{"id":164983,"date":"2025-09-24T03:47:09","date_gmt":"2025-09-24T03:47:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/164983\/"},"modified":"2025-09-24T03:47:09","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T03:47:09","slug":"the-promise-of-a-quantum-computing-revolution","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/164983\/","title":{"rendered":"The promise of a quantum computing revolution"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Quantum technology promises to spark a revolution in computing as significant as the integrated circuit in the 1950s and 60s. Evrim Yazgin helps us master the basics of quantum computing today, to imagine where quantum simulators will take us tomorrow. This article originally appeared in the Cosmos Print Magazine in December 2024. <\/p>\n<p>Integrated circuits form the basis of modern \u2018classical\u2019 computing. There can be hundreds of these microchips in a laptop or personal computer. Their size has meant that now mobile phones have computing power thousands of times faster than the most powerful supercomputers built in the 1980s.<\/p>\n<p>Since the 1990s, supercomputers have come into their own. The most powerful supercomputer in the world, Frontier based in the US, has a million times more computing power than top-tier gaming PCs.<br \/>But these devices are still based on the classical technology of integrated circuits and are therefore limited in their capabilities.<\/p>\n<p>Quantum computers promise to be able to process calculations thousands, even millions of times faster than modern computers.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re not there yet, though.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"775\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAxMjAwIDc3NSIgd2lkdGg9IjEyMDAiIGhlaWdodD0iNzc1IiBkYXRhLXU9IiUyRndwLWNvbnRlbnQlMkZ1cGxvYWRzJTJGMjAyNCUyRjExJTJGR2V0dHlJbWFnZXMtMTQ1ODY3Njc0MC5qcGciIGRhdGEtdz0iMTIwMCIgZGF0YS1oPSI3NzUiIGRhdGEtYmlwPSIiPjwvc3ZnPg==\" data-spai=\"1\" alt=\"Quantum computer in white room.\" class=\"wp-image-316810\" title=\"the promise of a quantum computing revolution 1\"\/>Quantum computer concept. Credit: Bartlomiej Wroblewski iStock \/ Getty Images Plus.<\/p>\n<p>Quantum does not compute<\/p>\n<p>Quantum computers have been in development for decades.<\/p>\n<p>These devices use the principles of quantum mechanics \u2013 which produce bizarre and seemingly magical effects \u2013 for machines which can do things that aren\u2019t possible using modern classical computers.<\/p>\n<p>Classical computers use bits \u2013 zeroes and ones \u2013 to encode information as binary signals in transistors in their integrated circuits.<\/p>\n<p>Quantum computers use quantum bits \u2013 called qubits. These can encode information as zeroes, ones or a mix of zero and one thanks to the quantum phenomenon known as superposition.<\/p>\n<p>Particles in a superposition of states aren\u2019t defined by single values for their physical properties. Instead, these physical properties are expressed as probabilities.<\/p>\n<p>Engineers can make use of superpositions to store multidimensional computing data in qubits of much greater complexity than an ordinary classical bit.<\/p>\n<p>Extending the effects of superposition over multiple systems \u2013 or atoms \u2013 leads to quantum entanglement. This phenomenon, which Einstein famously described as \u201cspooky action at a distance\u201d, can be used to link qubits together leading to lip-licking prospects such as unhackable encryption.<\/p>\n<p>But the same quantum mechanics which gives quantum computers their great potential means they are extremely difficult to actually produce.<\/p>\n<p>Gavin Brennen, a professor at Macquarie University in Sydney and director at the Macquarie Centre for Quantum Engineering, helps explain why this is the case.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe problem with anything quantum is, if we look at the world around us, it\u2019s not very quantum,\u201d Brennen says. \u201cWe don\u2019t find ourselves walking through walls. We don\u2019t find objects in superpositions. When things become larger and warmer, and they tend to act less quantum.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-brand-primary-color has-text-color\">\u201cIf you\u2019re working with a single electron, that\u2019s going to act very quantum,\u201d he adds. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cOr maybe a single atom \u2013 which is a collection of electrons, protons and neutrons \u2013 that can act pretty quantum. But when you try to get thousands of those things to act quantum, it\u2019s very\u00a0hard.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Brennen says this is due to an effect called \u201cdecoherence\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s noise. The more things you have to control, the more things they can interact with. And the things they interact with get information. Your quantum system leaks information and when it does that it loses the properties that make it quantum,\u201d Brennen explains.<\/p>\n<p>Brennen says \u201cyou have to play a lot of games\u201d including cooling the system down and removing coupling between the quantum device and the rest of the world to try and reduce decoherence.<\/p>\n<p>The physicist is speaking to me online from Helsinki, Finland where he is attending a conference called Quantum Resource Estimation at which researchers are discussing such problems.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s pretty interesting,\u201d Brennen says. \u201cIt\u2019s about trying to find ways to make quantum computers more efficient for solving problems, like ways to make error correction work better and tricks to make algorithms faster.\u201d<br \/>Quantum error correction is one way of tackling decoherence. The idea is to develop algorithms using more qubits to increase redundancies in the quantum system and reduce signal loss. It\u2019s a bit like having more backups.