{"id":176544,"date":"2025-09-29T02:34:08","date_gmt":"2025-09-29T02:34:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/176544\/"},"modified":"2025-09-29T02:34:08","modified_gmt":"2025-09-29T02:34:08","slug":"solana-co-founder-says-50-50-chance-quantum-computing-breaks-bitcoin-by-2030-calls-for-quick-action","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/176544\/","title":{"rendered":"Solana Co-Founder Says &#8217;50\/50&#8242; Chance Quantum Computing Breaks Bitcoin By 2030, Calls For Quick Action"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The quantum computing threat to Bitcoin may be more urgent than some think, according to Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;I feel like 50\/50, within five years, there is a quantum breakthrough,&#8221; Yakovenko <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=KV_qe_YAGoQ\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:said;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">said<\/a> at the All-In Summit 2025 earlier this month. &#8220;We should migrate Bitcoin to a quantum-resistant signature scheme.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The debate over quantum computing\u2019s potential threat to Bitcoin has intensified recently, spurred by advances such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/24\/12\/42455205\/will-googles-new-willow-chip-break-bitcoin-some-dismiss-it-as-fantasy-while-others-flag-risk-that-isnt-immediate?utm_campaign=partner_feed&amp;utm_source=yahooFinance&amp;utm_medium=partner_feed&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;nid=47907980\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Google\u2019s Willow;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Google\u2019s Willow<\/a>. The fear is that quantum computers will soon be able to run Shor&#8217;s algorithm, which is widely believed to have the potential to break encryption systems, such as elliptic curve cryptography. Elliptic curve cryptography secures Bitcoin wallets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Don&#8217;t Miss:<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">While <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/markets\/equities\/24\/12\/42420845\/googles-quantum-willow-chip-lightyears-from-cracking-bitcoin-expert?utm_campaign=partner_feed&amp;utm_source=yahooFinance&amp;utm_medium=partner_feed&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;nid=47907980\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:some argue;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">some argue<\/a> that the threat to Bitcoin\u2019s cryptography remains distant, Yakovenko cautions that the rate of AI advancement suggests otherwise.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;I would try to encourage folks to speed things up,&#8221; he said, stressing that ideas were moving from research paper to implementation at an &#8220;astounding&#8221; rate. He also pointed to Google and Apple (NASDAQ: <a class=\"link \" href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/stock\/aapl#NASDAQ?utm_campaign=partner_feed&amp;utm_source=yahooFinance&amp;utm_medium=partner_feed&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;nid=47907980\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:AAPL;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\">AAPL<\/a>) <a href=\"https:\/\/cloud.google.com\/blog\/products\/identity-security\/announcing-quantum-safe-digital-signatures-in-cloud-kms\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:moving;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">moving<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/apple-boosting-imessage-security-to-protect-against-future-quantum-computing-attacks-140011123.html\" data-ylk=\"slk:to quantum-resistant stacks;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;outcm:mb_qualified_link;_E:mb_qualified_link;ct:story;\" class=\"link  yahoo-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">to quantum-resistant stacks<\/a> as a sign of the times.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">But it will likely not be as easy for Bitcoin to upgrade as it is for Google and Apple. Bitcoin does not have the centralized management of Google and Apple. The network also lacks an established governance structure and a recognized development team that can push upgrades like most other blockchains.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The network\u2019s less structured governance means that determining consensus on upgrades is challenging. While this ensures that the network is more reliable and adds to its decentralization lore, it can arguably be a handicap in urgent situations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Trending: Microsoft&#8217;s Climate Innovation Fund Just Backed This Farmland Manager \u2014 And Accredited Investors Can <a href=\"https:\/\/benzingapartners.go2cloud.org\/aff_c?offer_id=621&amp;aff_id=1&amp;utm_campaign=partner_feed&amp;utm_source=yahooFinance&amp;utm_medium=partner_feed&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;nid=47907980\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Join the Same Fund;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Join the Same Fund<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">While Yakovenko warned of the risks posed by quantum computing to Bitcoin, he still hailed the network for its resilience against current threats.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;I think Bitcoin is resilient to these entities collapsing,&#8221; he said in response to questions raised about how a collapse of Bitcoin treasury firms such as MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: <a class=\"link \" href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/stock\/mstr#NASDAQ?utm_campaign=partner_feed&amp;utm_source=yahooFinance&amp;utm_medium=partner_feed&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;nid=47907980\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:MSTR;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\">MSTR<\/a>) could affect the asset. These firms have accumulated substantial amounts of BTC using several leverage strategies, sparking sustainability fears and questions about the potential market impact if they collapse.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;Now it\u2019s not going to be without painful risk in terms of people that own Bitcoin, but the thing is, it\u2019ll survive that, and all the properties of Bitcoin that people value will remain through that transition,&#8221; Yakovenko said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">See Also: Shaquille O&#8217;Neal wants people to take heart health seriously \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/benzingapartners.go2cloud.org\/aff_c?offer_id=607&amp;aff_id=1&amp;utm_campaign=partner_feed&amp;utm_source=yahooFinance&amp;utm_medium=partner_feed&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;nid=47907980\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:this AI-ECG could make that easier;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">this AI-ECG could make that easier<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u200bYakovenko also suggested that the network was resistant to potential hijacks by governments and malicious actors. He said such attacks would be &#8220;extremely hard to pull off,&#8221; due to the &#8220;elegance and simplicity&#8221; of Bitcoin\u2019s proof-of-work consensus mechanism.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;The reason it hasn\u2019t been hacked is because it\u2019s so simple,&#8221; he said. &#8220;I think the coolest thing, the coolest piece of software written in the last 20 years is, I would say, Bitcoin.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Read Next: $100k+ in investable assets? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/money\/wiseradvisor-retirement-planning?utm_campaign=partner_feed&amp;utm_source=yahooFinance&amp;utm_medium=partner_feed&amp;utm_content=real_estate&amp;nid=47907980\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Match with a fiduciary advisor for free to learn how you can maximize your retirement and save on taxes;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Match with a fiduciary advisor for free to learn how you can maximize your retirement and save on taxes<\/a> \u2013 no cost, no obligation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Image: Shutterstock<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">This article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/markets\/25\/09\/47907980\/solana-co-founder-says-5050-chance-quantum-computing-breaks-bitcoin-by-2030-calls-for-quick-action?utm_campaign=partner_feed&amp;utm_source=yahooFinance&amp;utm_medium=partner_feed&amp;utm_content=real_estate\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Solana Co-Founder Says &#039;50\/50&#039; Chance Quantum Computing Breaks Bitcoin By 2030, Calls For Quick Action;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Solana Co-Founder Says &#8217;50\/50&#8242; Chance Quantum Computing Breaks Bitcoin By 2030, Calls For Quick Action<\/a> originally appeared on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Benzinga.com;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Benzinga.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. The&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":176545,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[114360,64,63,2009,257,114361,113,2292,105,114362],"class_list":{"0":"post-176544","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-computing","8":"tag-anatoly-yakovenko","9":"tag-au","10":"tag-australia","11":"tag-bitcoin","12":"tag-computing","13":"tag-elliptic-curve-cryptography","14":"tag-google","15":"tag-quantum-computing","16":"tag-technology","17":"tag-yakovenko"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/176544","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=176544"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/176544\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/176545"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=176544"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=176544"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=176544"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}