{"id":155331,"date":"2025-09-19T22:56:09","date_gmt":"2025-09-19T22:56:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/155331\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T22:56:09","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T22:56:09","slug":"sussan-ley-and-the-coalition-face-a-ticking-time-bomb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/155331\/","title":{"rendered":"Sussan Ley and the Coalition face a ticking time bomb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Who&#8217;d be Sussan Ley?<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Granted, opposition leadership is traditionally a grim job \u2014 especially in the wake of an epic election drubbing and in the shadows of a seemingly untouchable government at the peak of its game.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">But when the job is all about keeping the faltering existential flame of the Liberal Party alive, it&#8217;s pure misery.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Ley had one of those stumbles politicians make on Friday that show how strongly the political gales are blowing against her.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">When you&#8217;re in trouble, even the trivial stuff-ups cost you. It&#8217;s the flip-side of the halo effect that winners enjoy and covet.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">When you&#8217;re on top, you can do no wrong.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Anthony Albanese close up, with Chris Bowen in background. \" class=\"Image_image__5tFYM ContentImage_image__DQ_cq\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/99207b56a87f62edb9121dec4ec81af3\" loading=\"lazy\" data-component=\"Image\" data-lazy=\"true\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP FigureCaption_text__zDxQ5 Typography_sizeMobile12__w_FPC Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Minister for Climate Change and Energy Chris Bowen speak to media during a press conference in Sydney, Thursday, September 18, 2025. (AAP: Dan Himbrechts)<\/p>\n<p>PM pounces on comment<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Witness the prime minister laughing away a reporter&#8217;s question about the dollar impact on energy bills of the new climate target. Lols. Nothing to see here. Next question!<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The latest pain for Ley began on Friday after she told journalists that the Coalition doesn&#8217;t support setting climate targets from opposition or from government.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Within seconds of the press conference coming to an end, Ley was made aware of her mistake and quickly stepped back to the microphone. &#8220;Sorry guys, just one sec&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;What I meant to say was that I don&#8217;t support the targets that the government sets while we&#8217;re in opposition,&#8221; she clarified.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;We do of course recognise the importance of targets in government, when we have the full information in front of us which we don&#8217;t have now.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Ley misspoke and corrected herself.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">But it didn&#8217;t stop the prime minister from seizing on the original comment, which he described as &#8220;extraordinary&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">It was indicative, he asserted, of a Coalition that wants to withdraw from the Paris Agreement, reminding voters of the opposition&#8217;s ongoing public internal fight over whether to dump its previous support for net zero by 2050.<\/p>\n<p>Loading&#8230;The headlines took off<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Ley has made no announcement (yet) that she wants to take the Liberal Party out of the Paris Agreement, which Australia joined under the last Coalition government.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">But the headlines took off, with most media outlets covering the original remarks, the clean-up.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">She did the right thing, but it all reinforced a central storyline that the Coalition is all at sea on climate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">It also demonstrates how tiny Ley&#8217;s room for error has become. She&#8217;s on the thinnest of ice.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Through no direct fault of her own, she&#8217;s had another torrid week, despite delivering a keynote economic speech that was applauded for its emphasis on returning the Liberals to their fiscally prudent roots.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Sadly for her, few Australians will be all that aware of the speech.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">What they will have heard \u2014 if they&#8217;re paying any attention to the opposition&#8217;s newsreels, an arguable proposition \u2014 is that Ley presides over a Coalition that just recorded the worst Newspoll result in its history.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Conducted earlier this month \u2014 as the Jacinta Nampijinpa Price debacle over her remarks about Indian migrants reached its zenith \u2014 the poll showed the Coalition&#8217;s primary vote has collapsed to 27 per cent, the lowest since Newspoll began tracking party support in 1985.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">If voters thought Peter Dutton was terrible, what do these numbers mean?<\/p>\n<p>Loading\u00a0No natural allies<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">To be fair, much of this is not her doing. She survived a bruising post-election fight that left conservatives seething.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Then the National Party threw a tantrum after the election and pulled out of the Coalition, only to return a short time later.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2025-09-15\/australia-carbon-budget-2035-emissions-target\/105341080\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Australia has a carbon &#8216;budget&#8217;. It&#8217;s due to be spent by 2036<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">Unless Australia lifts its ambitions, its &#8220;fair share&#8221; of carbon emissions will be spent 14 years early. With the government announcing a 2035 climate target this week, there is intense debate on how high the government should aim \u2014 and whether it will be enough to help limit global warming.