<\/p>\n<p>Eventually, such methods will lead to quantum devices being able to do things that today\u2019s computers can\u2019t.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1417\" height=\"945\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAxNDE3IDk0NSIgd2lkdGg9IjE0MTciIGhlaWdodD0iOTQ1IiBkYXRhLXU9IiUyRndwLWNvbnRlbnQlMkZ1cGxvYWRzJTJGMjAyNCUyRjExJTJGR2V0dHlJbWFnZXMtMjE3NzI5OTQxNy5qcGciIGRhdGEtdz0iMTQxNyIgZGF0YS1oPSI5NDUiIGRhdGEtYmlwPSIiPjwvc3ZnPg==\" data-spai=\"1\" alt=\"Device with lots of copper wires.\" class=\"wp-image-316807\" title=\"the promise of a quantum computing revolution 2\"\/>A qubit generator for quantum photonic computers at Quandela, a French start-up. Credit: ALAIN JOCARD\/AFP via Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Quantum see, quantum do<\/p>\n<p>Among the people most excited to see quantum computers are quantum chemists.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe UN has declared next year 2025 as the International Year of Quantum Science and Technology,\u201d says Amir Karton, a professor at the University of New England in New South Wales.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt essentially marks 100 years since the Schr\u00f6dinger equation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Karton explains that this fundamental equation, developed by Erwin Schr\u00f6dinger in 1925, describes the quantum mechanics of different systems. Solve the equation for a system and you can understand its properties.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019ve been able to be able to solve the Schr\u00f6dinger equations for very small molecules, or very small systems with a small number of electrons in the last 100 years,\u201d Karton explains. \u201cFor example, solving the equation for the hydrogen molecule was done in the 1920s.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Systems with more electrons and other subatomic particles require solving more complex sets of equations. Karton says that solving anything with more than a handful of electrons wasn\u2019t possible until supercomputers came around in the 1990s.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat we\u2019ve been able to do over the last 5 or 10 years is to model real chemical systems \u2013 molecules and materials,\u201d Karton says. \u201cThat enables us to design better drugs, better catalysts, better materials for various applications without the need to go into the lab.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Karton says, for example, that quantum chemists may need to test hundreds or thousands of catalysts to see which ones are most effective. Doing this in a lab is not feasible. Having a quantum machine to simulate this would speed the process up.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe can calculate a catalytic enhancement of all these potential catalysts and have really good insights of what\u2019s going to work. Then we would collaborate with experimental groups to then test the proposed catalyst.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>For quantum chemists like Karton, quantum computers able to solve the Schr\u00f6dinger equation for even more complex molecules and materials would be a huge boon. The ultimate question is how can you build a device which is powerful enough to simulate the complex quantum mechanics of molecules?<\/p>\n<p>Decoherence means that such useful machines are still a while away.<\/p>\n<p>But there may be a type of quantum simulator which could give Karton and his ilk something to look forward to in the nearer term.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe field divides it into 2 types of simulators,\u201d says Brennen. \u201cThere\u2019s digital and analogue.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The digital quantum simulator \u2013 loosely, the quantum computers in development \u2013 attempts to use algorithms and gates (logical operations) to simulate the quantum mechanics of particles in complex systems.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, Brennen explains, \u201canalogue quantum simulators try to mimic the interactions of a system you\u2019d like to understand by designing those interactions into a quantum device that you can control.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou tune up, fix the positions of some qubits, and make them interact. Turn on some fields and just let it go. There\u2019s no sense of doing discrete sets of gates with error correction happening in between. You just try to get the thing to mimic what you\u2019re trying to simulate as best as you can, and then let it go and do some measurements.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Brennen likens this \u201canalogue\u201d quantum simulation to experiments and classical computing.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/link.cosmosmagazine.com\/OP59\" class=\"newsletter-cta\" data-device=\"mobile\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAzMDAgMjUwIiB3aWR0aD0iMzAwIiBoZWlnaHQ9IjI1MCIgZGF0YS11PSIlMkZ3cC1jb250ZW50JTJGdXBsb2FkcyUyRjIwMjQlMkYwMyUyRldlZWtseS1DYXRjaHVwLTMwMHgyNTAtMS5wbmciIGRhdGEtdz0iMzAwIiBkYXRhLWg9IjI1MCIgZGF0YS1iaXA9IiI+PC9zdmc+\" data-spai=\"1\" alt=\"Newsletter\" title=\"the promise of a quantum computing revolution 3\"\/><br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you want to simulate drag on an aircraft, you can do it in an analogue way where you stick a model in a wind tunnel. You see the effect from the small scale and argue that the properties scale up,\u201d Brennen says.<\/p>\n<p>The digital version involves \u201crunning some massive computational model of the effect of air pressure on the structure of an aircraft using complicated circuit-based simulation, probably using lots of GPUs.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Analogue quantum simulators require fewer qubits than digital quantum computers and, therefore, should be easier to produce.