{"id":260421,"date":"2025-11-03T20:28:14","date_gmt":"2025-11-03T20:28:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/260421\/"},"modified":"2025-11-03T20:28:14","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T20:28:14","slug":"lucas-giolito-declines-mutual-option","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/260421\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Giolito Declines Mutual Option"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Red Sox right-hander <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/giolilu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Lucas Giolito<\/a> has declined his end of a $19MM mutual option, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/alexspeier.bsky.social\/post\/3m4qrku5kb22n\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">reports<\/a> Alex Speier of the Boston Globe. He\u2019ll be paid a $1.5MM buyout and return to the open market in search of a new opportunity. The Red Sox will have the right to make him a $22.025MM qualifying offer, as Giolito has not previously received a QO in his career.<\/p>\n<p>Giolito signed a two-year, $38.5MM deal with the Red Sox on the heels of a disappointing platform with the White Sox. He\u2019d posted excellent results from 2019-21 and cemented himself as one of the sport\u2019s most durable starters before logging back-to-back ERAs near 5.00 in 2022-23. Giolito, 32 next July, had hoped to bounce back in Boston and take an opt-out in his contract last offseason.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, the clock struck midnight on the durable right-hander\u2019s arm. He tore the UCL in his pitching elbow during spring training 2024 and didn\u2019t pitch a single inning inning that year. Giolito naturally forwent the opt-out in his contract and returned to Boston for the 2025 season. He stumbled out of the gate, struggling so badly that for a few starts it looked like his entire two-year contract would go down as a bust. By early June, he had an ERA north of 6.00 through seven starts.<\/p>\n<p>Giolito rebounded in terrific fashion, however. Beginning with six shutout innings against the Rays on June 10, he took off on an extended hot streak. From June 10 through season\u2019s end, Giolito posted a 2.51 ERA in 111 1\/3 innings. His 20.3% strikeout rate and 9.7% walk rate in that stretch were both worse than average, and his .244 average on balls in play showed plenty of good fortune. Even with some expected regression in his ERA, Giolito looked like a solid mid-rotation starter who\u2019d take a place in Boston\u2019s postseason rotation \u2014 at least until the next roadblock arose.<\/p>\n<p>On Sept. 29, manager <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/coraal01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Alex Cora<\/a> announced that Giolito was dealing with an elbow issue and would not be on the team\u2019s roster in the Wild Card round of postseason play. The next day, the team indicated that Giolito was unlikely to return at all in 2025, regardless of how deep the Sox advanced in the postseason field. While his surgically repaired UCL was intact, the veteran righty was hobbled by flexor irritation and a bone issue in his elbow.<\/p>\n<p>The Sox had a $14MM club option on Giolito for the 2026 season that they might still have exercised even after the elbow troubles, but when he completed his 140th frame of the season \u2014 Giolito totaled 145 innings overall \u2014 that option vested instead as a $19MM mutual option. Players tend to make the first call with regard to mutual options, and Giolito is seemingly confident enough in his health that he\u2019ll turn down a net $17.5MM to once again test free agency.<\/p>\n<p>His decision to decline the mutual option also forces the Red Sox into a decision on whether to issue a qualifying offer. They exceeded the luxury tax line in 2025, so they\u2019d only net a compensatory pick after the fourth round of the 2026 draft if Giolito declined and signed elsewhere. That minimal compensation, coupled with more elbow troubles for Giolito, might be enough for the Sox to forgo extending a QO in the first place. If they do, however, Giolito will again have a decision to make \u2014 this time on a sum that clocks in a bit over $3MM north of his prior option price. Add in the buyout he\u2019s owed for declining, and a QO could at least net him $4.525MM over the value of the option he declined today.<\/p>\n<p>With Giolito headed toward the market \u2014 or at least somewhat up in the air \u2014 the Sox project for a rotation including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/crochga01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Garrett Crochet<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bellobr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Brayan Bello<\/a> and a handful of question marks. Top prospects <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/t\/tollepa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Payton Tolle<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/e\/earlyco01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Connelly Early<\/a> impressed late in the season but only have a handful of MLB starts between them. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/crawfku01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kutter Crawford<\/a> missed the entire season due to knee and wrist injuries (the latter of which required surgery). <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/sandopa02.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Patrick Sandoval<\/a> didn\u2019t pitch in 2025 after signing a two-year deal on the heels of his 2024 UCL procedure, but he\u2019ll be in the mix next year. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/h\/houckta01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.mlbtraderumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Tanner Houck<\/a> had Tommy John surgery in August and is likely a nonfactor in 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Given all the uncertainty in the \u2019pen, the Sox are expected to pursue rotation help this winter. That could include a reunion with Giolito, but there are plenty of options for them to peruse on both the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2025\/10\/previewing-the-2025-26-free-agent-class-starting-pitcher.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">free agent<\/a> and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2025\/11\/mlb-rumors-top-trade-candidates-offseason.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">trade markets<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Red Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito has declined his end of a $19MM mutual option, reports Alex Speier of&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":260422,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[558],"tags":[64,63,5153,591,85],"class_list":{"0":"post-260421","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mlb","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-lucas-giolito","11":"tag-mlb","12":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260421","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=260421"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260421\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/260422"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=260421"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=260421"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=260421"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}