{"id":162055,"date":"2025-09-22T23:21:08","date_gmt":"2025-09-22T23:21:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/162055\/"},"modified":"2025-09-22T23:21:08","modified_gmt":"2025-09-22T23:21:08","slug":"brutal-retirement-prediction-for-1-in-4-aussies-as-very-concerning-trend-doubles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/162055\/","title":{"rendered":"Brutal retirement prediction for 1 in 4 Aussies as &#8216;very concerning&#8217; trend doubles"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>     <img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"Dr Kyle Peyton (left) next to retired couple\" loading=\"eager\" height=\"517\" width=\"960\" class=\"yf-1gfnohs loader\"\/> Dr Kyle Peyton (left) has revealed what the retirement landscape will look like for retirees in the future if nothing changes. (Source: University of Melbourne\/Getty)      <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">A quarter of Australian <a data-i13n=\"cpos:1;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/au.finance.yahoo.com\/news\/grave-impact-of-superannuation-move-for-australian-renters-isnt-a-benign-force-035930358.html\" data-ylk=\"slk:retirees are expected to be renting;cpos:1;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;outcm:mb_qualified_link;_E:mb_qualified_link;ct:story;\" class=\"link  yahoo-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">retirees are expected to be renting<\/a> in less than two decades rather than <a data-i13n=\"cpos:2;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/au.finance.yahoo.com\/topic\/property\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:owning their homes;cpos:2;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">owning their homes<\/a>. The number of Aussies <a data-i13n=\"cpos:3;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/au.finance.yahoo.com\/news\/retirement-wake-up-call-as-aussies-hit-with-extra-13000-in-annual-costs-023110380.html\" data-ylk=\"slk:renting in their twilight years;cpos:3;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;outcm:mb_qualified_link;_E:mb_qualified_link;ct:story;\" class=\"link  yahoo-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">renting in their twilight years<\/a> has doubled from 6 per cent to 12 per cent between 2003 and 2023.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">That&#8217;s the damning finding from the latest <a data-i13n=\"cpos:4;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/melbourneinstitute.unimelb.edu.au\/__data\/assets\/pdf_file\/0010\/5387806\/2025-HILDA-Statistical-Report.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey;cpos:4;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey<\/a>. The study&#8217;s co-author, Dr Kyle Peyton, told Yahoo Finance that the &#8220;very concerning&#8221; situation won&#8217;t be rectified unless there is a dramatic change.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;It depends on what we do as a country over the next 20 years, but I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s going to get any better,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;We&#8217;re going to be on the same trajectory that we&#8217;ve been on for the last 20 years, and in the next 20 years, there&#8217;s a pretty good chance that we could see something like <a data-i13n=\"cpos:8;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/au.finance.yahoo.com\/news\/100000-retirement-warning-as-generational-shift-erupts-for-working-australians-222848139.html\" data-ylk=\"slk:25 per cent of people going into retirement renting;cpos:8;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;outcm:mb_qualified_link;_E:mb_qualified_link;ct:story;\" class=\"link  yahoo-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">25 per cent of people going into retirement renting<\/a>.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">He pointed to a <a data-i13n=\"cpos:9;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/grattan.edu.au\/boost-rent-assistance-to-help-lift-retirees-out-of-poverty\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Grattan Institute report;cpos:9;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Grattan Institute report<\/a> from February that showed two in three retirees who rented in the private market lived in poverty.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Are you renting in retirement and want to tell your story? Email stew.perrie@yahooinc.com<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The poorest 40 per cent of renting households aged 55-64 had less than $40,000 in net financial wealth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">According to the Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia&#8217;s (ASFA) <a data-i13n=\"cpos:10;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.superannuation.asn.au\/consumers\/retirement-standard\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:retirement standard;cpos:10;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">retirement standard<\/a>, a modest retirement for a renter is estimated to cost $66,296 per year for couples, and $49,044 per year for singles.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">That&#8217;s significantly more than what homeowners without a mortgage needed for the same type of lifestyle, with couples requiring $48,184 per year, and singles requiring $33,386 per year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Those who rent during their twilight years are at the whim of price hikes, evictions, and using their precious funds on housing all the way until the end.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The HILDA report found that while the percentage of retired renters with superannuation is growing (it&#8217;s now at 73.2 per cent), the rate is &#8220;substantially lower&#8221; than that of homeowners (93.3 per cent for those with mortgage paid off and 82.6 per cent still paying off mortgage).<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Their average superannuation amount has also grown from $83,000 in 2015 to $277,000 in 2023, but that&#8217;s still well below the anticipated amount needed for a comfortable retirement.<\/p>\n<p> Story Continues  <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">ASFA <a data-i13n=\"cpos:11;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/au.finance.yahoo.com\/news\/superannuation-warning-as-amount-australians-need-to-comfortably-retire-rises-again-steep-061153845.html\" data-ylk=\"slk:estimated;cpos:11;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;outcm:mb_qualified_link;_E:mb_qualified_link;ct:story;\" class=\"link  yahoo-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">estimated<\/a> that a 67-year-old couple would need $690,000 in their nest egg for a comfortable retirement, while a single would need $595,000.