{"id":133776,"date":"2025-09-10T22:04:10","date_gmt":"2025-09-10T22:04:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/133776\/"},"modified":"2025-09-10T22:04:10","modified_gmt":"2025-09-10T22:04:10","slug":"inside-japans-struggle-to-build-sovereign-ai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/133776\/","title":{"rendered":"Inside Japan&#8217;s struggle to build sovereign AI"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/hai.stanford.edu\/ai-index\/global-vibrancy-tool\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">dominance<\/a> of the United States and China in artificial intelligence (AI) and large language model (LLMs) technologies has raised sovereign concerns about other nations\u2019 domestic AI capabilities.<\/p>\n<p>In response, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techtarget.com\/whatis\/feature\/Sovereign-AI-explained\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u201cSovereign AI\u201d<\/a>\u2014a concept referring to a country\u2019s capacity for developing and operating AI systems\u2014has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lawfaremedia.org\/article\/sovereign-ai-in-a-hybrid-world--national-strategies-and-policy-responses\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">emerged<\/a> as a global policy priority. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Indigenous AI technologies are seen as critical as they increasingly shape modern lives. Domestic foundation AI models can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techtarget.com\/whatis\/feature\/Sovereign-AI-explained\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">perform<\/a> with a deeper understanding of a country\u2019s linguistics and cultural nuances, while also reducing reliance on foreign technologies.<\/p>\n<p>Despite its robust <a href=\"https:\/\/data.worldbank.org\/indicator\/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=JP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">economy<\/a> and a strong <a href=\"https:\/\/ncses.nsf.gov\/pubs\/nsb20257\/global-r-d-and-international-comparisons-2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">R&amp;D foundation<\/a>, Japan is no exception in the global race for sovereign AI. Since the dawn of the AI age in the early 2020s, the country has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/07\/07\/why-japan-is-lagging-behind-in-generative-ai-and-creation-of-llms.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">lagged behind<\/a> the US and China in AI innovation.<\/p>\n<p>In response, through a combination of targeted innovation policies, Japan is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/business\/2025\/07\/23\/tech\/mckinsey-generative-ai-report\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">seeking<\/a> to reverse this trend and foster an indigenous AI ecosystem. As more countries pursue sovereign AI capabilities, Japan\u2019s initiatives and outcomes could hold important implications for similar efforts around the globe.<\/p>\n<p>What is \u2018Sovereign AI\u2019?<\/p>\n<p>The recent explosion of AI and LLM technologies <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/articles\/machines-of-mind-how-generative-ai-will-power-the-coming-productivity-boom\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">promises<\/a> substantial gains in efficiency and productivity across societies. From personal assistance and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/capabilities\/mckinsey-digital\/our-insights\/superagency-in-the-workplace-empowering-people-to-unlock-ais-full-potential-at-work\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">corporate activities<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyreview.com\/2020\/11\/30\/1012712\/deepmind-protein-folding-ai-solved-biology-science-drugs-disease\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">academic research<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deloitte.com\/us\/en\/what-we-do\/capabilities\/applied-artificial-intelligence\/articles\/ai-dossier-government-public-services.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">public infrastructure<\/a>, AI is enhancing performance and boosting output across diverse domains.<\/p>\n<p>However, the global benefits of\u00a0 AI innovation are expected to be unevenly distributed. In nearly all performance benchmarks, the top-performing AI models <a href=\"https:\/\/huggingface.co\/spaces\/lmarena-ai\/lmarena-leaderboard\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">are<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/artificialanalysis.ai\/leaderboards\/models\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">dominated<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/epoch.ai\/benchmarks\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">by<\/a> US and Chinese tech firms.<\/p>\n<p>UNCTAD\u2019s global development report <a href=\"https:\/\/unctad.org\/press-material\/ais-48-trillion-future-un-trade-and-development-alerts-divides-urges-action\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">predicts<\/a> the AI market will reach US$4.8 trillion in 2033, but those gains will likely be concentrated among a small number of companies and regions.<\/p>\n<p>The concept of \u201csovereign AI\u201d has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iiss.org\/online-analysis\/charting-cyberspace\/2025\/08\/sovereign-ai-pathways-to-strategic-autonomy\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">gained currency<\/a> in response to these concerns. Sovereign AI\u00a0refers to a nation\u2019s ability to develop and sustain indigenous AI capabilities\u2014including foundational model technologies, data systems and supporting infrastructure\u2014that ensure autonomous control over AI development and deployment while minimizing reliance on foreign providers.<\/p>\n<p>The primary advantage of AI sovereignty lies in its ability to generate outputs that are tailored to the specific needs of its user base. Since the performance of foundation models relies heavily on training data, domestic models trained in local languages and informed by historical and cultural context are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techtarget.com\/whatis\/feature\/Sovereign-AI-explained\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">better positioned<\/a> to serve national needs than foreign models designed for universal use.<\/p>\n<p>Developing domestic AI capacity also helps <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/stories\/2024\/04\/sovereign-ai-what-is-ways-states-building\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">reduce<\/a> foreign influence over critical national functions. As AI technologies become more embedded in critical infrastructure and national defense systems, reliance on foreign providers increases the risks of interference or vulnerability during crises.