{"id":119304,"date":"2025-09-04T22:23:09","date_gmt":"2025-09-04T22:23:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/119304\/"},"modified":"2025-09-04T22:23:09","modified_gmt":"2025-09-04T22:23:09","slug":"will-sabrina-carpenters-tears-debut-at-number-one-on-the-hot-100","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/119304\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Sabrina Carpenter’s ‘Tears’ Debut at Number One on the Hot 100?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\n\tThe Contenders<\/a> is a midweek column that looks at artists aiming for the top of the Billboard charts, and the strategies behind their efforts. This week, for the upcoming Billboard Hot 100 dated Sept. 13, we look at Sabrina Carpenter\u2019s first two singles from her just-released Man\u2019s Best Friend set, and which may have the stronger performance on next week\u2019s chart.\u00a0<\/p>\n

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\n\tSabrina Carpenter, \u201cTears\u201d & \u201cManchild\u201d (Island\/Republic): Pop superstar Sabrina Carpenter <\/a>is all but guaranteed to have the top spot on next week\u2019s Billboard 200 albums chart with her new set Man\u2019s Best Friend. The follow-up to last year\u2019s four-week Billboard 200 No. 1 Short n\u2019 Sweet, Carpenter\u2019s latest arrives on the back of a good deal of discourse around its provocative title and cover \u2014 which the singer-songwriter has largely shrugged off \u2014 as well as her second No. 1 on the Hot 100 with lead single \u201cManchild,\u201d which became her first song to debut atop the chart upon its June release.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

\n\tNext week, Carpenter will look to make it two No. 1 debuts in a row with winking, discofied second single \u201cTears\u201d \u2014 which, as \u201cManchild\u201d did, arrives along with a big new music video. Directed by Bardia Zeinali (who also helmed the Barry Keoghan-co-starring clip for Carpenter\u2019s first Hot 100 No. 1, \u201cPlease Please Please\u201d), the clip features a Rocky Horror Picture Show-inspired narrative, starring Emmy-winning actor Colman Domingo in drag, as well as elaborate staging and choreography. She has also maintained interest in the new video over the week by premiering multiple differing endings for the video \u2014 which originally closed with her killing her boyfriend, out of obligation to her personal brand \u2014 over the course of the album\u2019s release week.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

\n\t\u201cTears\u201d is off to a very good start at DSPs, hitting No. 1 on both the Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart and the Apple Music real-time chart, and maintaining in the top two on both throughout the week. On radio, it\u2019s still only getting started, but is also set to make a fairly strong debut, possibly entering the top 25 on Pop Airplay, and earning 7.4 million in all-format audience over the first four days of the tracking week (Aug. 29-Sept. 1), according to Luminate. The one area where it\u2019s clearly lagging behind where \u201cManchild\u201d began is in sales, as \u201cTears\u201d has had a good-not-great showing on iTunes, currently landing outside the top 25 on that real-time chart.\u00a0(\u201cManchild\u201d also had a sizeable first week in vinyl single sales; \u201cTears\u201d is available for purchase only as a download.)<\/p>\n

\n\t\u201cTears\u201d will also face continued competition from \u201cManchild\u201d on the chart next week, as that song had slipped out of the top 10 on the Hot 100, but rebounds 14-7 this week with notable gains in both streaming and radio. Those streams should continue to rise for next week with the release of the full Man\u2019s Best Friend (which \u201cManchild\u201d leads off), and the song is also continuing to grow on radio, most likely tracking for a second week atop the Pop Airplay chart, and up another 5% in all-format audience over that Aug. 29-Sept. 1 period.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

\n\tWhether \u201cTears\u201d can outpace \u201cManchild\u201d and put up a real challenge for the No. 1 spot may be determined by its final few days of tracking \u2014 as the song returned to the top of the Spotify daily listing after Labor Day Weekend, and may continue to swell from there as more and more listeners catch onto its charms.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

\n\tHUNTR\/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna & REI AMI, \u201cGolden\u201d (Visva\/Republic): The biggest challenge for \u201cTears\u201d on the Hot 100 will of course be getting past HUNTR\/X\u2019s \u201cGolden,\u201d which holds at No. 1 this week for a third week, and which hasn\u2019t stopped growing yet in either streams or sales. It\u2019s taken back the top spot on the Apple Music real-time listing from \u201cTears\u201d \u2014 and has traded off the Spotify daily No. 1 with Carpenter over the course of the week \u2014 and it continues to be one of the week\u2019s best-sellers, currently ranking at No. 2 on the real-time iTunes chart.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

\n\tAnd on radio, it\u2019s officially taken off. The song is up 10% over that Aug. 29-Sept. 1 period, trending towards both the top 10 on the Pop Airplay chart and the top 25 on the overall Radio Songs listing. It\u2019s crazy to say about a song by a fictional girl group from a K-pop movie musical \u2014 versus one of the most consistent radio hitmakers of the last two years \u2014 but radio may be the thing that keeps \u201cGolden\u201d out of range for Sabrina Carpenter\u2019s latest to pass next week on the Hot 100.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n


\"Billboard
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