{"id":226063,"date":"2025-10-19T22:23:07","date_gmt":"2025-10-19T22:23:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/226063\/"},"modified":"2025-10-19T22:23:07","modified_gmt":"2025-10-19T22:23:07","slug":"cutting-down-services-spend-is-key-to-taming-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/226063\/","title":{"rendered":"Cutting down \u2018services\u2019 spend is key to taming inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post- wp-image-1070818\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1070818\" data-capiid=\"499de4bc469bc350bb63f2c2aabf279b\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"ESTIMATES\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1070818\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">RBA Governor Michele Bullock says \u2018services\u2019 inflation is the \u2018sticky\u2019 type. Picture: Martin Ollman<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">ANALYSIS<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Shockwaves rumbled through the economic landscape last week, as Australia\u2019s unemployment rate hit 4.5 per cent in September, according to the latest data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">That\u2019s a sizeable month-on-month leap up from the 4.3 per cent seasonally-adjusted number we got in August.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">That now puts unemployment at its highest level since November in 2021, when we were still crawling our way out of the Covid lockdown situation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">But the September numbers shouldn\u2019t come as too much of a surprise.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">We already knew that banks and other big companies were cutting staff by the thousand in September, which was bound to put a dent in the numbers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The ABS data showed there were 34,000 more unemployed Australians in September than in August.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Other data from ANZ revealed a 0.3 per cent decline in job ads month on month, which is the steepest fall since the beginning of 2024.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post- wp-image-1070816\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1070816\" data-capiid=\"bf7ac1d5fa5cad8fd4b9425a5da4572e\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1070816\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Job ads are down for the third straight month. Picture: David Mariuz<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">And job ads this September were 4.3 per cent down on the same month last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Job ads have now declined for three months in a row \u2026 I think we can call that a trend.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">So, what will the RBA do? Surely they now must cut rates in November to give the economy a boost?<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Not so fast, says Governor Michele Bullock. Why? Well, it seems inflation is a little \u2026 \u201csticky\u201d. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Ugh, sticky, inflation is so gross.<\/p>\n<p>So what can we do?<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Apparently, it\u2019s \u2018services\u2019 inflation that\u2019s proving harder to get down than \u2018goods\u2019 inflation. \u2018Services\u2019 include things like education, health care and hairdressing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">So all we need for another rate cut would be to stop going to school, stop getting sick and going to hospital and also stop growing our hair so much. Some of us are already doing our bit for the economy on the last point.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">We could also stop paying so much on rent, but, for a renter, the need to live somewhere will usually supersede any charitable feelings towards those paying off mortgages.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">One expert thinks all this talk of inflation is so last week.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post- wp-image-1070817\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1070817\" data-capiid=\"7b134b1f671b713d8f33e0a4838340d6\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1070817\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Stopping growing hair would reduce the spend on hairdressing. Picture: iStock<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Dale Gilham, analyst and founder at Wealth within, described <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/rba-interest-rates-experts-bold-prediction-for-prechristmas-cut\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">inflation as \u201cyesterday\u2019s battle\u201d<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">He said the real issue is that the economy is stalling and the RBA is watching as businesses put a freeze on hiring, consumer confidence plunges and the construction sector buckles.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">For these reasons, he sees another rate cut this year as inevitable and believes that if the central bank holds next month, it will have no choice but to cut in December. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">He has a point, but the RBA\u2019s own language serves to reiterate over and over again that inflation is its number one responsibility.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">That\u2019s why it hiked so aggressively in 2022 and 2023. And that explains the reluctance to cut the cash rate and stimulate any level of spending that could de-rail its efforts so far.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">There\u2019s nothing the RBA likes more than to \u2018wait and see\u2019 what the next data set says. And the next big one will be the September quarter CPI data, which will be released on 26 October.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Strap yourself in for that one because it will be the set that decides the fate of the rate for the rest of the year. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"RBA Governor Michele Bullock says \u2018services\u2019 inflation is the \u2018sticky\u2019 type. Picture: Martin Ollman ANALYSIS Shockwaves rumbled through&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":226064,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[64,63,99,164],"class_list":["post-226063","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/226063","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=226063"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/226063\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/226064"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=226063"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=226063"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=226063"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}