{"id":23951,"date":"2025-07-26T16:21:10","date_gmt":"2025-07-26T16:21:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/23951\/"},"modified":"2025-07-26T16:21:10","modified_gmt":"2025-07-26T16:21:10","slug":"south-island-pulls-ahead-as-regional-divide-widens-economist","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/23951\/","title":{"rendered":"South Island pulls ahead as regional divide widens \u2014 economist"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  [&amp;_p]:tit-sub-xl tit-sub-xl md:[&amp;_p]:d-tit-sub-xl md:d-tit-sub-xl mb-[1.3rem]\">New Zealand&#8217;s regions are showing signs of recovery, but there is a growing economic performance divide between the North and South Islands, a new report from Kiwibank says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">The Annual Regional Note, released on Saturday, showed that the South Island was continuing to outperform the North and that while most regions recorded gains, progress remained uneven.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">The national average score has lifted from 3 to 4 out of 10.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">Kiwibank chief economist Jarrod Kerr said the economic tide was turning.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">&#8220;Most regions have seen at least some improvements, but the recovery is far from even.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">Southland and Otago lead with scores of 5, driven by a building boom and tourism rebound respectively.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">Northland, Taranaki, and Gisborne scores declined. Wellington and Auckland lifted slightly, with New Zealand&#8217;s biggest city supported by population growth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">&#8220;The further south you go, the more optimistic people are,&#8221; Kerr said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">&#8220;So you think about Northland and Taranaki and Gisborne, they&#8217;ve gone backwards over the last year. And you think further south, you know, going to Otago and Canterbury, they&#8217;re actually doing a lot better.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">He said the divide could become a &#8220;self-fulfilling prophecy&#8221; with people leaving places such as Auckland and moving to Christchurch.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">&#8220;It is more affordable and, these days, you don&#8217;t necessarily have to be in the largest cities \u2014 a lot of people are working from home.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/kiwibank-chief-economist-jarrod-kerr-UFRIAYVI5NA3DKXY2AUKRPEBTE.jpg\" alt=\"Kiwibank chief economist Jarrod Kerr.\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"ImageMetadata__MetadataParagraph-sc-hi5x8q-0 iSFjhz image-metadata\">Kiwibank chief economist Jarrod Kerr. (Source: 1News)<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">Kerr said the housing market had remained largely &#8220;locked in lateral moves&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">&#8220;Since stabilising in early 2023, national house prices are up just 1.8%. Since the Reserve Bank began cutting rates in August, house prices have only lifted by half a percent \u2014 and, in many regions, they\u2019re still flat or falling.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">Labour market conditions were also mixed. Otago had the strongest employment growth in the country, up 8%, while Taranaki recorded the steepest employment drop at -8%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">Retail sales remained subdued and below their average levels in most regions, with Wellington recording the steepest at -3.3%, while regions such as Waikato, Northland and the Bay of Plenty improved slightly on last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">Consumers were still being cautious, Kerr said,<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">&#8220;They\u2019re rebuilding balance sheets, not rushing to the shops just yet.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;Time for the Reserve Bank to step on it&#8217;<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">Kerr told 1News he would like to see the Reserve Bank &#8220;go from having their foot firmly on the brake, to putting it in neutral, to actually putting their foot on the accelerator&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">He believed the Official Cash Rate should fall from its current position at 3.25% to 2.5% to provide meaningful stimulus to the economy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body-paragraph articleLinkText  lg mb-4\">&#8220;We think the risk, if anything, is that inflation falls too far and falls below 2% because the economy is so weak. So, job done on the inflation front, it&#8217;s time to stimulate growth.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"New Zealand&#8217;s regions are showing signs of recovery, but there is a growing economic performance divide between the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":23952,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[64,63,99,164],"class_list":["post-23951","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23951","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23951"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23951\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23952"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23951"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23951"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23951"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}