{"id":157418,"date":"2025-09-20T21:39:07","date_gmt":"2025-09-20T21:39:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/157418\/"},"modified":"2025-09-20T21:39:07","modified_gmt":"2025-09-20T21:39:07","slug":"early-leader-most-games-polling-first-year-stars-more","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/157418\/","title":{"rendered":"Early leader, most games polling, first-year stars, more"},"content":{"rendered":"

\n All the key data from the Brownlow Predictor ahead of this year’s count\n <\/p>\n

Who will take home this year’s Brownlow Medal?<\/p>\n

ADELAIDE captain Jordan Dawson could be heading towards a first ever Brownlow Medal.<\/p>\n

AFL.com.au’s Brownlow Predictor<\/a> has correctly tipped the last two Brownlow winners and, after crunching the numbers, has Dawson coming out on top in 2025 ahead of what is set to be a thrilling count on Monday night.<\/p>\n

The Brownlow Predictor has Dawson on 32 votes, just one clear of Collingwood superstar Nick Daicos and Geelong recruit Bailey Smith on 31 votes, while being a couple ahead of Gold Coast skipper Noah Anderson on 30 votes.<\/p>\n

BROWNLOW PREDICTOR\u00a0Who will take home Charlie?<\/a>
BROWNLOW GUIDE\u00a0How to watch, stream and follow live<\/a>
BROWNLOW HUB\u00a0Previews, live leaderboards and more<\/a>
HISTORY Your club’s Brownlow winners, most three-vote games<\/a><\/p>\n

A huge chasing pack featuring Brisbane’s Hugh McCluggage, Melbourne’s Max Gawn, Gold Coast’s Matt Rowell, Port Adelaide’s Zak Butters, Greater Western Sydney’s Tom Green and St Kilda’s Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera are just behind them.<\/p>\n

The Brownlow Predictor is almost guaranteeing a first-time Brownlow winner, with the entire leading group \u2013 all the way down to Lachie Neale on 17 votes \u2013 all aiming to secure their first slice of history.<\/p>\n

Here’s how\u00a0AFL.com.au’s Brownlow Predictor sees the night unfolding.<\/p>\n

Jordan Dawson celebrates a goal during Adelaide’s clash against Brisbane in round 13, 2025. Picture: AFL Photos<\/p>\n

Get our full Brownlow coverage in our\u00a0Brownlow Hub<\/a><\/p>\n

AFL.com.au’s Brownlow Predictor<\/p>\n

32 Jordan Dawson (Adelaide)
31 Nick Daicos (Collingwood)
31 Bailey Smith (Geelong)
30 Noah Anderson (Gold Coast)
28 Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane)
27 Max Gawn (Melbourne)
27 Matt Rowell (Gold Coast)
26 Zak Butters (Port Adelaide)
26 Tom Green (Greater Western Sydney)
25 Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (St Kilda)<\/p>\n

Brownlow Predictor: After R6<\/p>\n

10 Jordan Dawson (Adelaide)
9 Zach Merrett (Essendon)
9 Lachie Neale (Brisbane)
8 Nick Daicos (Collingwood)
8 Connor Rozee (Port Adelaide)
8 Bailey Smith (Geelong)<\/p>\n

Zach Merrett celebrates a goal during the R1 match between Essendon and Hawthorn at the MCG on March 14, 2025. Picture: AFL Photos<\/p>\n

Brownlow Predictor: After R10<\/p>\n

14 Jordan Dawson (Adelaide)
14 Max Gawn (Melbourne)
13 Bailey Smith (Geelong)
13 Lachie Neale (Brisbane)
12 Zach Merrett (Essendon)
12 Connor Rozee (Port Adelaide)<\/p>\n

Brownlow Predictor: After R15<\/p>\n

21 Jordan Dawson (Adelaide)
19 Bailey Smith (Geelong)
17 Nick Daicos (Collingwood)
17 Noah Anderson (Gold Coast)
17 Tom Green (Greater Western Sydney)
16 Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane)
16 Max Gawn (Melbourne)<\/p>\n

Bailey Smith celebrates a goal during the Qualifying Final between Geelong and Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on September 5, 2025. Picture: AFL Photos<\/p>\n

Most votes last eight rounds<\/p>\n

18 Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (St Kilda)
16 Finn Callaghan (Greater Western Sydney)
14 Matt Rowell (Gold Coast)
13 Noah Anderson (Gold Coast)
13 Marcus Bontempelli (Western Bulldogs)<\/p>\n

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera celebrates a goal during St Kilda’s clash against Essendon in round 23, 2025. Picture: AFL Photos<\/p>\n

Most three-vote games<\/p>\n

9 Jordan Dawson (Adelaide)
8 Nick Daicos (Collingwood)
7 Bailey Smith (Geelong)
7 Noah Anderson (Gold Coast)
6 Zak Butters (Port Adelaide)
6 Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (St Kilda)
6 Finn Callaghan (Greater Western Sydney)<\/p>\n

Most games polling a vote<\/p>\n

14 Jordan Dawson (Adelaide)
14 Bailey Smith (Geelong)
14 Max Gawn (Melbourne)
13 Tom Green (Greater Western Sydney)
12 Nick Daicos (Collingwood)
12 Noah Anderson (Gold Coast)
12 Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane)
12 Matt Rowell (Gold Coast)
12 Zak Butters (Port Adelaide)<\/p>\n

Highest polling first-year player<\/p>\n

2 Murphy Reid (Fremantle)
2 Sam Davidson (Western Bulldogs)
1 Harvey Langford (Melbourne)
1 Riley Bice (Sydney)<\/p>\n

Murphy Reid celebrates a goal during the R20 match between Fremantle and West Coast at Optus Stadium on July 26, 2025. Picture: Getty Images\/AFL Photos<\/p>\n

Highest polling former Brownlow winners<\/p>\n

17 Lachie Neale (Brisbane)
13 Patrick Cripps (Carlton)
8 Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
1 Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide)<\/p>\n

Highest polling clubs<\/p>\n

97 Brisbane
95 Collingwood
91 Geelong
90 Adelaide
90 Western Bulldogs
87 Greater Western Sydney
80 Fremantle
80 Hawthorn
79 Gold Coast
67 St Kilda
66 Melbourne
66 Sydney
63 Port Adelaide
53 Carlton
51 Essendon
41 North Melbourne
30 Richmond
11 West Coast<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"All the key data from the Brownlow Predictor ahead of this year’s count Who will take home this…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":157419,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[560],"tags":[638,64,63,55,639,85,83],"class_list":{"0":"post-157418","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-afl","8":"tag-afl","9":"tag-au","10":"tag-australia","11":"tag-australian-football-league","12":"tag-australianfootballleague","13":"tag-sports","14":"tag-text"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157418","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=157418"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157418\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/157419"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=157418"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=157418"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=157418"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}