{"id":134951,"date":"2025-09-11T10:10:09","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T10:10:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/134951\/"},"modified":"2025-09-11T10:10:09","modified_gmt":"2025-09-11T10:10:09","slug":"altcoin-season-index-hits-76-as-btc-d-slips-yet-risks-still-remain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/134951\/","title":{"rendered":"Altcoin Season Index hits 76 as BTC.D slips &#8211; Yet RISKS still remain!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-del=\"avatar\" alt=\"Avatar\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Profile-80x80.jpeg\" class=\"avatar pp-user-avatar avatar-48 photo \" height=\"48\" width=\"48\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Journalist<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tPosted: September 11, 2025<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tKey Takeaways<\/p>\n<p>Altcoin Season Index hits 76, DOGE\/BTC rallies, and BTC.D prints lower lows. Will the index defy the 2024 cycle?<\/p>\n<p>Beyond macro risks, a major headwind to <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D)<\/a> has been the altcoin market. On paper, BTC is reclaiming back-to-back resistance levels, the latest around $112k.<\/p>\n<p>And yet, BTC.D hasn\u2019t recovered 60% of inflows, printing a red weekly candle. Meanwhile, TOTAL2 (market cap ex-BTC) is up 3.58%, showing capital is still chasing high-beta alts.<\/p>\n<p>The result? The Altcoin Season Index jumped 13% to 76 in a single day, officially signaling the first full-blown altseason since the election run. <\/p>\n<p>This also underscores the persistent risk-off behavior in BTC flows.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-11-111607.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-527214\" class=\"wp-image-527214 size-full\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"Altcoin Season Index\" width=\"1270\" height=\"619\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-11-111607.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-527214\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Blockchaincenter<\/p>\n<p>Simply put, traders are chasing outsized upside outside of Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Case in point: <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/dogecoin-news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Dogecoin [DOGE]<\/a>. While <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/ethereum-price-prediction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Ethereum [ETH]<\/a> is hitting a wall, with the ETH\/BTC ratio failing at 0.04 resistance, DOGE\/BTC ratio is ripping nearly 10% in less than two weeks, eyeing the 0.0000024 ceiling.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, the current market cycle mirrors the previous election run, memecoin mania is surging, BTC.D is slipping, and ETH\/BTC remains capped.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Given how the Altcoin Season Index broke out in 2024 during similar conditions, could we be witnessing a repeat performance?<\/p>\n<p>Traders, why caution is warranted!<\/p>\n<p>During the election cycle, BTC.D posted its worst weekly run in two years.<\/p>\n<p>The Altcoin Season Index hit 88 by early December, dragging BTC.D down 10% to 54% in the same stretch. However, when BTC.D bounced back to 65% by mid-June, the Altcoin Season Index had crashed to 12.<\/p>\n<p>Alts got wrecked as overstretched positions blew up. Fast-forward to now, Coinalyze shows Bitcoin <a href=\"https:\/\/coinalyze.net\/bitcoin\/open-interest\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">Open Interest (OI) dominance<\/a> at 38%, meaning alt leverage is running 50% higher than BTC, setting up a crowded playbook.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/BTC.D_2025-09-11_12-14-19.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-527233\" class=\"wp-image-527233 size-full\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"btc.d\" width=\"1824\" height=\"837\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/BTC.D_2025-09-11_12-14-19.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-527233\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: TradingView (BTC.D)<\/p>\n<p>In short, the Altcoin Season Index is flirting with another blow-off top.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But there\u2019s a key divergence: BTC.D has posted two lower lows since its 65% peak. Unlike the election cycle, when capital rotated back into <a href=\"https:\/\/coinalyze.net\/bitcoin\/open-interest\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a>, alt inflows continue to climb, keeping BTC.D under pressure.<\/p>\n<p>Why does this matter? According to AMBCrypto, investors are staying away from Bitcoin, keeping it locked in a chop. <\/p>\n<p>As long as this pattern holds, the Altcoin Season Index stays in focus and could challenge its 88 top.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tPrevious: <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/senator-kennedy-calls-crypto-bill-a-baby-step-stalls-gops-september-plans\/\" rel=\"next nofollow noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\">Senator Kennedy calls crypto bill a \u2018baby step,\u2019 stalls GOP\u2019s September plans<\/a>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tNext: <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/how-hedera-could-rally-25-after-hbars-etf-update\/\" rel=\"prev nofollow noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\">How Hedera could rally 25% after HBAR\u2019s ETF update<\/a>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Journalist Posted: September 11, 2025 Key Takeaways Altcoin Season Index hits 76, DOGE\/BTC rallies, and BTC.D prints lower&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":134952,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[1095,64,63,99],"class_list":{"0":"post-134951","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-ambcrypto","9":"tag-au","10":"tag-australia","11":"tag-business"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/134951","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=134951"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/134951\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/134952"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=134951"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=134951"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=134951"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}