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, developing domestic models and data facilities can help <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/stories\/2025\/07\/ai-geopolitics-data-centres-technological-rivalry\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">reduce<\/a> the risk of foreign access to sensitive information. Since the training of AI models requires vast volumes of data that often includes sensitive data, governments can better safeguard and govern access to that data by promoting AI technologies and infrastructure domestically.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, sovereign AI carries major economic implications. As UNCTAD and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldmansachs.com\/insights\/articles\/generative-ai-could-raise-global-gdp-by-7-percent\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">other<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/capabilities\/mckinsey-digital\/our-insights\/the-economic-potential-of-generative-AI-the-next-productivity-frontier#business-value\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">reports<\/a> estimate, the global AI market is expected to surge in the coming decades. By cultivating domestic AI enterprises, countries can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techtarget.com\/whatis\/feature\/Sovereign-AI-explained\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">capture<\/a> a greater share of the resulting economic value \u2013 rather than allowing it to flow to foreign technology providers.<\/p>\n<p>In recent years, a growing number of countries have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/capabilities\/mckinsey-digital\/our-insights\/the-top-trends-in-tech\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">joined<\/a> the sovereign AI race. These include not only established AI investors such as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/stories\/2025\/06\/stargate-uae-ai-national-infrastructure\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">UAE<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-01-25\/taiwan-builds-own-ai-language-model-to-counter-china-s-influence?embedded-checkout=true\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Taiwan<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/newsletters\/2025-05-27\/singapore-s-ai-push-charts-path-toward-localized-models\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Singapore<\/a>, but also emerging players like <a href=\"https:\/\/beta-en.mic.gov.vn\/vietnams-ai-strategy-how-to-build-a-competitive-edge-in-ai-197250303093052827.htm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Vietnam<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/01\/nations-build-sovereign-ai-open-source-models-cloud-computing.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Thailand<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/indonesia-eyes-sovereign-ai-fund-drive-development-document-shows-2025-08-11\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Indonesia<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>AI policy pillars <\/p>\n<p>Japan\u2019s AI Strategy 2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/www8.cao.go.jp\/cstp\/ai\/aistratagy2022en.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">outlines<\/a> the government\u2019s broad ambition to harness AI to boost industrial competitiveness and tackle national and global challenges. While the government strategy does not explicitly use the term \u201csovereign AI\u201d, it advances three core initiatives aimed at fostering an indigenous AI ecosystem.<\/p>\n<p>The first is the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry\u2019s (METI\u2019s) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.meti.go.jp\/policy\/economy\/economic_security\/cloud\/index.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Cloud Program<\/a>, launched under the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.japaneselawtranslation.go.jp\/outline\/75\/905R403.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Economic Security Promotion Act<\/a>. Backed by more than 100 million yen ($6.8 million), the program <a href=\"https:\/\/www.meti.go.jp\/policy\/economy\/economic_security\/cloud\/cloud.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">designates<\/a> cloud services as \u201cSpecified Critical Products\u201d and subsidizes domestic providers to reduce foreign reliance.<\/p>\n<p>The Cloud Program\u2019s implementation <a href=\"https:\/\/www.meti.go.jp\/policy\/economy\/economic_security\/cloud\/cloud.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">emphasizes<\/a> the risks of market concentration among dominant foreign providers and aims to raise Japan\u2019s domestic GPU cloud service sufficiency from the current level of 30%. <\/p>\n<p>Funding has already been allocated to leading firms and institutions\u2014including GMO, Sakura Internet, Softbank, KDDI, and the University of Tokyo\u2014to expand GPU-equipped data centers across the country.<\/p>\n<p>The second initiative is the development of\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/abci.ai\/en\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ABCI 3.0<\/a>, a public supercomputer built by the National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.asahi.com\/ajw\/articles\/15593572\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Funded<\/a> with 36 billion yen ($232 million) through METI\u2019s Economic Security Fund, ABCI 3.0 is the third generation of Japan\u2019s open computing infrastructure designed for AI development and real-world application bridging.<\/p>\n<p>The mainframe, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.datacenterdynamics.com\/en\/news\/hpe-to-build-ai-supercomputer-for-japans-aist\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">constructed<\/a> by Hewlett-Packard Enterprise (HPE) and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scientific-computing.com\/article\/japan-strengthens-ai-capabilities-new-nvidia-based-supercomputer\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">powered<\/a> by Nvidia\u2019s GPUs and network system, <a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/2411.09134\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">delivers<\/a> a theoretical peak performance of approximately 6.2 exaflops (half-precision, 16-bit). This makes it the most powerful public supercomputer in Japan to date.<\/p>\n<p>Since January 2025, AIST <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asahi.com\/ajw\/articles\/15593572\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">has offered<\/a> ABCI 3.0 access to companies and universities for foundational model development. AIST also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.asahi.com\/ajw\/articles\/15593572\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">plans<\/a> to develop its own multimodal AI models using the supercomputer for societal and industrial use.