{"id":259854,"date":"2025-11-03T14:38:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-03T14:38:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/259854\/"},"modified":"2025-11-03T14:38:08","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T14:38:08","slug":"systematic-credit-is-still-small-but-hot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/259854\/","title":{"rendered":"Systematic credit is still small, but hot"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Unlock the Editor\u2019s Digest for free<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__content-sign-up-topic-description o3-type-body-base\">Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter.<\/p>\n<p>Ares Management Corporation <a href=\"https:\/\/ir.aresmgmt.com\/news\/ares-management-to-acquire-bluecove\/69b8608f-5b66-419a-aab4-158b0df57760\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">announced<\/a> last week that it is buying the remainder of an asset manager called BlueCove, having first acquired a minority interest back in 2023. It\u2019s potentially a big deal \u2014 in importance, if not size. <\/p>\n<p>It was easy to miss amid central bank meetings, wildly diverging earnings results, US-China summits and blockbuster bond deals. BlueCove only manages $5.5bn, and the financial terms of the deal weren\u2019t disclosed, so in dollar terms it\u2019s probably small potatoes. Ares already manages about $596bn, so another $5.5bn doesn\u2019t really change things much.<\/p>\n<p>However, it is a telling moment for a fascinating little slice of the fixed income universe that Alphaville is low-key obsessed about \u2014 systematic credit investing \u2014 so we thought it was worth revisiting. As Kipp deVeer, Ares\u2019 co-president, said in a statement:<\/p>\n<p>In recent years, we have seen increased interest in systematic credit investment products and capabilities from global investors as they seek to diversify their portfolios and capture the opportunities presented by the quantitative credit investment revolution. This demand, paired with a broader structural shift towards systematic fixed income trading to achieve alpha, underlies the latest expansion of our market leading Credit Group.<\/p>\n<p>BlueCove was set up in 2018 by Alex Khein and Hugh Willis \u2014 former founders of BlueBay Asset Management, now owned by RBC \u2014 with CIO Ben Brodsky poached from BlackRock. <\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s among a small but growing number of investment groups now betting that the quantitative revolution that first began decades ago in equity markets is finally going to play out in the corporate bond market as well. If you want to know more, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/12888496-2c3d-4ad9-a9cd-bd418e03cb44\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MainFT ran a \u201cbig read\u201d on the topic a few years ago.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Ares\u2019 full acquisition is therefore a good excuse to check in on how far things have come, and whether the numbers have begun to justify some of the hype. <\/p>\n<p>Sadly, we don\u2019t have performance details for BlueCove, but assets have tripled since Ares first acquired a minority stake two years ago, so we assume it\u2019s been at least decent. It will now be renamed Ares Systematic Credit, indicating that the US asset manager is also happy with the results so far (if performance had been dross, Ares presumably would have wanted to downplay the association). <\/p>\n<p>Man Group\u2019s Numeric is another pioneer in the field, and also seems to be finally getting some traction. Here\u2019s a slide from the listed hedge fund group\u2019s last results, which showed that its systematic credit business has more than tripled in size since 2023, to $3.6bn as of the second quarter of 2025 (<a href=\"https:\/\/d1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net\/production\/uploaded-files\/image001 (24)-9cb0034b-1cd1-43ab-bb5e-380afd572dc9.png\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">zoomable version<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/https:\/\/d1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net\/production\/2339e7c9-68c9-4e45-a578-ff7adeddc286.png\" alt=\"\" data-image-type=\"image\" width=\"1326\" height=\"732\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Alphaville also reached out to Blackstone, which in 2020 purchased Diversified Credit Investments \u2014 another early mover in systematic credit, and one of the largest, with $7.5bn in assets at the time. <\/p>\n<p>DCI has since been rebranded to Blackstone Corporate Bond Strategies, and now manages over $30bn. Adam Dwinells, the unit\u2019s head, said in a statement to Alphaville that Blackstone was also seeing greater traction for what he describes as \u201ca better mousetrap\u201d than many traditional bond investing approaches: <\/p>\n<p>Systematic strategies are still a small percentage of the corporate credit market today, but we have recently seen a significant increase in client interest and expect these strategies to grow steadily in the coming years.<\/p>\n<p>As the corporate bond market continues to evolve with advances in trading protocols and data availability, we expect to see more firms take quantitative approaches to the market.<\/p>\n<p>In May 2024, Barclays analysts estimated that there were about $90-140bn deployed in various systematic investment strategies in the US corporate bond market. Some very rough napkin maths based on the growth rates of BlueCove, Man and Blackstone (and that is being charitable to napkin maths) would put the broader universe in the $200bn-ish range overall today. <\/p>\n<p>Systematic credit will probably never become as big as its equity market equivalent. Firstly, because a lot of discretionary fixed income investing is fairly quanty anyway, and secondly, because there are huge differences between the two asset classes that will probably always remain there. <\/p>\n<p>However, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/b4a7f326-266a-450f-915a-6a3fa21e2702\" data-trackable=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bond ETFs, electronic bond trading and systematic credit investing now all growing and reinforcing each other<\/a> \u2014 and increasingly resembling one of those flywheels beloved by consultants \u2014 it does feel like we are approaching a breakout moment.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Unlock the Editor\u2019s Digest for free Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":259855,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[64,63,99,164],"class_list":["post-259854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/259854","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=259854"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/259854\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/259855"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=259854"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=259854"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=259854"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}