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019m not a quantum physicist,\u201d admits Karton, \u201cbut I think quantum simulators are going to be more successful in the near future.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"798\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAxMjAwIDc5OCIgd2lkdGg9IjEyMDAiIGhlaWdodD0iNzk4IiBkYXRhLXU9IiUyRndwLWNvbnRlbnQlMkZ1cGxvYWRzJTJGMjAyNCUyRjExJTJGMkdNMEFKRC5qcGciIGRhdGEtdz0iMTIwMCIgZGF0YS1oPSI3OTgiIGRhdGEtYmlwPSIiPjwvc3ZnPg==\" data-spai=\"1\" alt=\"Square gold and black wafer held by gloved hands.\" class=\"wp-image-316808\" title=\"the promise of a quantum computing revolution 4\"\/>Photonic chips on a wafer. Hardware for quantum computing, as seen at the company Q.ant. Credit: Bernd WeiBbrod\/dpa\/Alamy Live News<\/p>\n<p>Simulators in practice<\/p>\n<p>Dr Joris Keizer is a researcher at the University of New South Wales (UNSW) and the company Silicon Quantum Computing (SQC).<\/p>\n<p>He\u2019s kind enough to speak to me while having breakfast at a hotel in the Netherlands while he is on long-service leave.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s a set of problems, mostly in quantum chemistry and material research, that really are quantum systems that we\u2019re trying to understand,\u201d Keizer says. \u201cThese are important things for drugs development and so on.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Keizer reiterates that: \u201cIf you want to simulate a system like that with a universal quantum computer \u2013 one with gates \u2013 it will take a full-blown quantum computer to do that. So, the idea with quantum simulation is: why don\u2019t we build a quantum system that we actually can engineer, that mimics the quantum properties of that system that you\u2019re trying to simulate?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s basically a quantuam system simulating a quantum system \u2013 but it\u2019s a quantum system that we can engineer and that we have control over.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It comes down to copying the mathematical representations of molecules onto other quantum systems.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLet\u2019s say you want to simulate a molecule,\u201d Keizer says. \u201cThat molecule is described by a Hamiltonian. That\u2019s getting quite technical, but a Hamiltonian just is a mathematical function that describes a quantum system. The whole molecule can be described with a Hamiltonian.<\/p>\n<p>That function gets really complex if the molecule grows larger. It gets to the point where you can\u2019t solve that function anymore. What you can do, though, is map that Hamiltonian to another quantum system that you engineer. You can use that to build your own quantum system that actually is exactly the same, mathematically at least, to the quantum system that you\u2019re interested in.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Sounds straightforward enough?<\/p>\n<p>But many of the problems ailing \u201cfull-blown quantum computer\u201d research also plague quantum simulators.<\/p>\n<p>One problem is isolating the quantum simulator system, so it is not affected by the external environment. Another is using materials which are cheap to build and run.<\/p>\n<p>In dealing with the second of these problems, why look any further than that mainstay of computing technologies: silicon.<\/p>\n<p>Keizer was part of a team led by fellow UNSW researcher and SQC founder Professor Michelle Simmons which, in 2022, released a paper detailing the first coherent quantum simulator produced using silicon.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAnalogue quantum simulation is part of a product line at the moment, and we have demonstrated that we actually can do this stuff,\u201d Keizer says. \u201cWe\u2019ve published 2 articles. One is about simulating a very small molecule in 2021, and one is about simulating a much larger system.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMy role in this has been developing the technique to basically engineer the quantum system that we use to simulate the other quantum system. And that is done by placing atoms, at the atomic scale, in silicon. My role in that is developing the technique to place these atoms where we want to.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The molecule the team simulated in 2021 was a relatively simple 10-atom molecule, \u201cbut that\u2019s about at the absolute limit what a classical computer can simulate\u201d, Keizer says.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you extend this to 12 or 14 atoms \u2013 and there\u2019s nothing stopping us from doing that \u2013 then you come into the realm where classical computers can\u2019t give you the answer anymore. And that\u2019s where it becomes interesting.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Brennen adds that: \u201cIn fact, you could, you could talk about a lot of the devices that are existing now, which are just very prototype quantum computers, as kind of quantum simulators.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor example, Google is developing superconducting quantum chips for their quantum computers. But along the way, it turns out that they\u2019ve simulated something called a topological phase. This is a special property of what you can get when you have a lattice of quantum spins, and their lattice of spins is a lattice of qubits.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>This indicates one drawback of quantum simulators. The systems they solve tend to be very specialised. A quantum computer, however, could be programmed to universally solve any number of interesting quantum problems.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"812\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAxMjAwIDgxMiIgd2lkdGg9IjEyMDAiIGhlaWdodD0iODEyIiBkYXRhLXU9IiUyRndwLWNvbnRlbnQlMkZ1cGxvYWRzJTJGMjAyNCUyRjExJTJGR2V0dHlJbWFnZXMtMTIzNDk3NDU3NS5qcGciIGRhdGEtdz0iMTIwMCIgZGF0YS1oPSI4MTIiIGRhdGEtYmlwPSIiPjwvc3ZnPg==\" data-spai=\"1\" alt=\"Roughly square piece of gold coloured metal with a circuit.