<\/p>\n<p>The third pillar is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.meti.go.jp\/english\/policy\/mono_info_service\/geniac\/index.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Generative AI Accelerator Challenge (GENIAC)<\/a>, a METI-sponsored accelerator program aimed at supporting domestic foundational model projects.<\/p>\n<p>GENIAC <a href=\"https:\/\/www.meti.go.jp\/english\/press\/2024\/0202_001.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">aims<\/a> to strengthen Japan\u2019s competitiveness in foundational AI by providing computing resource assistance, supporting demonstration projects for data utilization, organizing matching events and facilitating collaboration with global tech companies for selected start-up and research projects.<\/p>\n<p>Since its launch in February 2024, two rounds of GENIAC\u2019s six-month cycle have assisted 30 projects. The selected projects <a href=\"https:\/\/www.meti.go.jp\/english\/policy\/mono_info_service\/geniac\/geniac_magazine\/interimreport_1.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">include<\/a> the development of LLMs specifically designed for processing the Japanese language, autonomous driving systems optimized for domestic traffic conditions, and foundational model technologies in research and industry activities.<\/p>\n<p>Shortages and shortfalls<\/p>\n<p>Despite these investments, Japan\u2019s path to sovereign AI is far from straightforward. The country still faces significant challenges in reaching its AI goals.<\/p>\n<p>One major obstacle is the shortage of skilled IT labor. Like <a href=\"https:\/\/cset.georgetown.edu\/publication\/strengthening-the-u-s-ai-workforce\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">many other countries<\/a>, Japan struggles to meet the rising demand for IT workers. METI <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nikkei.com\/article\/DGXZQOUA1948E0Z10C25A5000000\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">projects<\/a> that by 2040, Japan will face a shortfall of 3.2 million workers in AI and robotics technologies.<\/p>\n<p>A key reason behind Japan\u2019s IT labor shortage is the <a href=\"https:\/\/toyokeizai.net\/articles\/-\/669331\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">lack<\/a> of advanced educational programs in computer and data science, along with low enrollment in doctoral programs in these fields. The country also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linuxfoundation.org\/blog\/technical-talent-under-the-rising-sun#:~:text=What%20does%20the%20data%20reveal,countries%20in%20certifications%20and%20expertise.\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">suffers<\/a> from brain drain, driven by comparatively low salary levels.<\/p>\n<p>Japan also <a href=\"https:\/\/ainow.ai\/2020\/03\/12\/185436\/#AI-2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">faces<\/a> a shortage of training data for foundational AI models. While the scale and quantity of training data are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techtarget.com\/searchenterpriseai\/tip\/Explore-the-role-of-training-data-in-AI-and-machine-learning\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">essential<\/a> in developing AI models, the quantity and diversity of Japanese language text data lags far behind that of English or Chinese.<\/p>\n<p>This shortfall is exacerbated by the absence of major domestic internet platforms\u2014such as Facebook, X, or WeChat\u2014that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techpolicy.press\/dismantling-ai-data-monopolies-before-its-too-late\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">generate<\/a> vast amounts of user data for model training.<\/p>\n<p>Some policymakers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.techpolicy.press\/sovereignty-myth-making-in-the-ai-race\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">question<\/a> the concept of AI sovereignty per se. While countries like Japan strive to build sovereign AI systems, they still depend on foreign providers like Nvidia for critical infrastructure like data centers and computing components. <\/p>\n<p>This reliance can paradoxically increase foreign dependence, potentially <a href=\"https:\/\/www.securitymagazine.com\/articles\/101374-dangers-of-deepseeks-privacy-policy-data-risks-in-the-age-of-ai#:~:text=While%2078%25%20of%20AI%20users,the%20app&#039;s%20terms%20of%20service.\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">giving<\/a> external actors access to valuable data or control over AI infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p>In the end, Japan must strike a balance between pragmatic compromises and long-term strategic goals in its pursuit of AI autonomy. Success may lie in how \u201cAI sovereignty\u201d is framed\u2014by prioritizing areas for domestic investment, identifying acceptable areas of foreign dependence and carefully choosing trusted international partners.<\/p>\n<p>Given the high stakes involved in AI governance and development, Japanese policymakers face difficult choices about strategy and resource allocation. The extent to which Japan can achieve a meaningful level of AI sovereignty will have far-reaching implications\u2013not only for its own future, but for the global community as well.<\/p>\n<p>Atsushi Sumikawa is a recent graduate of Georgetown University\u2019s master\u2019s program in national security and emerging technology policy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The dominance of the United States and China in artificial intelligence (AI) and large language model (LLMs) technologies&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":133777,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[92434,256,92435,254,255,64,63,7025,92436,941,92437,92438,92439,92440,92441,2291,77408,105,92442],"class_list":["post-133776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-abci-3-0","tag-ai","tag-ai-autonomy","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificialintelligence","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-block-2","tag-hewlett-packard","tag-japan","tag-japan-ai-sovereignty","tag-japan-ai-strategy","tag-japan-geniac","tag-meti","tag-meti-cloud-program","tag-nvidia","tag-sovereign-ai","tag-technology","tag-unctad"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=133776"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133776\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/133777"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=133776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=133776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=133776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}