<\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"An elderly couple sitting on a public bench in a public garden\" loading=\"lazy\" height=\"541\" width=\"960\" class=\"yf-1gfnohs loader\"\/> A quarter of retirees could be renting by 2043 if current trends continue. (Source: Getty)  \u00b7 Catherine Delahaye via Getty Images  <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;These trends suggest that retirees who do not own homes are at a substantial disadvantage compared to homeowners,&#8221; the HILDA report said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;While renters and those in other housing arrangements tend to retire at slightly younger ages than outright homeowners, they often face markedly different socio-economic circumstances.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">They included aspects like lower and more unstable incomes, higher housing costs relative to income, and limited access to the wealth-building benefits of homeownership.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">If the current trends continue, the report suggested that younger generations could spend &#8220;most or all&#8221; of their working lives renting.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Peyton told Yahoo Finance that the government needed to do two things to prevent this retirement trend from growing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">One was getting more supply in the rental market, as the research fellow from the University of Melbourne&#8217;s Faculty of Business and Economics said there won&#8217;t be nearly enough homes for everyone in the future at the current build rate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The government set an ambitious target to build 1.2 million new homes by 2029, but it&#8217;s <a data-i13n=\"cpos:12;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/au.finance.yahoo.com\/news\/tradies-raking-in-250000-per-year-in-perth-amid-huge-trades-shortage-231201886.html\" data-ylk=\"slk:falling well short of its annual targets;cpos:12;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;outcm:mb_qualified_link;_E:mb_qualified_link;ct:story;\" class=\"link  yahoo-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">falling well short of its annual targets<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The second fix, which he admitted was a much faster solution, was increasing the rate of <a data-i13n=\"cpos:13;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/au.finance.yahoo.com\/news\/calls-for-2-billion-cash-boost-to-centrelink-rent-assistance-as-pensioners-go-without-meals-to-get-worse-042810562.html\" data-ylk=\"slk:Commonwealth Rent Assistance (CRA);cpos:13;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;outcm:mb_qualified_link;_E:mb_qualified_link;ct:story;\" class=\"link  yahoo-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Commonwealth Rent Assistance (CRA)<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">If you&#8217;re paying more than $439.20 per fortnight for rent as a single person, the maximum payment you can receive every two weeks is $215.40.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The median rent for houses and units across all Aussie capital cities is $650 per week, according to <a data-i13n=\"cpos:14;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/insight.domain.com.au\/research-insights\/industry-news\/rent-pain-tenants-now-pay-as-much-for-units-as-houses\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Domain;cpos:14;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Domain<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Peyton pointed out that the Centrelink payment has been tied to inflation, and while it&#8217;s been lifted in recent years, it hasn&#8217;t kept pace with rent prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The Grattan Institute <a data-i13n=\"cpos:15;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/grattan.edu.au\/boost-rent-assistance-to-help-lift-retirees-out-of-poverty\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:found;cpos:15;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">found<\/a> that these prices have increased nearly 1.5 times faster than the maximum rate of CRA since 2001.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">It also discovered that a single retiree relying solely on income support can afford to rent only 4 per cent of one-bedroom homes in Sydney, 13 per cent in Brisbane, and 14 per cent in Melbourne.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;There&#8217;s room for a lot of improvement there, just with some simple changes,&#8221; Peyton said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Get the latest Yahoo Finance news &#8211; follow us on <a data-i13n=\"cpos:16;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/yahoofinanceaunz\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Facebook;cpos:16;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Facebook<\/a>, <a data-i13n=\"cpos:17;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/yahoo-finance-australia-nz\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:LinkedIn;cpos:17;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">LinkedIn<\/a> and <a data-i13n=\"cpos:18;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/yahoofinanceau\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Instagram;cpos:18;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Instagram<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>     <script async src=\"\/\/www.instagram.com\/embed.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Dr Kyle Peyton (left) has revealed what the retirement landscape will look like for retirees in the future&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":162056,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[64,63,99,107186,186,107187,184,185,1793],"class_list":{"0":"post-162055","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-personal-finance","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-business","11":"tag-dr-kyle-peyton","12":"tag-finance","13":"tag-hilda","14":"tag-personal-finance","15":"tag-personalfinance","16":"tag-retirement"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/162055","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=162055"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/162055\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/162056"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=162055"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=162055"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=162055"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}