{"id":263826,"date":"2025-11-05T07:43:23","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T07:43:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/263826\/"},"modified":"2025-11-05T07:43:23","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T07:43:23","slug":"big-short-michael-burry-bets-1bn-on-ai-bubble-bursting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/263826\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;Big Short&#8217; Michael Burry bets $1bn on AI bubble bursting"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>        <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Michael Burry, who was depicted by Christian Bale in the film The Big Short, has gambled $1.1bn (\u00a3840m) on a fall in the shares of chipmaker Nvidia and software company Palantir\" class=\"content-image\" data-image-catalogue-id=\"766075\" width=\"660\" height=\"370\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/766075\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>    Michael Burry, who was depicted by Christian Bale in the film The Big Short, has gambled $1.1bn (\u00a3840m) on a fall in the shares of chipmaker Nvidia and software company Palantir.<\/p>\n<p>        Picture: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.co.uk\/license\/498562218\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><br \/>\nGetty<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"standfirst\">The investor who bet against the US housing market in the run-up to the 2007 financial crisis has now placed a significant wager on the collapse of the artificial intelligence (AI) boom.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Michael Burry, who was depicted by Christian Bale in the film The Big Short, has gambled $1.1bn (\u00a3840m) on falls in shares of chipmaker Nvidia and software company Palantir.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">His prediction will raise concerns about a possible AI bubble, after the sector&#8217;s value surged this year as firms invested heavily in the hope of seeing huge future earnings.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Read more: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lbc.co.uk\/article\/ai-checkatrade-latest-builders-warning-5HjdGGx_2\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">AI putting millions of Brits at risk of unvetted rogue traders, Checkatrade boss warns<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Read more: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lbc.co.uk\/article\/opinion-robot-colleagues-ai-jobs-5HjdG8w_2\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">AI isn\u2019t coming for your job, it\u2019s coming for your paperwork<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Mr Burry returned to X last week to spread his warnings about a bubble, posting a picture of Bale&#8217;s portrayal of him with the caption: &#8220;Sometimes, we see bubbles. Sometimes, there is something to do about it. Sometimes, the only winning move is not to play.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">On Monday, he posted a chart titled &#8220;US tech capex [capital expenditure] growth is matching the tech bubble of 1999-2000&#8221; and another showing how growth in demand for cloud computing at major tech companies is slowing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Scion Asset Management, Mr Burry\u2019s investment firm, has now bought $912m worth of \u201cput\u201d contracts in Palantir and $187m of shares in Nvidia.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Puts give Scion the right to sell the stock at a specified price within a certain time period, allowing investors to profit from share price falls by buying stock during a dip and selling it at the higher predetermined price.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">James Kardatzke, Quiver Quantitative co-founder, said: \u201cMichael Burry has a history of making large bearish bets when he perceives there to be a bubble, most notably prior to the housing market crash of 2008.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">&#8220;This new disclosure suggests that he now believes that there is an AI bubble which is due to pop.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Mr Burry&#8217;s most infamous bet saw him predict the collapse of America\u2019s mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">The bursting of that bubble triggered the 2007 global financial crisis.<\/p>\n<p>        <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Mr Burry's remarkable story was documented in Michael Lewis\u2019s 2010 book The Big Short, which was later turned into a 2015 Oscar-winning film.\" class=\"content-image\" data-image-catalogue-id=\"766077\" width=\"660\" height=\"370\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/766077\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>    Mr Burry&#8217;s remarkable story was documented in Michael Lewis\u2019s 2010 book The Big Short, which was later turned into a 2015 Oscar-winning film.<\/p>\n<p>        Picture: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.alamy.com\/stock-photo-the-big-sh-90075279.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><br \/>\nAlamy<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">His hugely controversial long-term $1bn bet started in 2005 and would eventually increase the value of his fund by 489 per cent by the time the system collapsed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">The details of this remarkable story was documented in Michael Lewis\u2019s 2010 book The Big Short, which was later turned into a 2015 Oscar-winning film.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">AI&#8217;s transformative potential has excited investors and led to a huge surge in the stock prices of a handful of US tech companies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Last week, Nvidia, which has become the chip-maker of choice for AI data centres, became the first publicly traded company in the world to surpass $5tn in value, making it worth more than the total GDP of Germany.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Palantir, which specialises in AI data analysis, has seen its stock rise by 400 per cent over the last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">But these sky-high valuations may not be justified, with a report by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in August warning the vast majority of AI investments were yielding &#8220;zero returns&#8221; for business.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Concerns about a bubble were also expressed by Sam Altman, the chief executive of OpenAI, who said in the summer: \u201cAre investors overexcited? My opinion is yes.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Investors have poured $161bn inon AI so far this year, PitchBook reports, with the lion&#8217;s share of this eye-watering figure going to just 10 companies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">David Solomon, Goldman Sachs\u2019 chief executive, said the majority of this capital would \u201cturn out to not deliver returns\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">After news of Mr Burry&#8217;s bet broke on Tuesday, Nvidia shares were down 2 per cent in pre-market trading.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Palantir\u2019s stock price was almost 7 per cent lower before markets opened. <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Scion&#8217;s put contracts are listed in its 13F filing, a report that all institutions with at least $100m under management must file with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">The expiration date or the \u201cstrike price\u201d that the fund has agreed to sell shares at have not been disclosed. <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-text\">Palantir and Nvidia were contacted for comment.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Michael Burry, who was depicted by Christian Bale in the film The Big Short, has gambled $1.1bn (\u00a3840m)&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":263827,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[256,254,255,64,63,105],"class_list":["post-263826","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-ai","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificialintelligence","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-technology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263826","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=263826"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263826\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/263827"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=263826"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=263826"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=263826"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}