Kirk’s game. Kirk has won wind-affected events, such as the McGladrey Classic (now the RSM), the Honda Classic (now the Cognizant Classic), and The Sentry. He’s also a two-time runner-up at the Sony Open in Hawaii, where he has three top-3s in total, a runner-up at Pebble Beach, and has further top-5 finishes across the RSM and the Sony to also lean on.
I don’t think there are many better course fits, if any, than Kirk this week, and given his run of form, which has been spearheaded by excellent Approach play, I have to have him onside here.
Kirk has now gained significant strokes on Approach in six straight events, and in 7 of his last 8, and he’s nowhitting it better off the tee as well, gaining strokes off the tee in 3 of his last 4, despite a distance handicap. That level of accuracy will be a big plus this week, and given his coastal form and his ability to play in the wind, I cannot look past him when you couple all that with his recent form.
As ever, the putter is the problem for Kirk, and his results live and die by that club, but given 4 of his 6 wins have come on Bermudagrass greens, there is hope in that department as well.
There can’t be a more solid case made for anyone in this field, even by Ben James, who is far shorter in the market, given his current form, so it will ultimately come down to whether you are comfortable taking Kirk at around 20/1, especially in an event that’s been good to longshots. This is an event that suits certain players, though, of which Kirk is one, and that’s what gives him the edge here.
Sitting 116th in the FedEx Cup rankings, he has work to do to get into the top 100 and keep his card, and he can sew that up here at an ideal venue.
The Outsider: Lee Hodges
40/1 e/w (Coral, Ladbrokes 8 Places 1/5 Odds)
Course form figures of 61-71 suggest otherwise, but I truly believe Lee Hodges will eventually enjoy this test in Bermuda, given his correlative form and his style of play.
Hodges relies on accuracy rather than distance, which plays well here, and given he has two top 5 finishes at the RSM Classic, two top 10 finishes at the Sony Open, and two top 15 finishes at the Honda/Cognizant Classic, he fits the profile of player we are looking for.
I like Hodges’ upside, despite him only winning once so far on Tour. He’s been in contention a lot; he’s won a bigger event than this, and he is the consistent type that should revel in playing on this type of layout.
Now for his current form. He’s made 5 of his last 7 cuts, with three top 20 finishes in that time, including a 3rd place finish at the John Deere Classic, despite a disappointing week with his irons. He’s improved that part of his game since then, gaining strokes in 3 of his last 4 measured events, and it’s now six measured events in a row (not counting the Baycurrent Classic) where he’s gained off the tee as well.
He was 33rd in Japan, where he broke 70 twice, and that was a week after finishing 13th in Utah, where he opened with three rounds of 68 or better and then signed off with a fine 64. 20th at the 3M Open, where he was better placed after the 2nd and 3rd rounds, is another sign he’s in good shape, and I do think he can go on and win this event, as a former PGA Tour winner who likes this sort of test.
I am going to ignore the course form and look at how good of a fit he is instead this week, and at 40/1 I think there is some value there, given the players above him on the odds board.
The Long Shot: Davis Riley
100/1 e/w (Coral, Ladbrokes 8 Places 1/5 Odds)
Davis Riley has the knack for popping up out of the blue and winning, as he nearly did at the Rocket Classic, where he led after 54 holes back in August. Now, he returns to Bermuda where 2/2 for made cuts, and has a top-10 to his name.
He finished 7th here on debut back in 2021 and two years later finished 45th, but he was far better placed that time, through three rounds. He opened up with a 64 and followed with a pair of 68s to go into Sunday in the hunt, and just had a poor final round, slipping down the leaderboard.
That’s two strong efforts at this event, and with a 3rd-place finish in his recent memory, and a made cut last time out in Utah, where he was 24th after round 2 and 26th going into Sunday, I am confident he can get in the mix again here.
Riley finished 6th at the Sony Open earlier this season, has a 5th in Mexico, and has made a couple of good starts at PGA National as well, so to me, there are enough green shoots from a player that we know can win, as he has proven, once on his own, and once with a partner.
I don’t think there are many standout longshots this week, but Riley is one at triple-digits that I do like.
The Bonus Bet: Mathieu Pavon
80/1 e/w (Coral, Ladbokes 8 Places 1/5 Odds)
Finally, I will take a chance on Mathieu Pavon, who made a fruitful return to the DP World Tour recently, and could enjoy it here this week, now he’s back on the PGA Tour.
He missed the cut here 12 months ago, but the Frenchman looks in better form now, having finished 3rd at home two starts ago, before opening with a 66 and closing with a 63 in Utah.
Before he finished 3rd at the Open de France, Pavon had been 24th at the wind-affected Nexo and 37th at the British Masters, so some consistency had been creeping in when playing in Europe. A missed cut at the Biltmore Championship means it’s 4 cuts made from 5, rather than a streak of 5 in a row, but the signs are definitely there for a talented player who won at Torrey Pines, finished 3rd at Pebble Beach, 5th in the U.S. Open, and 12th at the Masters, in a wonderful rookie season on the PGA Tour two years ago.
There’s enough evidence now to suggest that was very much a purple patch, but there’s also enough in his repertoire to suggest this could be a good event for him, reading between the lines of his form.
Pavon has finished 2nd in Mauritius, 7th at the Sony Open, 6th at a Scottish Open, and twice inside the top 12 at the Dunhill Links.
So, for those counting, that’s a 3rd at Pebble, and a 7th at the Sony that we love, a lot of good wind form in Scotland and Mauritius, and he also finished inside the top 20 at the Cognizant Classic earlier this year, another positive result. I wouldn’t discount a top 10 in Gran Canaria either, in the Lopesan Open, given its coastal location.
Simply put, he’s playing better, has won and contended on a far bigger stage, and has enjoyed a lot of wind-affected events in the past, even if he didn’t show it here on debut a year ago. I like the price given his recent podium finish in France, and he looked very good for two of the four rounds in Utah last time out.
2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship tee times
You can see the full Butterfield Bermuda Championship field and tee times on the PGA Tour website.
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