{"id":133395,"date":"2025-09-10T18:29:08","date_gmt":"2025-09-10T18:29:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/133395\/"},"modified":"2025-09-10T18:29:08","modified_gmt":"2025-09-10T18:29:08","slug":"can-we-safely-deflect-a-killer-asteroid-without-making-it-worse-only-if-we-avoid-the-gravitational-keyhole-scientists-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/133395\/","title":{"rendered":"Can we safely deflect a killer asteroid without making it worse? Only if we avoid the gravitational &#8216;keyhole,&#8217; scientists say"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"1343bd2c-461f-4a46-8ac6-3c8ce6139a62\">Smacking a planet-threatening asteroid comes with big responsibility.<\/p>\n<p>If we slam an impactor into an <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/51-asteroids-formation-discovery-and-exploration.html\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/51-asteroids-formation-discovery-and-exploration.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">asteroid<\/a> in exactly the wrong spot, the space rock may pass through a &#8220;gravitational keyhole&#8221; that actually brings it to <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/54-earth-history-composition-and-atmosphere.html\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/54-earth-history-composition-and-atmosphere.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Earth<\/a> \u2014 which is exactly what planetary defense scientists and mission planners don&#8217;t want to happen.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"elk-seasonal\" data-url=\"\" href=\"\" data-hl-processed=\"none\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"1343bd2c-461f-4a46-8ac6-3c8ce6139a62-2\">The keyhole is an area in space where the gravity of a planet, like <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/7-jupiter-largest-planet-solar-system.html\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/7-jupiter-largest-planet-solar-system.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jupiter<\/a>, could change the asteroid&#8217;s altered trajectory once more \u2014 potentially putting it on a collision course with our planet. The <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scilit.com\/publications\/378b74e7de78590a9fd9efd3206454d0\" target=\"_blank\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.scilit.com\/publications\/378b74e7de78590a9fd9efd3206454d0\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer-when-downgrade\" data-hl-processed=\"none\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">findings were presented<\/a> at the Europlanet Science Congress division for planetary sciences meeting in Helsinki on Wednesday (Sept. 9), and submitted to the peer-reviewed Icarus journal.<\/p>\n<p>You may like<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Even if we intentionally push an asteroid away from Earth with a space mission, we must make sure it doesn&#8217;t drift into one of these keyholes afterwards. Otherwise, we&#8217;d be facing the same impact threat again down the line,&#8221; lead author Rahil Makadia, a NASA-funded graduate fellow at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champagne, said in a <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedaily.com\/releases\/2025\/09\/250909031457.htm\" target=\"_blank\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedaily.com\/releases\/2025\/09\/250909031457.htm\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer-when-downgrade\" data-hl-processed=\"none\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">statement<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p id=\"c1aac6b2-90bc-465d-9b43-885ad05805df\">To avoid this scenario, Makadia&#8217;s team plotted the best spots on an asteroid&#8217;s surface to avoid the keyhole. Their technique borrows from results obtained during a 2022 test mission for asteroid collision, called <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/dart-asteroid-mission\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/dart-asteroid-mission\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Double Asteroid Redirection Test<\/a> (DART). (Makadia was a member of the DART science investigation team, his website states.)<\/p>\n<p>DART deliberately tested how to impact an asteroid at a location presenting no threat to Earth. The NASA-funded mission slammed a kinetic impactor into an asteroid moonlet, Dimorphos, which circles the asteroid Didymos. The spectacular results on Sept. 26, 2022 not only proved asteroid deflection was possible, but showed a <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/dart-asteroid-impact-debris-tail-photo\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/dart-asteroid-impact-debris-tail-photo\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">haunting dust trail visible<\/a> in telescopes stationed all over the solar system.<\/p>\n<p id=\"f79e6002-ba54-4716-8db3-bb5f902d6e19\">Each asteroid is different, Makadia&#8217;s team emphasized, so finding the ideal spot for a successful deflection involves looking at the space rock&#8217;s shape, rotation, mass and surface topology (its distribution of hills and craters).<\/p>\n<p class=\"newsletter-form__strapline\">Breaking space news, the latest updates on rocket launches, skywatching events and more!<\/p>\n<p id=\"052fdb4d-a421-4f53-8a2d-20b0fd0b2b31\">Ideally, just like with DART, scientists would use a spacecraft to check out all this stuff first. But if time is of the essence, Makadia stated it would be &#8220;possible using ground-based observations alone.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The team then created &#8220;probability maps&#8221; showing where the asteroid is most likely to veer after an impact, depending on where it is hit. (The asteroid Bennu, visited by the <a data-analytics-id=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/33776-osiris-rex.html\" data-before-rewrite-localise=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/33776-osiris-rex.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">OSIRIS-REx mission<\/a> in 2020, was used for some of the keyhole mapping simulations, although the study is not examining Bennu in particular.)<\/p>\n<p>Looking at all of these trajectories therefore allows scientists to determine where the safest zone would be for asteroid deflection.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;With these probability maps, we can push asteroids away while preventing them from returning on an impact trajectory, protecting the Earth in the long run,&#8221; said Makadia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Smacking a planet-threatening asteroid comes with big responsibility. If we slam an impactor into an asteroid in exactly&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":133396,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[64,63,128,285],"class_list":{"0":"post-133395","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-space","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-science","11":"tag-space"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133395","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=133395"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133395\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/133396"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=133395"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=133395"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=133395"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}