\" class=\"wp-image-316809\" title=\"the promise of a quantum computing revolution 5\"\/>A processor from a prototype quantum computer, at Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB). Credit: Julian Stratenschulte\/picture alliance via Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Quantum checks and balances \u2013 and bets<\/p>\n<p>How long until we see quantum simulators doing things that supercomputers can\u2019t? It\u2019s difficult to say.<br \/>\u201cThe problem is: how do we know that the thing it did is, is correct?\u201d asks Brennen. \u201cBecause it might do something that\u2019s too hard for a supercomputer to mimic, but the answer it gave might be wrong. That\u2019s something that the field has been struggling with.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Karton stresses that quantum simulators will build upon the advances of quantum mechanics and computing that have come in the decades before now.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn this primary stage, the only way that these new technologies can be developed is through the availability of reliable data from quantum mechanics done on supercomputers,\u201d Karton\u00a0says.<br \/>\u201cIf we didn\u2019t have this data to benchmark and assess the performance of these new technologies, there would be no way to develop these new technologies, because you wouldn\u2019t know if they were doing the right thing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe used experiments as our yardstick. We are, of course, talking about very accurate experiments, but we use those experiments to benchmark and improve. We saw in quantum mechanics which theories work and which of these theories are not good enough. That\u2019s how we went through that developmental stage. That same process will be true for these new technologies.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI agree that quantum simulators are a more near-term application for these quantum devices, and people have learned some physics from running these analogue simulators,\u201d adds Brennen. \u201cA lot of what they\u2019ve learned is the capabilities and also the deficiencies of some of their systems. Sometimes you don\u2019t know what your system is good at until you actually try it out on a problem that you can test.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPeople have looked at making analogue quantum simulators behave like a system they understand. If it does, great, your simulator passed that test. And if it doesn\u2019t, then you learn something new about the physics of your simulator. That guides the new developments.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>How long will that process take? It\u2019s still a guessing game.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI suspect that we will see a simulator within I would say 5 years that\u2019s doing something that we simply can\u2019t track in a reasonable amount of time,\u201d says Brennen. \u201cAnd by reasonable, I mean, like, a lifetime on a supercomputer.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNow whether it solves an interesting problem is another problem. It might not. It might be simulating a very contrived type of thing that\u2019s just there to show we did something that you can\u2019t do on a supercomputer.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut for digital quantum computers solving interesting problems, that\u2019s going to take longer, because they really are going to have to use error correction all along the way. I\u2019m still optimistic. I think we\u2019re going to see something useful within a decade, by the early 2030s.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think the technique exists,\u201d says Keizer. \u201cIt\u2019s just a matter of pushing a little bit further, a little bit more investment. But this could potentially be something within a couple of years, where we could actually commercialise this and have clients actually accessing our systems\u201d to run quantum simulations.<\/p>\n<p>It feels like we have reached a critical stage in the development of quantum simulators which can explore quantum problems that, up until now, have been virtually impossible to solve on current technologies.<br \/>The researchers working on these projects are optimistic. And they understand the impact that such a development will make. We could be about to witness the opening of the floodgates.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt could be one of the greatest achievements of humanity to get a quantum computer,\u201d says Brennen.<\/p>\n<p>And the floodgates will likely be burst open by a quantum simulator.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" id=\"cosmos-post-tracker\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" style=\"opacity:0; height:1px!important; width:1px!important; border: 0!important; position: absolute!important; z-index: -1!important;\" aria-label=\"Syndication Tracker\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/1758685629_79_\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Quantum technology promises to spark a revolution in computing as significant as the integrated circuit in the 1950s&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":164984,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[64,63,257,105],"class_list":{"0":"post-164983","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-computing","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-computing","11":"tag-technology"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/164983","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=164983"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/164983\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/164984"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=164983"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=164983"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=164983"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}