{"id":243871,"date":"2025-10-27T10:08:14","date_gmt":"2025-10-27T10:08:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/243871\/"},"modified":"2025-10-27T10:08:14","modified_gmt":"2025-10-27T10:08:14","slug":"rba-governor-bullock-says-a-severe-market-downturn-would-raise-financial-stability-concerns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/243871\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA governor Bullock says a severe market downturn would raise financial stability concerns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Financial markets, including Australian property and shares, have been pushing record highs for many months.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Speaking at an Australian Business Economists gathering in Sydney, Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock conceded she, and her overseas peers, were perplexed by ever-rising asset markets in the face of so many economic risks, including inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Ms Bullock told the Sydney gathering that her overseas counterparts were &#8220;flummoxed&#8221; by how &#8220;sanguine&#8221; or optimistic the financial markets had become.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;Could it all end up very badly?&#8221; she questioned, pondering whether the financial markets could turn negative.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;Some people are worried that might all end in tears,&#8221; she conceded.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">That is a reference to wide financial and economic dislocation that could hurt economies across the world.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">She said the RBA would need to pay attention to financial stability risks &#8220;if the markets take a big directional shift&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Asked by a reporter whether the RBA risked cutting interest rates amid an &#8220;AI bubble&#8221;, Bullock responded by saying the board did not focus on asset prices in its decision-making on monetary policy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">However, she said if the financial markets did turn down in a dramatic way \u2014 without referencing the possibility of an AI bubble burst \u2014 and it hurt the economy, the RBA would consider cutting interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>Unemployment not too high<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">This week sees the release of crucial data on the economy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">This so-called fireside chat was a chance for the RBA governor to give business economists an insight into her thinking ahead of next week&#8217;s RBA interest rates decision.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2025-10-02\/rba-financial-stability-review\/105842650\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Financial risks &#8216;rising&#8217; warns RBA<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">The Reserve Bank warns risks to the global financial system are &#8220;rising&#8221;, not receding, and Australia is not immune from any fallout.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Before that, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) will publish third-quarter inflation data on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Earlier this month, though, the <a class=\"Link_link__kR0xA Link_link__5eL5m ScreenReaderOnly_srLinkHint__OysWz Link_showVisited__C1Fea Link_showFocus__ALyv2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2025-10-16\/australia-unemployment-rate-rises-september-2025\/105898244\" data-component=\"Link\" data-uri=\"coremedia:\/\/article\/105898244\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ABS released figures showing the unemployment rate rose to 4.5 per cent in September<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">RBA governor Michele Bullock told the Sydney gathering that unemployment was a &#8220;little bit too high&#8221; and inflation was also a &#8220;little bit too high&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;[The unemployment rate has] drifted up a bit, but it&#8217;s not a huge amount out [of where we thought it would be],&#8221; Ms Bullock said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">In what some analysts might view as a nod to keeping interest rates on hold next week, Ms Bullock said: &#8220;I don&#8217;t want to leap at a single number&#8221; in reference to the unemployment rate.<\/p>\n<p>RBA staff afraid to speak up<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">In a wide-ranging fireside chat, the Reserve Bank governor covered a number of topics, speaking to a room of economists and business representatives.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2025-09-30\/rba-governor-says-dont-expect-housing-supply-quick-fix\/105836722\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">No housing supply quick fix, says RBA governor<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">In a rare candid moment, the Reserve Bank governor concedes that, despite the best efforts of policy makers, chronic housing undersupply will continue for at least the next two years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">On the Reserve Bank review, Ms Bullock conceded it exposed a culture in the bank where staff were afraid to speak up.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The review was designed to ensure that Australia&#8217;s monetary policy arrangements and the operations of the Reserve Bank continued to support strong macroeconomic outcomes for Australia in a complex and continuously evolving landscape.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;We&#8217;ve put a lot of effort into [establishing] an open and dynamic culture,&#8221; she said.<\/p>\n<p>Monetary policy considerations<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Ms Bullock has also been globe-trotting to speak with her counterparts overseas.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Most central banks seem pretty comfortable that inflation is coming back down.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">But, she said, &#8220;services inflation&#8221; still appeared too sticky.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">This led her into a discussion about why share markets continued to push higher in the face of economic challenges.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Financial markets, including Australian property and shares, have been pushing record highs for many months. Speaking at an&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":243872,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[64,63,99,14821,2610,49448,5465,5626,14819,53537,49446,7054,16776,4847],"class_list":["post-243871","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business","tag-cash-rate","tag-cost-of-living","tag-home-loan","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-michele-bullock","tag-mortgage-rates","tag-rate-cut","tag-rba","tag-reserve-bank","tag-unemployment"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243871","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=243871"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243871\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/243872"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=243871"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=243871"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=243871"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}