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Despite pulling on the mantle of leadership, she&#8217;s carried it falteringly. She has no natural allies, and gets little support from colleagues.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Many shadow ministers and backbenchers have spent the last week or so firing unsubtle pot-shots from the sidelines \u2014 doing media interviews that often have nothing to do with their portfolio areas.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Dan Tehan, the shadow climate spokesperson, was overseas this week, during the biggest climate policy announcement in a decade; leaving it to Ley and former climate spokesperson Ted O&#8217;Brien to critique the government&#8217;s 2035 emissions reduction target.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">And before that, climate policy was causing instability for Ley, with self-declared leadership contender Andrew Hastie revealing that he will quit or be sacked from the front-bench if the party doesn&#8217;t turn its back on net zero.<\/p>\n<p>Loading&#8230;A ticking time bomb<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Every day, it seems, there is another headwind for Ley.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Normally many of these niggles wouldn&#8217;t matter. But Ley and the Coalition are facing a ticking time bomb.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">One that few people, even deep in the political game, have fully recognised.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">It relates to electoral funding laws that were passed in the dying days of the previous parliament after the Coalition did a deal with Labor to limit the ability of wealthy donors to fund third party movements.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">For the Coalition, this looks like it may backfire spectacularly.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">And for Ley, its a reason she may have less time to regain her footing and stoke the Liberal base than most people appreciate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The new laws come into force on July 1. Until then, the old rules apply.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">That means the next nine months are a frantic race to raise as much money as possible.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"David Pocock on the phone at Parliament House\" class=\"Image_image__5tFYM ContentImage_image__DQ_cq\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/1758322569_656_d6f2d70eb2bd97fadb138c699e825acc\" loading=\"lazy\" data-component=\"Image\" data-lazy=\"true\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP FigureCaption_text__zDxQ5 Typography_sizeMobile12__w_FPC Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">Independent, teal or David Pocock types should also do well. They have the benefit of name recognition and energised supporter ranks. (ABC News: Matt Roberts)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Those who raise the most will then have capital endowments to generate future revenue for campaigns, establishing a profound structural advantage over those who don&#8217;t.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">This is a new factor in the opposition&#8217;s leadership stakes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">It&#8217;s a reason Ley&#8217;s detractors are pushing for a return to a more firebrand option in the mould of Tony Abbott. A figure who might not win middle Australia but can generate heat across the donor base.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Labor will have no difficulty squirrelling away resources for the long term before the new rules kick in, thanks to its union base.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Independent, teal or David Pocock types should also do well. They have the benefit of name recognition and energised supporter ranks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">But it looks very bad for the Coalition parties, and the Greens to a lesser degree, who appear to have lost donors to the teals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">For most voters this matters little. But for political movements, donations are what keep the motors running. Once they dry up, it&#8217;s over.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/subscribe\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ABC Politics in your inbox<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">Sign up to the ABC Politics newsletter with Brett Worthington<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Ley seems aware of the danger.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">In the hours after the prime minister announced the government&#8217;s 2035 climate target, Coalition donors received an email from Ley.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;We will oppose any attempt to legislate this target,&#8221; she vowed, just above a &#8220;contribute today&#8221; link.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Opposition leaders can have slow starts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">But she has less time than most to rebound in what are shaping up as some of the most tenuous days in the party of Robert Menzies&#8217;s 80-year history.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Jacob Greber is political editor of ABC&#8217;s 7.30 program.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Who&#8217;d be Sussan Ley? Granted, opposition leadership is traditionally a grim job \u2014 especially in the wake of&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":155332,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[68,27305,43,1871,10940,44,6895,2325,64171,41,39,42,40],"class_list":{"0":"post-155331","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-headlines","8":"tag-climate-change","9":"tag-coalition","10":"tag-headlines","11":"tag-leadership","12":"tag-liberal-party","13":"tag-news","14":"tag-prime-minister","15":"tag-sussan-ley","16":"tag-tony-abbott","17":"tag-top-news","18":"tag-top-stories","19":"tag-topnews","20":"tag-topstories"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155331","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=155331"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155331\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/155332"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=155331"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=155331"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=155331"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}